Monza vs Empoli preview

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
U-Power Stadium Yesterday - 6:30 PM
Serie B
Monza MON
Empoli EMP
KICKOFF : Yesterday - 6:30 PM
Round 38 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Monza host Empoli in Serie B (Regular Season) at U-Power Stadium. Domestically, Monza sit 3th in the table while Empoli are 14th. Power ranking favours Monza by 7.9 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Monza occupies 3rd in Serie B, well ahead of Empoli in 14th, highlighting a clear structural home advantage.
  • Form: Monza's form score stands at 27.33, far superior to Empoli's 13.94.
  • Squad: Monza's squad power score of 60.32 exceeds Empoli's 52.41 by 7.9 points.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not available in the provided data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats for both teams rely on low-confidence proxies with no xG data accessible.
  • xVariable: xG-based variables remain unavailable as the add-on is not enabled.
  • Market: Monza 54.9% (Δ+-0%) | Draw 23.8% (Δ-0.2%) | Empoli 21.2% (Δ+0.2%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Monza P. Bianco
P. Bianco
VS
Empoli F. Caserta
F. Caserta
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.12
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mantova Rank: 54 L
Modena Rank: 57 W
Sampdoria Rank: 52 W
Bari 1908 Rank: 50 W
Catanzaro Rank: 61 D
Venezia Rank: 70 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Avellino Rank: 54 W
Venezia Rank: 69 L
Virtus Entella Rank: 48 D
Calcio Padova Rank: 50 L
Sampdoria Rank: 54 L
Pescara Rank: 48 W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 4 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Monza
54.94%
Draw
23.82%
Away Empoli
21.24%

Movement

Changes since opening
Monza
-0.04%
Draw
-0.18%
Empoli
+0.22%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
60.32
52.41
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Monza
Empoli
Power Score
60.32
52.41
League Position
3
14
Global Rank
290
648

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Monza — Opponent-weighted form score
Empoli — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Monza Empoli

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Monza MON Home
9 matches
Empoli EMP Away
Match Record
2
Wins
3
4
Draws
4
3
Losses
2
Goals
7
Goals Scored
10
10
Goals Conceded
7
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-08T00:04:24+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 3-5-2
Pitch
D. Thiam
20 D. Thiam
L. Ravanelli
13 L. Ravanelli
F. Delli Carri
15 F. Delli Carri
L. Lucchesi
3 L. Lucchesi
S. Birindelli
19 S. Birindelli
P. Mba Obiang Avomo
14 P. Mba Obiang Avomo
M. Pessina
32 M. Pessina
P. Dentello Azzi
7 P. Dentello Azzi
A. Colpani
28 A. Colpani
P. Cutrone
10 P. Cutrone
A. Petagna
37 A. Petagna
A. Fulignati
21 A. Fulignati
M. Lovato
20 M. Lovato
S. Romagnoli
4 S. Romagnoli
G. Guarino
34 G. Guarino
J. Ceesay
15 J. Ceesay
N. Haas
32 N. Haas
G. Yepes Laut
14 G. Yepes Laut
L. Magnino
8 L. Magnino
A. Candela
26 A. Candela
S. Shpendi
11 S. Shpendi
M. Nasti
19 M. Nasti

General Information

Date & Time
May 08, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 38 · Regular Season
Stadium
U-Power Stadium
Capacity
18568
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Matteo Marcenaro
Marco Ricci
Andrea Calzavara
Vito Mastrodonato

Expected Lineup

Referee : Matteo Marcenaro

Starting XI ▼

20
Demba Thiam
Demba Thiam Goalkeeper
7.04
7
Paulo Daniel Dentello Azzi
Paulo Daniel Dentello Azzi Midfielder
7.05
19
Samuele Birindelli
Samuele Birindelli Midfielder
6.95
10
Patrick Cutrone
Patrick Cutrone Midfielder
6.84
28
Andrea Colpani
Andrea Colpani Midfielder
7.05
37
Andrea Petagna
Andrea Petagna Centre Forward
6.91
3
Lorenzo Lucchesi
Lorenzo Lucchesi Left Back
6.65
13
Luca Ravanelli
Luca Ravanelli Right Back
7.07
15
Filippo Delli Carri
Filippo Delli Carri Centre Back
6.83
14
Pedro Obiang
Pedro Obiang Central Midfield
6.92
32
Matteo Pessina
Matteo Pessina Central Midfield
7.12
Referee : Matteo Marcenaro

Starting XI ▼

21
Andrea Fulignati
Andrea Fulignati Goalkeeper
6.77
15
Joseph Ceesay
Joseph Ceesay Midfielder
6.54
26
Antonio Candela
Antonio Candela Midfielder
6.6
11
Stiven Shpendi
Stiven Shpendi Attacker
6.87
19
Marco Nasti
Marco Nasti Attacker
6.71
4
Simone Romagnoli
Simone Romagnoli Centre Back
6.61
8
Luca Magnino
Luca Magnino Central Midfield
6.66
14
Gerard Yepes
Gerard Yepes Central Midfield
6.79
20
Matteo Lovato
Matteo Lovato Left Back
6.83
32
Nicolas Haas
Nicolas Haas Central Midfield
6.57
34
Gabriele Guarino
Gabriele Guarino Right Back
6.93

CONCLUSION

Monza approaches this Serie B clash with substantial advantages across key areas, including a superior power score, top-tier league position, and stronger form against a struggling Empoli. The 7.9-point edge underscores Monza's squad quality at U-Power Stadium, where home support amplifies their control. Lacking granular efficiency, transition, and set-piece insights due to data limitations, analysis hinges on reliable aggregates favoring the hosts decisively. Empoli's lower metrics suggest vulnerability, particularly away. Monza's structural and form superiority positions them to dominate possession and chances, paving the way for a convincing performance in this regular season fixture.