Lens vs Nantes preview

France flag 2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Stade Bollaert-Delelis Today - 6:45 PM
Ligue 1
Lens LEN
Nantes NAN
KICKOFF : Today - 6:45 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Lens host Nantes at Stade Bollaert-Delelis in a Ligue 1 regular season encounter during the 2025/2026 campaign. The hosts sit comfortably in 2nd place, while Nantes languish in 17th, highlighting a stark disparity in league standings. Lens boast a commanding power score of 82.42 against Nantes' 67.05, translating to a 15.4-point advantage that underscores their structural superiority. Form scores further tilt the scales, with Lens at 17.06 compared to Nantes' 14.06, suggesting momentum favors the home side. At home, Lens can leverage their positioning and power edge to dominate possession and chances. Nantes face an uphill battle, needing to shore up defensively against Lens' attacking intent. Limited data on efficiency and set pieces exists due to unavailable xG metrics, but overall profiles point to Lens control. Transitions will be crucial, as Nantes seek counters amid Lens' pressure.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Lens holds 2nd place and a 15.4-point power advantage over 17th-placed Nantes.
  • Form: Lens enters with a form score of 17.06, surpassing Nantes' 14.06.
  • Squad: No recent squad updates or last outings reported for either team.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is currently unavailable.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats show low confidence with no xG available for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable as add-on is not enabled.
  • Market: Lens 68.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 19.8% (Δ+0%) | Nantes 12% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Lens P. Sage
P. Sage
VS
Nantes V. Halilhodžić
V. Halilhodžić
2.1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.67
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nice Rank: 72 D
Brest Rank: 73 D
Toulouse Rank: 72 W
LOSC Lille Rank: 81 L
Angers SCO Rank: 67 W
Lorient Rank: 75 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Olympique Marseille Rank: 80 W
Rennes Rank: 79 L
Paris Saint Germain Rank: 94 L
Brest Rank: 73 D
Auxerre Rank: 70 D
Metz Rank: 62 D
8
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
8 - 5 - 4
4
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Lens
68.26%
Draw
19.76%
Away Nantes
11.98%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
82.42
67.05
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Lens
Nantes
Power Score
82.42
67.05
League Position
2
17
Global Rank
47
269

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Lens Opponent-weighted form score
Nantes Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lens Nantes

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 17 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Lens LEN Home
17 matches
Nantes NAN Away
Match Record
8
Wins
4
5
Draws
5
4
Losses
8
Goals
26
Goals Scored
18
18
Goals Conceded
26
+8
Goal Difference
-8
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-07T00:04:21+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
R. Risser
France
40 R. Risser
P. Ganiou
France
25 P. Ganiou
S. Baidoo
Austria
6 S. Baidoo
M. Sarr
France
20 M. Sarr
R. Aguilar
France
2 R. Aguilar
A. Haidara
Mali
21 A. Haidara
A. Bulatović
Montenegro
5 A. Bulatović
M. Udol
France
14 M. Udol
F. Thauvin
France
10 F. Thauvin
O. Édouard
France
11 O. Édouard
A. Saint-Maximin
France
9 A. Saint-Maximin
P. Carlgren
Sweden
30 P. Carlgren
N. Cozza
France
3 N. Cozza
S. Doucouré
France
72 S. Doucouré
C. Collins Awaziem
Nigeria
6 C. Collins Awaziem
F. Guilbert
France
24 F. Guilbert
I. Sissoko
Mali
28 I. Sissoko
M. Kaba
France
21 M. Kaba
J. Lepenant
France
8 J. Lepenant
R. Cabella
France
20 R. Cabella
I. Kpene Ganago
Cameroon
37 I. Kpene Ganago
M. Abline
France
10 M. Abline

General Information

Date & Time
May 08, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Capacity
38223
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Mathieu Vernice
Antoine Valnet
Florian Gonçalves de Araujo
Erwan Finjean

Lineup

Referee : Mathieu Vernice

Starting XI

40
Robin Risser
Robin Risser Goalkeeper
6.86
6
Samson Baidoo
Samson Baidoo Defender
7.07
20
Malang Sarr
Malang Sarr Defender
7.17
25
Ismaëlo Ganiou
Ismaëlo Ganiou Defender
6.93
2
Ruben Aguilar
Ruben Aguilar Midfielder
6.98
5
Andrija Bulatovic
Andrija Bulatovic Midfielder
6.77
14
Matthieu Udol
Matthieu Udol Midfielder
7.08
21
Amadou Haidara
Amadou Haidara Midfielder
6.73
9
Allan Saint-Maximin
Allan Saint-Maximin Attacker
7.16
10
Florian Thauvin
Florian Thauvin Attacker
7.31
11
Odsonne Édouard
Odsonne Édouard Attacker
6.86
Referee : Mathieu Vernice

Starting XI

30
Patrik Carlgren
Patrik Carlgren Goalkeeper
7.89
3
Nicolas Cozza
Nicolas Cozza Defender
6.62
6
Chidozie Awaziem
Chidozie Awaziem Defender
6.87
24
Frédéric Guilbert
Frédéric Guilbert Defender
7.05
72
Sékou Doucoure
Sékou Doucoure Defender
6.77
8
Johann Lepenant
Johann Lepenant Midfielder
6.88
21
Mohamed Kaba
Mohamed Kaba Midfielder
6.94
28
Ibrahima Sissoko
Ibrahima Sissoko Midfielder
6.58
10
Matthis Abline
Matthis Abline Attacker
6.86
20
Rémy Cabella
Rémy Cabella Attacker
7.01
37
Ignatius Ganago
Ignatius Ganago Attacker
6.89

CONCLUSION

Lens' elevated league position, superior power rating, and better form make them heavy favorites at home. Nantes' lowly standing exposes vulnerabilities, particularly against Lens' structured approach. While set-piece and efficiency insights are limited, the hosts' overall edge in transitions and squad depth should prevail. Expect Lens to control proceedings, pressing high and converting opportunities efficiently. Nantes may rely on defensive resilience, but breaking down Lens at Bollaert-Delelis proves challenging. This matchup aligns with Lens pushing for top honors, likely securing a comfortable win.