Standard Liège vs OH Leuven preview

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Stade Maurice Dufrasne Fri, 8 May - 6:45 PM
Pro League
Standard LiègeSTL
OH LeuvenOHL
KICKOFF : Fri, 8 May - 6:45 PM
Round 7 Conference League Play-off Group

CONTEXT

Standard Liège host OH Leuven in Pro League (Conference League Play-off Group) at Stade Maurice Dufrasne. Power ranking favours Standard Liège by 6.3 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Standard Liège possesses a 6.3-point power advantage over OH Leuven with scores of 71.12 to 64.84.
  • Form: Standard Liège's form score stands at 21.67, far superior to OH Leuven's 5.
  • Squad: Squad strength aligns with power ratings favouring Standard Liège as the stronger team.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics are not provided for either team.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: No xG data available for Standard Liège or OH Leuven.
  • Market: Standard Liège 46.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.7% (Δ+0%) | OH Leuven 26.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Standard Liège V. Euvrard
V. Euvrard
VS
OH Leuven F. Mazzù
F. Mazzù
1.43
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.04
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Antwerp Rank: 72 W
Genk Rank: 77 D
Antwerp Rank: 70 L
Sporting Charleroi Rank: 69 W
Westerlo Rank: 71 L
OH Leuven Rank: 65 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Westerlo Rank: 71 D
Sporting Charleroi Rank: 69 L
Westerlo Rank: 71 L
Antwerp Rank: 68 L
Genk Rank: 76 D
Standard Liège Rank: 71 L
9
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
9 - 7 - 9
9
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Standard Liège
46.67%
Draw
26.67%
Away OH Leuven
26.67%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
71.12
64.84
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Standard Liège
OH Leuven
Power Score
71.12
64.84
League Position
8
12
Global Rank
190
341

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Standard Liège — Opponent-weighted form score
OH Leuven — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Standard Liège OH Leuven

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 25 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Standard Liège STL Home
25 matches
OH Leuven OHL Away
Match Record
9
Wins
9
7
Draws
7
9
Losses
9
Goals
34
Goals Scored
27
27
Goals Conceded
34
+7
Goal Difference
-7
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-08T00:05:59+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
May 08, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 7 · Conference League Play-off Group
Stadium
Stade Maurice Dufrasne
Capacity
27670
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Yves De Neve
Yves De Neve
Ruben Calluy
Bram Van Driessche

Expected Lineup

Referee : Bram Van Driessche

Starting XI ▼

1
Matthieu Epolo
Matthieu Epolo Goalkeeper
7.12
13
Marlon Fossey
Marlon Fossey Midfielder
6.82
3
Gustav Julius Mortensen
Gustav Julius Mortensen Midfielder
6.69
11
Adnane Abid
Adnane Abid Midfielder
6.86
17
Rafiki Saïd
Rafiki Saïd Midfielder
6.91
59
Timothé Nkada
Timothé Nkada Centre Forward
6.5
18
Henry Lawrence
Henry Lawrence Left Back
6.69
20
Ibrahim Karamoko
Ibrahim Karamoko Central Midfield
6.74
25
Ibe Hautekiet
Ibe Hautekiet Right Back
6.9
4
David Bates
David Bates Centre Back
6.96
94
Casper Nielsen
Casper Nielsen Central Midfield
6.87
Referee : Bram Van Driessche

Starting XI ▼

1
Tobe Leysen
Tobe Leysen Goalkeeper
6.97
17
Kyan Vaesen
Kyan Vaesen Midfielder
6.59
9
Abdoul Karim Traoré
Abdoul Karim Traoré Midfielder
6.59
14
Henok Teklab
Henok Teklab Midfielder
6.74
27
Óscar Gil
Óscar Gil Midfielder
6.6
39
Sory Kaba
Sory Kaba Centre Forward
6.87
6
Wouter George
Wouter George Central Midfield
6.62
30
Takahiro Akimoto
Takahiro Akimoto Left Back
6.84
24
Lukasz Lakomy
Lukasz Lakomy Central Midfield
6.8
28
Ewoud Pletinckx
Ewoud Pletinckx Right Back
6.82
34
Roggerio Nyakossi
Roggerio Nyakossi Centre Back
6.8

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Standard Liège holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Standard Liège a 6.3-point edge. External projection is Standard Liège 44.2%, draw 27.3%, and OH Leuven 28.5%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.