Hearts VS Rangers

2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland

Tynecastle Park Mon, 4 May - 4:30 PM

Premiership

Hearts Hearts

Rangers RAN

KICKOFF : Mon, 4 May - 4:30 PM

Round 35 2nd Phase

CONTEXT

Hearts welcome Rangers to Tynecastle Park for a crucial Premiership 2nd Phase encounter in the 2025/2026 season. Sitting atop the league table in 1st place, Hearts hold a domestic edge over 3rd-placed Rangers, who boast a superior power score of 77.24 compared to Hearts' 73.77, translating to a 3.5-point advantage for the visitors. Recent form scores are tightly contested, with Hearts slightly ahead at 29.22 against Rangers' 28.83, suggesting both sides enter evenly matched in momentum. As a league fixture, positioning stakes are high, with Hearts aiming to solidify their lead and Rangers pushing to close the gap. Structural power tilts toward Rangers, but home advantage at Tynecastle could level the field. Set piece analysis relies on low-confidence proxies with no xG data available, limiting insights into dead-ball threats. Efficiency and transition metrics remain unavailable, focusing attention on overall ratings and table standings for this pivotal clash.

TL;DR

Structural: Rangers hold a 3.5-point power advantage with 77.24 over Hearts' 73.77 despite Hearts leading the league at 1st to Rangers' 3rd.
Form: Hearts edge recent form with a 29.22 score compared to Rangers' 28.83.
Squad: League positions highlight Hearts' strong squad depth in 1st place versus Rangers in 3rd.
Efficiency: No efficiency metrics available for either team.
Transition: Power scores indicate Rangers' edge in open-play transitions.
Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable due to low-confidence proxies and absent xG metrics.
xVariable: No xG or advanced variable data provided for analysis.
Market: Hearts 34.9% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.3% (Δ+0%) | Rangers 38.8% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

D. McInnes

D. Röhl

1.91

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

2.25

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

10 - 11 - 39

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Hearts

34.86%

Draw

26.33%

Rangers

38.81%

Team Power Ranking

73.77

77.24

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Hearts

Rangers

Power Score

73.77

77.24

League Position

Global Rank

131

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Hearts — Opponent-weighted form score

Rangers — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Hearts Rangers

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 60 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Hearts Hearts Home

60 matches

Rangers RAN Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

118

Goals Conceded

-68

Goal Difference

+68

Expected Goals

xGA

Data last updated: 2026-05-04T00:07:55+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-4-2

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

25 A. Schwolow

15 M. Steinwender

4 C. Halkett

19 S. Findlay

3 S. Kingsley

23 J. Altena

6 B. Baningime

49 M. Leonard

11 P. Kabore

10 C. Soares Braga

9 L. Shankland

1 J. Butland

30 J. Meghoma

24 N. Djiga

37 E. Fernandez

21 D. Sterling

10 M. Diomande

43 N. Raskin

47 M. Moore

11 T. Aasgaard

23 D. Gassama

9 Y. Ramalho Chermiti

General Information

Date & Time

May 04, 2026, 04:30 PM

Competition

2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland · Round 35 · 2nd Phase

Stadium

Tynecastle Park

Capacity

20099

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees

John Beaton

David McGeachie

Jonathan Bell

Ryan Lee

Expected Lineup

Referee : John Beaton

Manager ▼

D. McInnes Coach

Starting XI ▼

Alexander Schwolow Goalkeeper

6.77

Stephen Kingsley Defender

6.92

Craig Halkett Defender

7.12

Michael Steinwender Defender

6.72

Stuart Findlay Defender

7.11

Jordi Altena Defender

6.62

Beni Baningime Midfielder

6.7

Marc Leonard Midfielder

7.46

Lawrence Shankland Attacker

7.2

Cláudio Braga Attacker

7.01

Pierre Landry Kabore Attacker

6.87

Referee : John Beaton

Manager ▼

D. Röhl Coach

Starting XI ▼

Jack Butland Goalkeeper

6.89

Dujon Sterling Defender

6.89

Nasser Djiga Defender

6.97

Jayden Meghoma Defender

6.79

Emmanuel Fernandez Defender

7.27

Mohamed Diomandé Midfielder

6.8

Thelo Aasgaard Midfielder

7.07

Nicolas Raskin Midfielder

7.34

Youssef Chermiti Attacker

7.12

Djeidi Gassama Attacker

6.97

Mikey Moore Attacker

6.84

CONCLUSION

This Premiership showdown pits league leaders Hearts against power-favored Rangers at Tynecastle Park. Hearts' top-table position and marginal form edge provide momentum, yet Rangers' 3.5-point power superiority signals their potential to disrupt. Without detailed efficiency, transition, or set-piece insights, the contest hinges on structural strengths and home support. Rangers' higher rating positions them to exploit any lapses, but Hearts' domestic dominance suggests resilience. Expect a balanced, high-stakes battle where fine margins will decide progression in the 2nd Phase.

STANDINGS

CONTEXT