Roma VS Fiorentina

2025/2026 Serie A, Italy

Stadio Olimpico Today - 6:45 PM

Serie A

Roma ROM

Fiorentina FIO

KICKOFF : Today - 6:45 PM

Round 35 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Roma host Fiorentina in Serie A (Regular Season) at Stadio Olimpico. Domestically, Roma sit 6th in the table while Fiorentina are 16th. Power ranking favours Roma by 6.9 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

Structural: Roma possesses a 6.9-point power advantage with a score of 84.69 over Fiorentina's 77.8.
Form: Fiorentina edges form with a 24.17 score compared to Roma's 18.56.
Squad: Roma ranks 6th in Serie A while Fiorentina sits 16th.
Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this matchup.
Transition: Transition play details are not provided in current analysis.
Set pieces: Set piece stats rely on low-confidence proxy data without xG availability.
xVariable: xG-related variables absent due to disabled add-on.
Market: Roma 60% (Δ+0%) | Draw 23.3% (Δ+0%) | Fiorentina 16.8% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

G. Gasperini

P. Vanoli

1.67

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.38

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

25 - 11 - 11

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Roma

59.97%

Draw

23.28%

Fiorentina

16.75%

Team Power Ranking

84.69

77.8

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Roma

Fiorentina

Power Score

84.69

77.8

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Roma — Opponent-weighted form score

Fiorentina — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Roma Fiorentina

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 47 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Roma ROM Home

47 matches

Fiorentina FIO Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

+14

Goal Difference

-14

Expected Goals

xGA

Data last updated: 2026-05-04T00:08:33+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1

Match Formation 4-3-3

99 M. Svilar

23 G. Mancini

5 O. N'Dicka

22 M. Hermoso Canseco

2 D. Rensch

69 M. Bah

4 B. Cristante

43 W. França Lima

18 M. Malvano

61 N. Pisilli

14 D. Malen

43 D. de Gea Quintana

6 L. Ranieri

5 M. Pongracic

3 D. Rugani

2 D. Cordeiro dos Santos

27 C. Ndour

44 N. Fagioli

8 R. Mandragora

19 M. Solomon

10 A. Gudmundsson

17 J. Harrison

General Information

Date & Time

May 04, 2026, 06:45 PM

Competition

2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 35 · Regular Season

Stadium

Stadio Olimpico

Capacity

72698

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees

Luca Zufferli

Luigi Rossi

Marco Ceccon

Andrea Rapuano

Lineup

Referee : Luca Zufferli

Manager ▼

G. Gasperini Coach

Starting XI ▼

Mile Svilar Goalkeeper

7.02

Devyne Rensch Defender

6.79

Evan Ndicka Defender

6.95

Mario Hermoso Defender

6.9

Gianluca Mancini Defender

6.98

Wesley Defender

6.9

Bryan Cristante Midfielder

6.97

Matías Soulé Midfielder

7.05

Niccolò Pisilli Midfielder

6.63

Muhammed Bah Midfielder

Donyell Malen Attacker

7.15

Referee : Luca Zufferli

Manager ▼

P. Vanoli Coach

Starting XI ▼

David de Gea Goalkeeper

6.83

Dodô Defender

6.92

Daniele Rugani Defender

6.59

Marin Pongracic Defender

6.76

Luca Ranieri Defender

6.75

Rolando Mandragora Midfielder

7.08

Cher Ndour Midfielder

6.66

Nicolò Fagioli Midfielder

7.25

Albert Gudmundsson Attacker

6.89

Jack Harrison Attacker

6.71

Manor Solomon Attacker

7.03

CONCLUSION

Roma's home strength and higher power rating position them favorably against a Fiorentina side buoyed by better recent form but mired in the lower reaches of the table. The 6.9-point edge underscores Roma's structural dominance at the Stadio Olimpico, where crowd support often amplifies their play. Fiorentina must capitalize on their form score to counter this, yet league standings reveal Roma's consistency. Without granular efficiency or set piece insights, the focus shifts to overall execution. Expect Roma to control possession and press their advantage, while Fiorentina seeks counter opportunities. This clash could extend Roma's solid run while halting Fiorentina's mini-resurgence.

STANDINGS

CONTEXT