Everton vs Manchester City preview

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
Hill Dickinson Stadium Today - 7:00 PM
Premier League
Everton EVE
Manchester City MCI
KICKOFF : Today - 7:00 PM
Round 35 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Everton welcome Manchester City to Hill Dickinson Stadium for a Premier League regular season clash in the 2025/2026 campaign. The Toffees sit 11th in the table, grappling with inconsistency, while City lurk in 2nd, primed for another title push. City's power score of 98.27 dwarfs Everton's 87.16, signaling an 11.1-point advantage that underscores their structural superiority. Form metrics further tilt the scales, with City's 33.89 rating trouncing Everton's modest 13.72. Lacking recent outing details, both sides build on seasonal trajectories, but City's pedigree shines through. Set-piece and efficiency data remain unavailable, leaving questions over specialized threats. Everton's home resilience faces City's relentless attack in this mismatch.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Manchester City possess a 11.1-point power advantage over Everton, with scores of 98.27 versus 87.16.
  • Form: Manchester City's form score stands at 33.89, significantly ahead of Everton's 13.72.
  • Squad: Everton occupy 11th place in the league, while Manchester City are in 2nd.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available for either team.
  • Transition: Insufficient transition data provided for analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece metrics unavailable due to lack of xG data for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG data absent, limiting advanced variable insights.
  • Market: Everton 14.8% (Δ+0%) | Draw 21.2% (Δ+0%) | Manchester City 64% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Everton D. Moyes
D. Moyes
VS
Manchester City Josep Guardiola
Josep Guardiola
1.46
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.22
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
West Ham United Rank: 83 L
Liverpool Rank: 91 L
Brentford Rank: 88 D
Chelsea Rank: 89 W
Arsenal Rank: 98 L
Burnley Rank: 77 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Burnley Rank: 77 W
Arsenal Rank: 98 W
Chelsea Rank: 90 W
West Ham United Rank: 83 D
Nottingham Forest Rank: 88 D
Leeds United Rank: 87 W
15
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
15 - 10 - 27
27
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Everton
14.81%
Draw
21.21%
Away Manchester City
63.98%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
87.16
98.27
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Everton
Manchester City
Power Score
87.16
98.27
League Position
11
2
Global Rank
23
2

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Everton — Opponent-weighted form score
Manchester City — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Everton Manchester City

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 52 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Everton EVE Home
52 matches
Manchester City MCI Away
Match Record
15
Wins
27
10
Draws
10
27
Losses
15
Goals
51
Goals Scored
86
86
Goals Conceded
51
-35
Goal Difference
+35
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-04T00:08:38+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
J. Pickford
England
1 J. Pickford
J. O´Brien
Republic of Ireland
15 J. O´Brien
J. Tarkowski
England
6 J. Tarkowski
M. Keane
England
5 M. Keane
V. Mykolenko
Ukraine
16 V. Mykolenko
I. Gueye
Senegal
27 I. Gueye
J. Garner
England
37 J. Garner
D. McNeil
England
7 D. McNeil
K. Dewsbury-Hall
England
22 K. Dewsbury-Hall
I. Ndiaye
Senegal
10 I. Ndiaye
T. Barry
France
11 T. Barry
G. Donnarumma
Italy
25 G. Donnarumma
R. Aït Nouri
Algeria
21 R. Aït Nouri
M. Guehi
England
15 M. Guehi
A. Khusanov
Uzbekistan
45 A. Khusanov
M. Nunes
Portugal
27 M. Nunes
N. O'Reilly
England
33 N. O'Reilly
B. Silva
Portugal
20 B. Silva
J. Doku
Belgium
11 J. Doku
M. Cherki
France
10 M. Cherki
A. Semenyo
Ghana
42 A. Semenyo
E. Haaland
Norway
9 E. Haaland

General Information

Date & Time
May 04, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 35 · Regular Season
Stadium
Hill Dickinson Stadium
Capacity
52888
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Michael Oliver
Stuart Burt
Nick Greenhalgh
Andy Madley

Lineup

Referee : Michael Oliver

Starting XI ▼

1
Jordan Pickford
Jordan Pickford Goalkeeper
6.84
5
Michael Keane
Michael Keane Defender
7
6
James Tarkowski
James Tarkowski Defender
7.14
15
Jake O'Brien
Jake O'Brien Defender
6.71
16
Vitaliy Mykolenko
Vitaliy Mykolenko Defender
6.69
22
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall Midfielder
7.08
27
Idrissa Gueye
Idrissa Gueye Midfielder
6.88
37
James Garner
James Garner Midfielder
7.33
7
Dwight McNeil
Dwight McNeil Attacker
6.76
10
Iliman Ndiaye
Iliman Ndiaye Attacker
6.96
11
Thierno Barry
Thierno Barry Attacker
6.6
Referee : Michael Oliver

Starting XI ▼

25
Gianluigi Donnarumma
Gianluigi Donnarumma Goalkeeper
6.9
15
Marc Guéhi
Marc Guéhi Defender
7.04
21
Rayan Aït-Nouri
Rayan Aït-Nouri Defender
6.89
27
Matheus Nunes
Matheus Nunes Defender
7.09
45
Abdukodir Khusanov
Abdukodir Khusanov Defender
6.89
10
Rayan Cherki
Rayan Cherki Midfielder
7.35
20
Bernardo Silva
Bernardo Silva Midfielder
6.95
33
Nico O'Reilly
Nico O'Reilly Midfielder
6.96
9
Erling Haaland
Erling Haaland Attacker
7.35
11
Jérémy Doku
Jérémy Doku Attacker
7.1
42
Antoine Semenyo
Antoine Semenyo Attacker
7

CONCLUSION

Manchester City arrive as overwhelming favorites, their superior power, form, and league standing poised to overwhelm Everton at Hill Dickinson Stadium. The Toffees' mid-table position offers little comfort against City's machine-like efficiency in open play. Without set-piece edges clarified, Everton must disrupt transitions to harbor hopes. Yet City's depth and momentum suggest a comfortable away win, extending their title charge while denting Everton's ambitions. This fixture highlights the Premier League's chasm between aspirants and elites.