Sevilla vs Real Sociedad preview

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán Today - 7:00 PM
La Liga
Sevilla SEV
Real Sociedad RSO
KICKOFF : Today - 7:00 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Sevilla host Real Sociedad at the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán in a crucial La Liga regular season clash during the 2025/2026 campaign. The hosts languish in 18th place, grappling with poor form rated at 10.28, while visitors Real Sociedad sit comfortably 9th with a stronger form score of 16.5. Sociedad's overall power rating edges ahead at 80.71 compared to Sevilla's 72.37, giving them an 8.3-point advantage and marking them as the superior side. Sevilla will lean on home advantage to spark a turnaround against a Basque outfit eyeing European spots. With no recent outings detailed, both teams enter on current trajectories. Set-piece data remains unavailable due to low confidence and proxy usage, leaving tactical battles open. This matchup pits desperation against momentum in the relegation scrap.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Real Sociedad holds an 8.3-point power advantage and sits 9th, while Sevilla is 18th in La Liga.
  • Form: Real Sociedad's form score of 16.5 outpaces Sevilla's 10.28.
  • Squad: No specific squad updates available for either team.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play data not provided in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece xG data unavailable with low confidence and proxy used for both teams.
  • xVariable: Advanced xG variables not accessible due to data limitations.
  • Market: Sevilla 38% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27.8% (Δ+0%) | Real Sociedad 34.3% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Sevilla L. García Plaza
L. García Plaza
VS
Real Sociedad P. Matarazzo
P. Matarazzo
0.95
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.41
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Osasuna Rank: 77 L
Levante Rank: 73 L
Atlético Madrid Rank: 90 W
Real Oviedo Rank: 71 L
Valencia Rank: 77 L
FC Barcelona Rank: 96 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rayo Vallecano Rank: 76 D
Getafe Rank: 76 L
Deportivo Alavés Rank: 76 D
Levante Rank: 74 W
Villarreal Rank: 84 L
Osasuna Rank: 78 W
16
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
16 - 7 - 12
12
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sevilla
37.96%
Draw
27.75%
Away Real Sociedad
34.29%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
72.37
80.71
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sevilla
Real Sociedad
Power Score
72.37
80.71
League Position
18
9
Global Rank
154
56

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Sevilla Opponent-weighted form score
Real Sociedad Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sevilla Real Sociedad

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 35 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sevilla SEV Home
35 matches
Real Sociedad RSO Away
Match Record
16
Wins
12
7
Draws
7
12
Losses
16
Goals
52
Goals Scored
45
45
Goals Conceded
52
+7
Goal Difference
-7
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-04T00:08:48+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
O. Vlachodimos
Greece
1 O. Vlachodimos
José Ángel Carmona
Spain
2 José Ángel Carmona
A. López Gallo
Spain
32 A. López Gallo
Kike Salas
Spain
4 Kike Salas
C. Azpilicueta Tanco
Spain
3 C. Azpilicueta Tanco
R. Vargas
Switzerland
11 R. Vargas
L. Agoume
France
18 L. Agoume
J. Jordán Moreno
Spain
8 J. Jordán Moreno
J. Martínez Gauna
Spain
36 J. Martínez Gauna
N. Maupay
France
17 N. Maupay
I. Romero Bernal
Spain
7 I. Romero Bernal
A. Remiro Gargallo
Spain
1 A. Remiro Gargallo
S. Gómez
Spain
17 S. Gómez
D. Ćaleta-Car
Croatia
16 D. Ćaleta-Car
J. Martín Vicente
Spain
31 J. Martín Vicente
J. Aramburu
Venezuela
2 J. Aramburu
A. Barrenetxea Muguruza
Spain
7 A. Barrenetxea Muguruza
B. Turrientes Imaz
Spain
8 B. Turrientes Imaz
C. Soler Barragán
Spain
18 C. Soler Barragán
T. Kubo
Japan
14 T. Kubo
M. Oyarzabal Ugarte
Spain
10 M. Oyarzabal Ugarte
O. Óskarsson
Iceland
9 O. Óskarsson

General Information

Date & Time
May 04, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Capacity
42714
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Lineup

Starting XI

1
Odysseas Vlachodimos
Odysseas Vlachodimos Goalkeeper
6.73
2
José Ángel Carmona
José Ángel Carmona Defender
6.65
3
César Azpilicueta
César Azpilicueta Defender
6.84
4
Kike Salas
Kike Salas Defender
6.88
32
Andrés Castrín
Andrés Castrín Defender
6.84
8
Joan Jordán
Joan Jordán Midfielder
6.26
11
Rubén Vargas
Rubén Vargas Midfielder
6.86
18
Lucien Agoumé
Lucien Agoumé Midfielder
6.82
36
Oso
Oso Midfielder
6.78
7
Isaac Romero
Isaac Romero Attacker
6.57
17
Neal Maupay
Neal Maupay Attacker
6.73

Starting XI

1
Álex Remiro
Álex Remiro Goalkeeper
6.79
2
Jon Aramburu
Jon Aramburu Defender
6.76
16
Duje Caleta-Car
Duje Caleta-Car Defender
6.79
17
Sergio Gómez
Sergio Gómez Defender
6.93
31
Jon Martín
Jon Martín Defender
6.92
7
Ander Barrenetxea
Ander Barrenetxea Midfielder
6.89
8
Beñat Turrientes
Beñat Turrientes Midfielder
6.84
14
Takefusa Kubo
Takefusa Kubo Midfielder
7.04
18
Carlos Soler
Carlos Soler Midfielder
7.09
9
Orri Óskarsson
Orri Óskarsson Attacker
6.86
10
Mikel Oyarzabal
Mikel Oyarzabal Attacker
7.17

CONCLUSION

Real Sociedad arrives as the stronger outfit with superior power ratings, form, and league standing, positioning them to exploit Sevilla's vulnerabilities at the bottom of the table. The hosts' home ground offers hope, but their inferior metrics suggest a tough challenge ahead. Without detailed set-piece or efficiency insights, the focus falls on Sociedad's momentum potentially securing a vital away result in their push for higher finishes. Sevilla must rally defensively and capitalize on transitions to avoid deepening their relegation woes. Expect a competitive encounter where the visitors' edge could prove decisive.