Sporting CP vs Vitória Guimarães preview

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio José Alvalade Today - 7:15 PM
Liga Portugal
Sporting CP SCP
Vitória Guimarães VSC
KICKOFF : Today - 7:15 PM
Round 32 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Sporting CP host Vitória Guimarães in Liga Portugal (Regular Season) at Estádio José Alvalade. Domestically, Sporting CP sit 3th in the table while Vitória Guimarães are 7th. Power ranking favours Sporting CP by 15.5 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Sporting CP commands a 15.5-point power advantage and third-place standing over Vitória Guimarães' seventh position.
  • Form: Vitória Guimarães edges form slightly with a 20.06 score versus Sporting CP's 19.67.
  • Squad: Sporting CP's squad rates higher at 87.86 power score compared to Vitória Guimarães' 72.35.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency metrics provided for either team in this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition data unavailable due to missing detailed statistics.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis impossible without xG data for both squads.
  • xVariable: xG variables inaccessible as underlying data remains unavailable.
  • Market: Baseline split: Sporting CP 74.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 17.2% (Δ+0%) | Vitória Guimarães 8.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Sporting CP R. Gomes Borges
R. Gomes Borges
VS
Vitória Guimarães G. Moreira Lameiras
G. Moreira Lameiras
2.29
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.48
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Tondela Rank: 59 D
AVS Rank: 55 D
Benfica Rank: 86 L
Estrela Amadora Rank: 59 W
Santa Clara Rank: 66 W
Alverca Rank: 66 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rio Ave Rank: 64 W
Gil Vicente Rank: 69 W
AVS Rank: 55 D
Tondela Rank: 60 W
Benfica Rank: 87 L
Famalicão Rank: 74 L
25
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
25 - 9 - 5
5
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sporting CP
74.27%
Draw
17.15%
Away Vitória Guimarães
8.58%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
87.86
72.35
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sporting CP
Vitória Guimarães
Power Score
87.86
72.35
League Position
3
7
Global Rank
19
150

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sporting CP — Opponent-weighted form score
Vitória Guimarães — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sporting CP Vitória Guimarães

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 39 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sporting CP SCP Home
39 matches
Vitória Guimarães VSC Away
Match Record
25
Wins
5
9
Draws
9
5
Losses
25
Goals
81
Goals Scored
32
32
Goals Conceded
81
+49
Goal Difference
-49
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-04T00:08:56+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
R. Dantas da Silva
1 R. Dantas da Silva
G. Vagiannidis
13 G. Vagiannidis
E. Quaresma Coimbra Simões
72 E. Quaresma Coimbra Simões
Z. Debast
6 Z. Debast
M. Araújo Vilches
20 M. Araújo Vilches
H. Morita
5 H. Morita
D. Santos Bragança
23 D. Santos Bragança
G. Cipriano Catamo
10 G. Cipriano Catamo
P. Pereira Gonçalves
8 P. Pereira Gonçalves
G. Quenda
7 G. Quenda
L. Suárez Charris
97 L. Suárez Charris
C. da Silva
27 C. da Silva
João Mendes
13 João Mendes
O. Rivas Viondi
4 O. Rivas Viondi
T. Balieiro Lourenço de Carvalho
28 T. Balieiro Lourenço de Carvalho
M. Gomes Ferreira Magalhães
2 M. Gomes Ferreira Magalhães
D. Lobão Sousa
23 D. Lobão Sousa
B. Mambuene Mukendi
16 B. Mambuene Mukendi
N. Jose Saviolo
48 N. Jose Saviolo
F. Amorim Silva
20 F. Amorim Silva
O. Camara
19 O. Camara
G. da Silva Cunha
11 G. da Silva Cunha

General Information

Date & Time
May 04, 2026, 07:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio José Alvalade
Capacity
52095
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
António Emanuel Carvalho Nobre
Nélson Filipe Vila Pereira
Francisco João Serra Jorge Pereira
Diogo Rosa

Expected Lineup

Referee : António Emanuel Carvalho Nobre

Starting XI ▼

1
Rui Silva
Rui Silva Goalkeeper
6.93
97
Luis Suárez
Luis Suárez Centre Forward
7.46
10
Geny Catamo
Geny Catamo Right Wing
7.1
5
Hidemasa Morita
Hidemasa Morita Defensive Midfield
6.87
13
Georgios Vagiannidis
Georgios Vagiannidis Right Back
6.85
8
Pedro Gonçalves
Pedro Gonçalves Attacking Midfield
7.55
7
Geovany Quenda
Geovany Quenda Left Wing
6.9
6
Zeno Debast
Zeno Debast Left Back
6.89
20
Maxi Araújo
Maxi Araújo Left Back
7.09
72
Eduardo Quaresma
Eduardo Quaresma Right Back
7.08
23
Daniel Bragança
Daniel Bragança Defensive Midfield
7.1
Referee : António Emanuel Carvalho Nobre

Starting XI ▼

27
Charles
Charles Goalkeeper
6.79
11
Gustavo Silva
Gustavo Silva Centre Forward
6.88
4
Óscar Rivas
Óscar Rivas Left Back
7.02
16
Beni Mukendi
Beni Mukendi Defensive Midfield
6.85
19
Oumar Camara
Oumar Camara Right Wing
6.74
20
Samu
Samu Attacking Midfield
6.94
28
Thiago Balieiro
Thiago Balieiro Right Back
6.79
2
Maga
Maga Right Back
6.69
23
Diogo Sousa
Diogo Sousa Defensive Midfield
6.83
48
Noah Jose Saviolo
Noah Jose Saviolo Left Wing
6.74
13
João Mendes
João Mendes Left Back
6.77

CONCLUSION

Sporting CP arrives with overwhelming structural superiority, including a 15.5-point power lead and home dominance at Alvalade, setting the stage for victory. Vitória Guimarães' minor form advantage at 20.06 pales against the hosts' 87.86 rating and third-place perch. Data voids in set pieces, efficiency, and transition leave room for surprises, yet Sporting's consistency should shine through. The baseline split reinforces expectations of a Lions triumph, capitalizing on their edge over seventh-placed opponents to collect crucial points in the Liga Portugal race.