Antalyaspor vs Alanyaspor preview

Türkiye flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye
Antalya Stadyumu Yesterday - 5:00 PM
Super Lig
Antalyaspor ANT
Alanyaspor ANY
KICKOFF : Yesterday - 5:00 PM
Round 32 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Antalyaspor welcome Alanyaspor to Antalya Stadyumu for a crucial Super Lig regular season clash in the 2025/2026 campaign. Sitting 16th in the table, the hosts face a tough test against 12th-placed visitors who boast a clear power advantage of 8.6 points, with Alanyaspor's overall rating at 68.23 compared to Antalyaspor's 59.66. Form favours the away side too, as their recent score of 15.56 dwarfs the home team's 8.06, suggesting greater momentum heading into this fixture. Both teams lack detailed efficiency and set-piece metrics due to unavailable xG data, but Alanyaspor's higher standing and superior ratings position them as the stronger outfit. Antalyaspor will rely on home advantage to bridge the gap, while Alanyaspor aim to capitalize on their edge in a match that could shift mid-table dynamics.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Alanyaspor hold a 8.6-point power advantage over Antalyaspor with ratings of 68.23 versus 59.66.
  • Form: Alanyaspor's form score of 15.56 significantly outpaces Antalyaspor's 8.06.
  • Squad: Antalyaspor languish in 16th place while Alanyaspor sit 12th in the Super Lig standings.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: No specific transition play metrics provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables absent as data not enabled for this fixture.
  • Market: Antalyaspor 31% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28.9% (Δ+0%) | Alanyaspor 40.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Antalyaspor S. Uğurlu
S. Uğurlu
VS
Alanyaspor N. Pereira Costa
N. Pereira Costa
0.86
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.95
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Göztepe Rank: 72 L
Konyaspor Rank: 68 L
Beşiktaş Rank: 77 L
Eyüpspor Rank: 64 W
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: 76 D
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: 65 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Samsunspor Rank: 71 L
Kasımpaşa Rank: 65 L
Trabzonspor Rank: 80 D
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: 65 D
Kocaelispor Rank: 65 W
Göztepe Rank: 73 D
10
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
10 - 4 - 5
5
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Antalyaspor
31.01%
Draw
28.87%
Away Alanyaspor
40.11%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
59.66
68.23
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Antalyaspor
Alanyaspor
Power Score
59.66
68.23
League Position
16
12
Global Rank
485
243

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Antalyaspor — Opponent-weighted form score
Alanyaspor — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Antalyaspor Alanyaspor

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 19 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Antalyaspor ANT Home
19 matches
Alanyaspor ANY Away
Match Record
10
Wins
5
4
Draws
4
5
Losses
10
Goals
29
Goals Scored
21
21
Goals Conceded
29
+8
Goal Difference
-8
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-02T01:08:34+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
J. Cuesta Díaz
1 J. Cuesta Díaz
E. Yeşilyurt
17 E. Yeşilyurt
B. Öztürk
5 B. Öztürk
L. Gianetti
30 L. Gianetti
K. Paal
3 K. Paal
J. Ceesay
23 J. Ceesay
N. Storm
26 N. Storm
R. Safouri
8 R. Safouri
D. Šarić
88 D. Šarić
D. Sinik
70 D. Sinik
S. van de Streek
22 S. van de Streek
P. de Mileo Vidotti
48 P. de Mileo Vidotti
?. Akdağ
50 ?. Akdağ
N. Reis Lima
3 N. Reis Lima
F. Aksoy
20 F. Aksoy
R. Pereira Duarte
11 R. Pereira Duarte
N. Janvier
17 N. Janvier
A. Simão Muanza
58 A. Simão Muanza
F. Hadërgjonaj
94 F. Hadërgjonaj
İ. Kaya
27 İ. Kaya
G. Yalçın
10 G. Yalçın
U. Hwang
16 U. Hwang

General Information

Date & Time
May 03, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium
Antalya Stadyumu
Capacity
32537
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Suat Güz
Ali Can Alp
Burak Demirkıran
Atilla Karaoğlan

Expected Lineup

Referee : Atilla Karaoğlan

Starting XI ▼

1
Julián Cuesta
Julián Cuesta Goalkeeper
7
70
Doğukan Sinik
Doğukan Sinik Midfielder
6.58
26
Nikola Storm
Nikola Storm Midfielder
6.84
22
Sander van de Streek
Sander van de Streek Centre Forward
6.82
3
Kenneth Paal
Kenneth Paal Left Back
6.57
5
Bahadır Öztürk
Bahadır Öztürk Right Back
6.65
88
Dario Saric
Dario Saric Central Midfield
6.67
8
Ramzi Safuri
Ramzi Safuri Central Midfield
7.03
17
Erdoğan Yeşilyurt
Erdoğan Yeşilyurt Right Back
6.58
23
Jesper Ceesay
Jesper Ceesay Defensive Midfield
6.73
30
Lautaro Giannetti
Lautaro Giannetti Left Back
6.74
Referee : Atilla Karaoğlan

Starting XI ▼

48
Paulo Victor
Paulo Victor Goalkeeper
6.71
11
Ruan
Ruan Midfielder
6.94
94
Florent Hadergjonaj
Florent Hadergjonaj Midfielder
7.08
27
İbrahim Kaya
İbrahim Kaya Attacker
6.82
16
Ui-jo Hwang
Ui-jo Hwang Attacker
6.86
10
Güven Yalçın
Güven Yalçın Centre Forward
6.74
20
Fatih Aksoy
Fatih Aksoy Right Back
6.61
50
Ümit Akdağ
Ümit Akdağ Left Back
6.92
3
Nuno Lima
Nuno Lima Centre Back
6.84
17
Nicolas Janvier
Nicolas Janvier Central Midfield
6.87
58
Maestro
Maestro Central Midfield
6.85

CONCLUSION

Alanyaspor arrive as the form and power favourites, holding a decisive edge that could see them extend their mid-table buffer over struggling Antalyaspor. The hosts' home turf offers hope, but inferior ratings and form scores paint a challenging picture. Without granular set-piece or efficiency insights, the focus falls on Alanyaspor's structural superiority and recent momentum to grind out a result. Expect a competitive encounter where the visitors' quality shines through, potentially securing vital points in the Super Lig race.