Katowice vs Nieciecza preview

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion ul. Bukowa Sun, 3 May - 10:15 AM
Ekstraklasa
Katowice Katowice
Nieciecza Nieciecza
KICKOFF : Sun, 3 May - 10:15 AM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the Ekstraklasa regular season at Stadion ul. Bukowa, Katowice host struggling Nieciecza in a matchup tilted toward the home side. Katowice sit 7th in the standings with a power score of 28.55, outpacing Nieciecza's 21.47 by 7.1 points, marking them as the stronger team overall. Form scores further highlight the disparity, with Katowice at 21.11 compared to the visitors' 15.06, suggesting better recent momentum despite no detailed last outings available. League positions underscore Katowice's solidity against Nieciecza's 18th-place woes. Set piece data carries low confidence, using proxies without xG availability for attacks or defenses on both sides. This preview emphasizes core metrics like power and form, where Katowice hold clear edges in structure and execution. The home team appears poised to exploit these advantages in a contest defined by uneven quality.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Katowice hold a 7.1-point power advantage and 7th place over Nieciecza's 18th.
  • Form: Katowice's form score of 21.11 exceeds Nieciecza's 15.06.
  • Squad: Katowice's higher power score of 28.55 reflects superior squad strength versus Nieciecza's 21.47.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition play data is not provided in available statistics.
  • Set pieces: Set pieces show low confidence with proxy data and no xG for Katowice or Nieciecza.
  • xVariable: xG variables remain unavailable as the add-on is not enabled.
  • Market: Katowice 54.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 23.9% (Δ+0%) | Nieciecza 21.8% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Katowice R. Górak
R. Górak
VS
Nieciecza M. Brosz
M. Brosz
1.69
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.13
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Korona Kielce Rank: D
Motor Lublin Rank: W
Lech Poznań Rank: D
Wisła Płock Rank: W
Cracovia Kraków Rank: L
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: W
Wisła Płock Rank: L
Widzew Lodz Rank: L
Piast Gliwice Rank: W
Lech Poznań Rank: L
Motor Lublin Rank: L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Katowice
54.31%
Draw
23.9%
Away Nieciecza
21.79%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
28.55
21.47
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Katowice
Nieciecza
Power Score
28.55
21.47
League Position
7
18
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Katowice Opponent-weighted form score
Nieciecza Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Katowice Nieciecza

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Katowice Katowice Home
1 matches
Nieciecza Nieciecza Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
3
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:34:58+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
May 03, 2026, 10:15 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion ul. Bukowa
Capacity
7455
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

1
Dawid Kudła
Dawid Kudła Goalkeeper
12
Rafal Straczek
Rafal Straczek Goalkeeper
34
Wojciech Pańkowski
Wojciech Pańkowski Goalkeeper
2
Märten Kuusk
Märten Kuusk Defender
6
Lukas Klemenz
Lukas Klemenz Defender
30
Alan Czerwiński
Alan Czerwiński Defender
4
Arkadiusz Jędrych
Arkadiusz Jędrych Defender
3
Aleksander Paluszek
Aleksander Paluszek Defender
14
Marius Berntsen Olsen
Marius Berntsen Olsen Defender
25
Łukasz Trepka
Łukasz Trepka Defender
11
Adrian Błąd
Adrian Błąd Midfielder
70
Mateusz Wdowiak
Mateusz Wdowiak Midfielder
27
Bartosz Nowak
Bartosz Nowak Midfielder
23
Marcin Wasielewski
Marcin Wasielewski Midfielder
26
Damian Rasak
Damian Rasak Midfielder
22
Sebastian Milewski
Sebastian Milewski Midfielder
97
Erik Jirka
Erik Jirka Midfielder
8
Borja Galán González
Borja Galán González Midfielder
17
Mateusz Marzec
Mateusz Marzec Midfielder
16
Grzegorz Rogala
Grzegorz Rogala Midfielder
15
Eman Marković
Eman Marković Midfielder
10
Marcel Wędrychowski
Marcel Wędrychowski Midfielder
5
Jesse Bosch
Jesse Bosch Midfielder
24
Konrad Gruszkowski
Konrad Gruszkowski Midfielder
19
Kacper Łukasiak
Kacper Łukasiak Midfielder
77
Mateusz Kowalczyk
Mateusz Kowalczyk Midfielder
28
Alan Bród
Alan Bród Midfielder
20
Filip Rejczyk
Filip Rejczyk Midfielder
Kacper Ćwielong
Kacper Ćwielong Midfielder
99
Adam Zreľák
Adam Zreľák Attacker
80
Ilya Shkurin
Ilya Shkurin Attacker
21
Jakub Kokosiński
Jakub Kokosiński Attacker

Squad

99
Milosz Mleczko
Milosz Mleczko Goalkeeper
1
Adrián Chovan
Adrián Chovan Goalkeeper
2
Bartosz Kopacz
Bartosz Kopacz Defender
77
Artem Putivtsev
Artem Putivtsev Defender
3
Arkadiusz Kasperkiewicz
Arkadiusz Kasperkiewicz Defender
27
Radu Ștefăniță Boboc
Radu Ștefăniță Boboc Defender
5
Lucas Gabriel Masoero Masi
Lucas Gabriel Masoero Masi Defender
29
Gabriel Isik
Gabriel Isik Defender
32
M. Matysik
M. Matysik Defender
8
Rafał Maciej Kurzawa
Rafał Maciej Kurzawa Midfielder
28
Maciej Ambrosiewicz
Maciej Ambrosiewicz Midfielder
6
Maciej Wolski
Maciej Wolski Midfielder
53
Andrzej Trubeha
Andrzej Trubeha Midfielder
13
Krzysztof Kubica
Krzysztof Kubica Midfielder
7
Morgan Faßbender
Morgan Faßbender Midfielder
21
Damian Hilbrycht
Damian Hilbrycht Midfielder
23
Sergio Guerrero Romero
Sergio Guerrero Romero Midfielder
17
Dominik Paniek
Dominik Paniek Midfielder
22
Noah Mrosek
Noah Mrosek Midfielder
86
Igor Strzałek
Igor Strzałek Midfielder
26
Wojciech Jakubik
Wojciech Jakubik Midfielder
25
Kamil Zapolnik
Kamil Zapolnik Attacker
9
Jesús Jiménez Núñez
Jesús Jiménez Núñez Attacker
19
Ivan Durdov
Ivan Durdov Attacker

CONCLUSION

Katowice approach this home fixture with distinct advantages in power score, form, and league position, positioning them as favorites against bottom-dwelling Nieciecza. The 7.1-point edge and superior metrics suggest the hosts will control proceedings, creating more opportunities through structured play. Nieciecza's lower scores across key areas indicate vulnerability, particularly away from home. While set piece and advanced stats lack depth due to data limitations, underlying team quality favors Katowice decisively. Expect a performance that translates their strengths into a comfortable result, widening the gap in the standings.