Bologna vs Cagliari preview

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Yesterday - 10:30 AM
Serie A
Bologna BOL
Cagliari CAG
KICKOFF : Yesterday - 10:30 AM
Round 35 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Bologna host Cagliari in Serie A (Regular Season) at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara. Domestically, Bologna sit 9th in the table while Cagliari are 16th. Power ranking favours Bologna by 7.4 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Bologna possesses a 7.4-point power advantage with a 77.68 score over Cagliari's 70.32.
  • Form: Bologna's form score stands at 17.11, surpassing Cagliari's 13.39.
  • Squad: Bologna occupies 9th in Serie A, while Cagliari sits in 16th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats rely on low-confidence proxies with no xG available.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables are unavailable due to data limitations.
  • Market: Bologna 51.9% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27.3% (Δ+0%) | Cagliari 20.8% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Bologna V. Italiano
V. Italiano
VS
Cagliari F. Pisacane
F. Pisacane
1.25
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.08
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Roma Rank: 83 L
Juventus Rank: 85 L
Lecce Rank: 68 W
Cremonese Rank: 67 W
Lazio Rank: 81 L
Sassuolo Rank: 75 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Atalanta Rank: 85 W
Inter Rank: 90 L
Cremonese Rank: 67 W
Sassuolo Rank: 75 L
Napoli Rank: 86 L
Pisa Rank: 63 L
14
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
14 - 7 - 10
10
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Bologna
51.91%
Draw
27.31%
Away Cagliari
20.78%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
77.68
70.32
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Bologna
Cagliari
Power Score
77.68
70.32
League Position
9
16
Global Rank
76
190

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Bologna — Opponent-weighted form score
Cagliari — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Bologna Cagliari

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 31 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Bologna BOL Home
31 matches
Cagliari CAG Away
Match Record
14
Wins
10
7
Draws
7
10
Losses
14
Goals
41
Goals Scored
32
32
Goals Conceded
41
+9
Goal Difference
-9
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-02T01:02:49+00:00

STARTING XI

Pitch
F. Ravaglia
Italy
13 F. Ravaglia
E. Fauske Helland
Norway
5 E. Fauske Helland
J. Lucumí Bonilla
Colombia
26 J. Lucumí Bonilla
T. Heggem
Norway
14 T. Heggem
L. De Silvestri
Italy
29 L. De Silvestri
L. Ferguson
Scotland
19 L. Ferguson
R. Freuler
Switzerland
8 R. Freuler
J. Miranda González
Spain
33 J. Miranda González
R. Orsolini
Italy
7 R. Orsolini
S. Castro
Argentina
9 S. Castro
N. Cambiaghi
Italy
28 N. Cambiaghi
E. Caprile
Italy
1 E. Caprile
A. Obert
Slovakia
33 A. Obert
J. Rodríguez Camejo
Uruguay
15 J. Rodríguez Camejo
Y. Mina González
Colombia
26 Y. Mina González
J. da Silva Figueiredo Freitas
Portugal
32 J. da Silva Figueiredo Freitas
G. Gaetano
Italy
10 G. Gaetano
M. Adopo
France
8 M. Adopo
M. Folorunsho
Italy
90 M. Folorunsho
A. Deiola
Italy
14 A. Deiola
S. Esposito
Italy
94 S. Esposito
P. Mendy
Senegal
31 P. Mendy

General Information

Date & Time
May 03, 2026, 10:30 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 35 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Capacity
36532
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Valerio Crezzini
Domenico Fontemurato
Simone Biffi
Simone Galipò

Lineup

Referee : Valerio Crezzini

Starting XI ▼

13
Federico Ravaglia
Federico Ravaglia Goalkeeper
6.79
5
Eivind Helland
Eivind Helland Defender
6.65
14
Torbjørn Heggem
Torbjørn Heggem Defender
6.7
26
Jhon Lucumí
Jhon Lucumí Defender
6.83
8
Remo Freuler
Remo Freuler Midfielder
6.8
19
Lewis Ferguson
Lewis Ferguson Midfielder
6.73
29
Lorenzo De Silvestri
Lorenzo De Silvestri Midfielder
6.59
33
Juan Miranda
Juan Miranda Midfielder
7.09
7
Riccardo Orsolini
Riccardo Orsolini Attacker
6.97
9
Santiago Castro
Santiago Castro Attacker
6.88
28
Nicolò Cambiaghi
Nicolò Cambiaghi Attacker
6.81
Referee : Valerio Crezzini

Starting XI ▼

1
Elia Caprile
Elia Caprile Goalkeeper
6.91
15
Juan Rodríguez
Juan Rodríguez Defender
6.67
26
Yerry Mina
Yerry Mina Defender
6.89
32
Zé Pedro
Zé Pedro Defender
6.6
33
Adam Obert
Adam Obert Defender
6.83
8
Michel Adopo
Michel Adopo Midfielder
6.68
10
Gianluca Gaetano
Gianluca Gaetano Midfielder
6.82
14
Alessandro Deiola
Alessandro Deiola Midfielder
6.73
31
Paul Mendy
Paul Mendy Attacker
6.68
90
Michael Folorunsho
Michael Folorunsho Attacker
6.57
94
Sebastiano Esposito
Sebastiano Esposito Attacker
7.18

CONCLUSION

Bologna's superior power rating, better form, and higher league position position them as clear favorites against a struggling Cagliari side. The 7.4-point edge should enable the hosts to impose their game plan at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, capitalizing on home advantage in this Serie A encounter. Cagliari's lower standing and form score highlight vulnerabilities, particularly away, where they must disrupt Bologna's rhythm. Absent detailed set-piece or efficiency insights, the matchup hinges on Bologna's structural strengths driving a controlled performance. This fixture offers Bologna a chance to solidify mid-table security while Cagliari fights relegation shadows.