Mechelen vs Gent preview

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne Sun, 3 May - 11:30 AM
Pro League
MechelenMEC
GentGNT
KICKOFF : Sun, 3 May - 11:30 AM
Round 6 Championship Round

CONTEXT

Mechelen host Gent in Pro League (Championship Round) at AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne. Domestically, Mechelen sit 6th in the table while Gent are 5th. Power ranking favours Gent by 2.9 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Gent possess a 2.9 point power advantage with 71.65 over Mechelen's 68.78.
  • Form: Gent's form score of 18.11 greatly exceeds Mechelen's 5.56.
  • Squad: Mechelen hold 6th place while Gent are 5th in the Championship Round.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available for either team.
  • Transition: Transition statistics not provided in current metrics.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data features low confidence and proxy usage without xG for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable as the add-on is not enabled.
  • Market: Mechelen 34.4% (Δ-1.1%) | Draw 26.5% (Δ-0.1%) | Gent 39.1% (Δ+1.2%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Mechelen F. Vanderbiest
F. Vanderbiest
VS
Gent R. Demil
R. Demil
1.18
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.27
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sint-Truiden Rank: 76 L
Club Brugge Rank: 84 L
Anderlecht Rank: 73 L
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: 85 L
Gent Rank: 72 D
Club Brugge Rank: 85 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Club Brugge Rank: 84 L
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: 86 D
Sint-Truiden Rank: 75 D
Anderlecht Rank: 72 L
Mechelen Rank: 69 D
Dender Rank: 60 W
8
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
8 - 12 - 23
23
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Mechelen
34.36%
Draw
26.5%
Away Gent
39.14%

Movement

Changes since opening
Mechelen
-1.13%
Draw
-0.06%
Gent
+1.19%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
68.78
71.65
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Mechelen
Gent
Power Score
68.78
71.65
League Position
6
5
Global Rank
227
162

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Mechelen — Opponent-weighted form score
Gent — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Mechelen Gent

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 43 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Mechelen MEC Home
43 matches
Gent GNT Away
Match Record
8
Wins
23
12
Draws
12
23
Losses
8
Goals
49
Goals Scored
84
84
Goals Conceded
49
-35
Goal Difference
+35
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-02T01:03:29+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
I. Mirás Blanco
13 I. Mirás Blanco
R. Halhal
2 R. Halhal
M. Konate
8 M. Konate
J. Martinez Marsà
3 J. Martinez Marsà
B. Antonio
38 B. Antonio
F. Hammar
6 F. Hammar
M. Servais
17 M. Servais
T. Koudou
7 T. Koudou
K. Mrabti
19 K. Mrabti
B. Boersma
28 B. Boersma
M. van Brederode
9 M. van Brederode

General Information

Date & Time
May 03, 2026, 11:30 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 6 · Championship Round
Stadium
AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne
Capacity
16672
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Bryan Bijnens
Jonas Van Dyck
Massimiliano Ledda
Simon Bourdeaud'hui

Expected Lineup

Referee : Simon Bourdeaud'hui

Starting XI ▼

13
Nacho Miras
Nacho Miras Goalkeeper
7.15
7
Thérence Koudou
Thérence Koudou Midfielder
6.75
38
Bill Antonio
Bill Antonio Midfielder
6.52
9
Myron van Brederode
Myron van Brederode Attacker
7.12
28
Bouke Boersma
Bouke Boersma Attacker
6.72
2
Redouane Halhal
Redouane Halhal Right Back
6.91
3
José Marsà
José Marsà Left Back
6.69
6
Fredrik Hammar
Fredrik Hammar Central Midfield
7.04
8
Mory Konaté
Mory Konaté Centre Back
6.76
17
Mathis Servais
Mathis Servais Central Midfield
6.99
19
Kerim Mrabti
Kerim Mrabti Attacking Midfield
6.86
Referee : Simon Bourdeaud'hui

Starting XI ▼

33
Davy Roef
Davy Roef Goalkeeper
7
8
Michal Skoras
Michal Skoras Midfielder
7.47
20
Tiago Araújo
Tiago Araújo Midfielder
6.88
7
Wilfried Kanga
Wilfried Kanga Attacker
7.05
21
Max Dean
Max Dean Attacker
6.91
4
Daiki Hashioka
Daiki Hashioka Right Back
6.57
22
Leonardo Lopes
Leonardo Lopes Central Midfield
6.75
24
Hyun-seok Hong
Hyun-seok Hong Attacking Midfield
6.76
27
Tibe De Vlieger
Tibe De Vlieger Central Midfield
6.92
44
Siebe Van der Heyden
Siebe Van der Heyden Left Back
6.88
57
Matties Volckaert
Matties Volckaert Centre Back
6.82

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Gent holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Gent a 2.9-point edge. External projection is Mechelen 35.5%, draw 26.6%, and Gent 38%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.