Malmö FF vs Mjällby preview

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Malmö Stadion Sun, 3 May - 12:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Malmö FF MAL
Mjällby Mjällby
KICKOFF : Sun, 3 May - 12:00 PM
Round 6 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Malmö FF welcomes Mjällby to Malmö Stadion for an Allsvenskan regular season clash in 2026. The hosts enter as the stronger side, boasting a power score of 23.76 compared to Mjällby's 22.68, translating to a 1.1-point advantage. Malmö sits 6th in the league standings, six places above their 11th-placed opponents. Form metrics further favor the home team, with a score of 18.07 dwarfing Mjällby's 8.67, suggesting recent momentum lies firmly with Malmö. While detailed set-piece and efficiency data remain unavailable due to limited xG tracking, the overall structural edge points to a competitive yet home-leaning encounter. Malmö's superior ranking and form could prove decisive in this mid-table battle, where every point counts in the tightly contested Allsvenskan. Expect a tactical setup emphasizing the hosts' power disparity.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Malmö FF holds a 1.1-point power advantage over Mjällby with a score of 23.76 versus 22.68.
  • Form: Malmö FF's form score of 18.07 significantly outpaces Mjällby's 8.67.
  • Squad: Malmö FF occupies 6th place in the Allsvenskan, ahead of Mjällby in 11th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: No specific transition data provided for the matchup.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece stats unavailable due to lack of xG data and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xG data absent, limiting advanced variable analysis for both sides.
  • Market: Malmö FF 40.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28.7% (Δ+0%) | Mjällby 31.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Malmö FF M. Ramírez
M. Ramírez
VS
Mjällby Karl Marius Aksum
Karl Marius Aksum
1.83
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.57
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
AIK Rank: D
Sirius Rank: L
Djurgården Rank: W
GAIS Rank: W
Örgryte Rank: D
GAIS Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Halmstad Rank: D
GAIS Rank: D
Brommapojkarna Rank: W
Örgryte Rank: L
Hammarby Rank: L
Häcken Rank: W
9
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
9 - 7 - 6
6
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Malmö FF
40.26%
Draw
28.68%
Away Mjällby
31.07%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
23.76
22.68
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Malmö FF
Mjällby
Power Score
23.76
22.68
League Position
6
11
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Malmö FF Opponent-weighted form score
Mjällby Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Malmö FF Mjällby

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 22 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Malmö FF MAL Home
22 matches
Mjällby Mjällby Away
Match Record
9
Wins
6
7
Draws
7
6
Losses
9
Goals
32
Goals Scored
24
24
Goals Conceded
32
+8
Goal Difference
-8
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:35:45+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
May 03, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 6 · Regular Season
Stadium
Malmö Stadion
Capacity
22500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

27
Johan Dahlin
Johan Dahlin Goalkeeper
30
Robin Olsen
Robin Olsen Goalkeeper
1
Ricardo Henrique Schuck Friedrich
Ricardo Henrique Schuck Friedrich Goalkeeper
39
William Nieroth Lundgren
William Nieroth Lundgren Goalkeeper
18
Pontus Jansson
Pontus Jansson Defender
17
Jens Stryger Larsen
Jens Stryger Larsen Defender
19
Colin Rosler
Colin Rosler Defender
25
Gabriel Dal Toé Busanello
Gabriel Dal Toé Busanello Defender
2
Johan Karlsson
Johan Karlsson Defender
5
Andrej Đurić
Andrej Đurić Defender
23
Noah Åstrand John
Noah Åstrand John Defender
44
Malte Frejd Pålsson
Malte Frejd Pålsson Defender
4
Bleon Kurtulus
Bleon Kurtulus Defender
6
Yanis Karabelyov
Yanis Karabelyov Midfielder
10
Anders Christiansen
Anders Christiansen Midfielder
7
Otto Rosengren
Otto Rosengren Midfielder
40
Kenan Busuladzic
Kenan Busuladzic Midfielder
42
Viggo Jeppsson
Viggo Jeppsson Midfielder
37
Adrian Skogmar
Adrian Skogmar Midfielder
43
Gentian Lajqi
Gentian Lajqi Midfielder
28
Jovan Milosavljević
Jovan Milosavljević Midfielder
45
Anton Sebastian Höög
Anton Sebastian Höög Midfielder
47
Theodor Lundbergh
Theodor Lundbergh Midfielder
46
Antonio Palac
Antonio Palac Midfielder
8
Arnór Sigurdsson
Arnór Sigurdsson Attacker
21
Stefano Vecchia Holmquist
Stefano Vecchia Holmquist Attacker
29
Sead Haksabanovic
Sead Haksabanovic Attacker
20
Erik Botheim
Erik Botheim Attacker
22
Taha Abdi Ali
Taha Abdi Ali Attacker
11
Emmanuel Ekong
Emmanuel Ekong Attacker
32
Daniel Gudjohnsen
Daniel Gudjohnsen Attacker
Oscar Love Sjöstrand
Oscar Love Sjöstrand Attacker

Squad

35
Alexander Lundin
Alexander Lundin Goalkeeper
13
Robin Wallinder
Robin Wallinder Goalkeeper
1
Amar Dževlan
Amar Dževlan Goalkeeper
Hugo Fagerberg
Hugo Fagerberg Goalkeeper
24
Tom Pettersson
Tom Pettersson Defender
4
Axel Norén
Axel Norén Defender
33
Tony Miettinen
Tony Miettinen Defender
2
Ludvig Svanberg
Ludvig Svanberg Defender
5
Abdullah Iqbal
Abdullah Iqbal Defender
3
Christian Tchouante
Christian Tchouante Defender
22
Jesper Gustavsson
Jesper Gustavsson Midfielder
14
William Granath
William Granath Midfielder
7
Viktor Gustafsson
Viktor Gustafsson Midfielder
17
Elliot Stroud
Elliot Stroud Midfielder
10
Jeppe Kjaer
Jeppe Kjaer Midfielder
6
Ludwig Malachowski Thorell
Ludwig Malachowski Thorell Midfielder
27
Ludvig Tidstrand
Ludvig Tidstrand Midfielder
8
Teo Helge
Teo Helge Midfielder
20
Måns Harry Isaksson
Måns Harry Isaksson Midfielder
25
Max Nielsen
Max Nielsen Midfielder
39
Romeo Arrhenius Leandersson
Romeo Arrhenius Leandersson Midfielder
29
Olle Lindberg
Olle Lindberg Midfielder
11
Timo Stavitski
Timo Stavitski Attacker
18
Jacob Bergström
Jacob Bergström Attacker
23
Áki Samuelsen
Áki Samuelsen Attacker
15
Bork Classønn Bang-Kittilsen
Bork Classønn Bang-Kittilsen Attacker
19
Abdoulie Manneh
Abdoulie Manneh Attacker
23
Olle Nilsson
Olle Nilsson Attacker

CONCLUSION

Malmö FF's edge in power rating, form, and league position positions them favorably against Mjällby. The 1.1-point structural advantage combined with a dominant 18.07 form score suggests the hosts can control proceedings at Malmö Stadion. Mjällby's lower metrics indicate vulnerability, particularly in maintaining consistency. Without granular set-piece or efficiency insights, the focus shifts to overall quality, where Malmö excels. This setup hints at a home victory in a match defined by superior momentum and standings. Fans can anticipate a performance reflective of the hosts' strengths.