Lillestrøm VS Sarpsborg 08

2026 Eliteserien, Norway

Åråsen Stadion Sun, 3 May - 12:30 PM

Eliteserien

Lillestrøm Lillestrøm

Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08

KICKOFF : Sun, 3 May - 12:30 PM

Round 7 Regular Season

CONTEXT

At Årøsen Stadion in the Eliteserien regular season of 2026, Lillestrøm hosts Sarpsborg 08 in a matchup highlighting league disparities. Sitting third in the standings, Lillestrøm wields a power score of 30.99, far surpassing Sarpsborg 08's 18.49 for a 12.5-point edge, marking them as the stronger outfit. Form metrics reinforce this, with Lillestrøm at 26.33 against the visitors' meager 11.17. No recent outings provide additional context, shifting emphasis to these core indicators. Set piece data, derived from low-confidence proxies without xG availability, limits tactical depth analysis. Sarpsborg 08, entrenched in 12th place, faces an uphill battle to disrupt Lillestrøm's momentum in this home fixture.

TL;DR

Structural: Lillestrøm possesses a 12.5-point power advantage over Sarpsborg 08.
Form: Home side's form score of 26.33 outpaces Sarpsborg 08's 11.17.
Squad: Lillestrøm occupies 3rd position while Sarpsborg 08 languishes in 12th.
Efficiency: Efficiency statistics unavailable for both teams.
Transition: Transition metrics absent from current data set.
Set pieces: Set piece evaluation uses low-confidence proxies sans xG data.
xVariable: xG variables unavailable due to add-on not enabled.
Market: Lillestrøm 54.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 22.7% (Δ+0%) | Sarpsborg 08 23% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

H. Ødegaard

E. Sel

2.17

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.22

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

9 - 6 - 9

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Lillestrøm

54.29%

Draw

22.72%

Sarpsborg 08

22.99%

Team Power Ranking

30.99

18.49

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Lillestrøm

Sarpsborg 08

Power Score

30.99

18.49

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Lillestrøm — Opponent-weighted form score

Sarpsborg 08 — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lillestrøm Sarpsborg 08

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 24 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Lillestrøm Lillestrøm Home

24 matches

Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

-5

Expected Goals

xGA

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:36:30+00:00

General Information

Date & Time

May 03, 2026, 12:30 PM

Competition

2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 7 · Regular Season

Stadium

Åråsen Stadion

Capacity

12250

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Manager ▼

H. Ødegaard Coach

Squad ▼

Stefan Hagerup Goalkeeper

Pontus Dahlberg Goalkeeper

Lunan Ruben Gabrielsen Defender

John Kitolano Defender

Ulrik Yttergård Jenssen Defender

Espen Bjørnsen Garnås Defender

Sander Moen Foss Defender

Lars Mogstad Ranger Defender

Yaw Paintsil Defender

Sturla Ottesen Defender

Frederik Elkær Defender

Lucas Svenningsen Defender

Kevin Martin Krygård Midfielder

Yildren Ibrahimaj Midfielder

Eric Bugale Kitolano Midfielder

Markus Seehusen Karlsbakk Midfielder

Gustav Kjølstad Nyheim Midfielder

Efe Kegbe Lucky Midfielder

Harald Woxen Midfielder

Thomas Lehne Olsen Attacker

Vladimiro Etson António Félix Attacker

Camil Jebara Attacker

Salieu Drammeh Attacker

Karl Linus Alperud Attacker

Markus Edner Wæhler Attacker

Kparobo Nathaniel Arierhi Attacker

Manager ▼

E. Sel Coach

Squad ▼

Carljohan Eriksson Goalkeeper

Leander Øy Goalkeeper

Mamour Ndiaye Goalkeeper

Menno Koch Defender

Magnar Ødegaard Defender

Bjørn Inge Utvik Defender

Eirik Wichne Defender

Sigurd Rosted Defender

Peter Reinhardsen Defender

Claus Babo Niyukuri Defender

Anders Hiim Defender

Jo Inge Berget Midfielder

Chris Kouakou Midfielder

Sander Johan Christiansen Midfielder

Aimar Sher Midfielder

Andreas Nibe Hansen Midfielder

Victor Emanuel Halvorsen Midfielder

Bop Guèye Midfielder

Sondre Sørli Attacker

Frederik Carstensen Attacker

Daniel Seland Karlsbakk Attacker

Noa Williams Attacker

Camil Mmaee Attacker

Michael Opoku Attacker

CONCLUSION

Lillestrøm enters this Eliteserien encounter with overwhelming advantages in power, form, and league standing, positioning them to dominate Sarpsborg 08 at Årøsen Stadion. The 12.5-point power gap and superior form score suggest a controlled performance from the hosts. Lacking detailed efficiency or transition insights, reliance falls on these robust metrics. Sarpsborg 08's lower rankings demand a flawless effort to compete. Expect Lillestrøm to leverage home strength for a convincing result in the 2026 season.

STANDINGS

CONTEXT