Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Rijeka preview

Croatia flag 2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia
Stadion Kranjčevićeva Sun, 3 May - 2:00 PM
1. HNL
Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb
Rijeka Rijeka
KICKOFF : Sun, 3 May - 2:00 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the 1. HNL Regular Season at Stadion Kranjčevićeva, fifth-placed Lokomotiva Zagreb welcome fourth-placed Rijeka in a pivotal mid-table showdown during the 2025/2026 campaign. Rijeka arrive as the stronger outfit with a power score of 26.22 edging Lokomotiva's 23.49 by 2.7 points, signaling their structural superiority. Yet Lokomotiva counter with sharper recent form at 22.61 against Rijeka's 14.56, potentially fueling home momentum. League positions underscore the tightness, with Rijeka just ahead. Advanced data remains sparse: no efficiency metrics, set-piece stats proxy-based with low confidence and no xG availability, leaving transitions and squad execution as likely deciders. Lokomotiva's home advantage could test Rijeka's edge in open play, setting up a tactical chess match where discipline and clinical finishing prevail.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Rijeka possess a 2.7-point power advantage over Lokomotiva Zagreb with a score of 26.22 to 23.49.
  • Form: Lokomotiva Zagreb lead in form with a score of 22.61 compared to Rijeka's 14.56.
  • Squad: Lokomotiva Zagreb sit fifth in the league while Rijeka occupy fourth place.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams in this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play lacks specific metrics but may prove decisive given sparse advanced stats.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece performance uses low-confidence proxy data with no xG available for either side.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables remain unavailable due to add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Lokomotiva Zagreb 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Rijeka 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Lokomotiva Zagreb J. Bogdanovic
J. Bogdanovic
VS
Rijeka V. Sánchez del Amo
V. Sánchez del Amo
1.19
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.45
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Osijek Rank: D
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: W
Gorica Rank: W
Istra 1961 Rank: W
Vukovar Rank: D
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hajduk Split Rank: D
Varaždin Rank: L
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: D
Osijek Rank: L
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: W
Gorica Rank: L
15
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
15 - 11 - 34
34
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Lokomotiva Zagreb
0%
Draw
0%
Away Rijeka
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
23.49
26.22
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Lokomotiva Zagreb
Rijeka
Power Score
23.49
26.22
League Position
5
4
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Lokomotiva Zagreb — Opponent-weighted form score
Rijeka — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lokomotiva Zagreb Rijeka

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 60 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb Home
60 matches
Rijeka Rijeka Away
Match Record
15
Wins
34
11
Draws
11
34
Losses
15
Goals
56
Goals Scored
110
110
Goals Conceded
56
-54
Goal Difference
+54
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-26T02:13:21+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
May 03, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Kranjčevićeva
Capacity
8850
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

12
Josip Posavec
Josip Posavec Goalkeeper
1
Krunoslav Hendija
Krunoslav Hendija Goalkeeper
32
Luka Savatović
Luka Savatović Goalkeeper
22
Marin Leovac
Marin Leovac Defender
17
Marko Pajač
Marko Pajač Defender
20
Denis Kolinger
Denis Kolinger Defender
4
Leonardo Germán Sigali
Leonardo Germán Sigali Defender
23
Marko Vešović
Marko Vešović Defender
33
Dimitrije Kamenović
Dimitrije Kamenović Defender
5
Tino Jukić
Tino Jukić Defender
16
Luka Dajčer
Luka Dajčer Defender
13
Mody Boune
Mody Boune Defender
33
Ante Utrobičić
Ante Utrobičić Defender
19
Franjo Posavac
Franjo Posavac Defender
—
David Katić
David Katić Defender
8
Domagoj Antolić
Domagoj Antolić Midfielder
26
Marko Rog
Marko Rog Midfielder
29
Jakov-Anton Vasilj
Jakov-Anton Vasilj Midfielder
6
Blaž Bošković
Blaž Bošković Midfielder
25
Gentrit Salihu
Gentrit Salihu Midfielder
28
L. Belcar
L. Belcar Midfielder
14
Marcel Lorber
Marcel Lorber Midfielder
—
Duje Reic
Duje Reic Midfielder
24
Ivan Katić
Ivan Katić Midfielder
10
Matija Subotic
Matija Subotic Midfielder
7
Aleksandar Trajkovski
Aleksandar Trajkovski Attacker
21
David Virgili Fernandez
David Virgili Fernandez Attacker
30
Dušan Vuković
Dušan Vuković Attacker
—
Carlo Mateković
Carlo Mateković Attacker
—
Bartol Kardum
Bartol Kardum Attacker
15
Aleks Stojaković
Aleks Stojaković Attacker
11
Mirko Šušak
Mirko Šušak Attacker
9
Ibrahim Mohammad Abdallah Sabra
Ibrahim Mohammad Abdallah Sabra Attacker
—
Amad Keita
Amad Keita Attacker
18
Mario Šitum
Mario Šitum Coach

Squad ▼

31
David Samuel Nwolokor
David Samuel Nwolokor Goalkeeper
13
Martin Zlomislić
Martin Zlomislić Goalkeeper
99
Aleksa Todorović
Aleksa Todorović Goalkeeper
6
Stjepan Radeljić
Stjepan Radeljić Defender
5
Mile Škorić
Mile Škorić Defender
45
Ante Majstorović
Ante Majstorović Defender
23
Justas Lasickas
Justas Lasickas Defender
34
Mladen Devetak
Mladen Devetak Defender
22
Ante Oreč
Ante Oreč Defender
51
Anel Husic
Anel Husic Defender
91
Noel Bodetic
Noel Bodetic Defender
28
Teo Barišić
Teo Barišić Defender
—
Roko Valinčić
Roko Valinčić Defender
14
Amer Gojak
Amer Gojak Midfielder
8
Dejan Petrovič
Dejan Petrovič Midfielder
20
Merveille Valthy Streeker Ndockyt
Merveille Valthy Streeker Ndockyt Midfielder
26
Tiago Filipe Oliveira Dantas
Tiago Filipe Oliveira Dantas Midfielder
55
Alfonso Daniel Barco Del Solar
Alfonso Daniel Barco Del Solar Midfielder
10
Toni Fruk
Toni Fruk Midfielder
—
Florent Shehu
Florent Shehu Midfielder
19
Samuele Vignato
Samuele Vignato Midfielder
24
Bruno Burčul
Bruno Burčul Midfielder
66
Branko Pavić
Branko Pavić Midfielder
70
Rajan Žlibanović
Rajan Žlibanović Midfielder
9
Duje Čop
Duje Čop Attacker
7
Tornike Morchiladze
Tornike Morchiladze Attacker
24
Christian Dimitri Legbo Ouguehi
Christian Dimitri Legbo Ouguehi Attacker
11
Gabrijel Rukavina
Gabrijel Rukavina Attacker
77
Ante Matej Jurič
Ante Matej Jurič Attacker
18
Daniel Adu-Adjei
Daniel Adu-Adjei Attacker
—
Matej Momčilovski
Matej Momčilovski Attacker
25
Dominik Thaqi
Dominik Thaqi Attacker
37
Cherno Saho
Cherno Saho Attacker

CONCLUSION

Rijeka's power edge positions them favorably despite Lokomotiva's form boost and home soil. Without detailed efficiency or set-piece insights, the focus shifts to Rijeka's squad depth exploiting transitions against a resilient Lokomotiva defense. Expect Rijeka to control possession while Lokomotiva seek counters, but the 2.7-point gulf suggests the visitors edge a tight contest. Mid-table implications loom large, with both eyeing consistency in the 1. HNL grind.