Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano preview

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Coliseum Alfonso Pérez
La Liga
GetafeGET
Rayo VallecanoRAY
KICKOFF :
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Getafe faces Rayo Vallecano at the Coliseum Alfonso Pérez in a pivotal La Liga regular season matchup during the 2025/2026 campaign. Positioned 7th in the standings, the hosts hold a domestic edge over 11th-placed visitors, yet Rayo Vallecano carries a narrow power score advantage of 77.05 against Getafe's 76.36, translating to a 0.7-point lead that marks them as marginally stronger. Getafe's form score stands at 20.67, surpassing Rayo's 17.17, hinting at better recent rhythm despite lacking specific last outing details. Home advantage tempers Rayo's edge, with league positions underscoring Getafe's consistency. Set piece metrics remain elusive, relying on low-confidence proxies without xG data, potentially neutralizing specialized threats. Mid-table implications loom large, as Getafe eyes climbing higher while Rayo battles for upward mobility. Expect a tactical duel where efficiency in open play and transitions could prove decisive amid balanced projections.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Rayo Vallecano possesses a slight 0.7-point power advantage over Getafe, positioning them as the marginally stronger side.
  • Form: Getafe boasts a superior form score of 20.67 compared to Rayo Vallecano's 17.17.
  • Squad: Getafe occupies 7th place in La Liga, ahead of Rayo Vallecano in 11th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play data not provided for either team.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats use low-confidence proxies without xG availability for both squads.
  • xVariable: xG data absent, limiting advanced variable analysis.
  • Market: Getafe 49.5% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28.5% (Δ+0%) | Rayo Vallecano 22% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Getafe J. Bordalás Jiménez
J. Bordalás Jiménez
VS
Rayo Vallecano I. Pérez Soto
I. Pérez Soto
1.23
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.14
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Barcelona Rank: 95 L
Real Sociedad Rank: 81 W
Levante Rank: 72 L
Athletic Club Rank: 77 W
Espanyol Rank: 73 W
Atlético Madrid Rank: 89 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Sociedad Rank: 80 D
Espanyol Rank: 73 W
Mallorca Rank: 75 L
Elche Rank: 75 W
FC Barcelona Rank: 96 L
Levante Rank: 74 D
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 7 - 13
13
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Getafe
49.46%
Draw
28.5%
Away Rayo Vallecano
22.04%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
76.36
77.05
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Getafe
Rayo Vallecano
Power Score
76.36
77.05
League Position
7
11
Global Rank
91
83

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Getafe — Opponent-weighted form score
Rayo Vallecano — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Getafe Rayo Vallecano

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 26 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Getafe GET Home
26 matches
Rayo Vallecano RAY Away
Match Record
6
Wins
13
7
Draws
7
13
Losses
6
Goals
18
Goals Scored
33
33
Goals Conceded
18
-15
Goal Difference
+15
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-02T01:05:56+00:00

STARTING XI

Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium
Coliseum Alfonso Pérez
Capacity
17393
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Lineup

Starting XI ▼

13
David Soria
David Soria Goalkeeper
6.92
15
Sebastián Boselli
Sebastián Boselli Defender
6.52
16
Diego Rico
Diego Rico Defender
6.62
21
Juan Iglesias
Juan Iglesias Defender
6.8
22
Domingos Duarte
Domingos Duarte Defender
6.69
26
Davinchi
Davinchi Defender
6.43
5
Luis Milla
Luis Milla Midfielder
7.15
8
Mauro Arambarri
Mauro Arambarri Midfielder
6.84
14
Javi Muñoz
Javi Muñoz Midfielder
6.64
20
Veljko Birmancevic
Veljko Birmancevic Midfielder
6.45
10
Martín Satriano
Martín Satriano Attacker
6.91

Starting XI ▼

1
Dani Cárdenas
Dani Cárdenas Goalkeeper
7.12
2
Andrei Rațiu
Andrei Rațiu Defender
6.96
3
Pep Chavarría
Pep Chavarría Defender
6.83
24
Florian Lejeune
Florian Lejeune Defender
7.1
32
Nobel Mendy
Nobel Mendy Defender
6.78
4
Pedro Díaz
Pedro Díaz Midfielder
6.72
6
Pathé Ciss
Pathé Ciss Midfielder
6.87
17
Unai López
Unai López Midfielder
6.84
10
Sergio Camello
Sergio Camello Attacker
6.57
12
Ilias Akhomach
Ilias Akhomach Attacker
6.54
14
Carlos Martín
Carlos Martín Attacker
6.42

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Rayo Vallecano holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Rayo Vallecano a 0.7-point edge. External projection is Getafe 49%, draw 28.8%, and Rayo Vallecano 22.3%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.