Sporting Gijón vs Ceuta preview

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal El Molinón Yesterday - 2:15 PM
La Liga 2
Sporting Gijón SPO
Ceuta Ceuta
KICKOFF : Yesterday - 2:15 PM
Round 38 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Sporting Gijón host Ceuta in La Liga 2 (Regular Season) at Estadio Municipal El Molinón. Domestically, Sporting Gijón sit 11th in the table while Ceuta are 12th. Power ranking favours Sporting Gijón by 8 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Sporting Gijón possesses an 8-point power advantage over Ceuta, scoring 64.14 to 56.1.
  • Form: Ceuta holds a slight form edge with 16 points against Sporting Gijón's 15.22.
  • Squad: Teams occupy adjacent league spots at 11th for home and 12th for away.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable due to lack of detailed tracking.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance shows low confidence with no xG data for either side.
  • xVariable: xG variables absent as add-on data not enabled for the season.
  • Market: Sporting Gijón 56.9% (Δ+0%) | Draw 23.4% (Δ+0%) | Ceuta 19.8% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Sporting Gijón B. Jiménez Sáez
B. Jiménez Sáez
VS
Ceuta J. Romero Gil
J. Romero Gil
1.32
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.32
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Córdoba Rank: 62 L
Cádiz Rank: 57 W
Burgos Rank: 68 L
Real Sociedad II Rank: 59 W
Racing Santander Rank: 70 L
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: 69 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Racing Santander Rank: 70 D
Real Zaragoza Rank: 58 D
Real Sociedad II Rank: 60 D
SD Eibar Rank: 70 L
Burgos Rank: 67 D
Cádiz Rank: 56 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sporting Gijón
56.86%
Draw
23.4%
Away Ceuta
19.75%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
64.14
56.1
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sporting Gijón
Ceuta
Power Score
64.14
56.1
League Position
11
12
Global Rank
348
461

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sporting Gijón — Opponent-weighted form score
Ceuta — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sporting Gijón Ceuta

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sporting Gijón SPO Home
1 matches
Ceuta Ceuta Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
1
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
1
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-02T01:05:59+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
O. Yáñez Alabart
1 O. Yáñez Alabart
G. Rosas Alonso
2 G. Rosas Alonso
P. Vázquez Pérez
15 P. Vázquez Pérez
A. Cuenca Cejudo
44 A. Cuenca Cejudo
D. Sánchez Pérez
5 D. Sánchez Pérez
A. Corredera Alardi
14 A. Corredera Alardi
J. Smith
24 J. Smith
G. Campos Ansó Fernández
7 G. Campos Ansó Fernández
C. Gelabert Pina
10 C. Gelabert Pina
D. Queipo Menéndez
11 D. Queipo Menéndez
J. Dubasin
17 J. Dubasin
G. Vallejo Delgado
13 G. Vallejo Delgado
J. Matos García
3 J. Matos García
Y. Cantero Pérez
24 Y. Cantero Pérez
C. Hernández Alarcón
6 C. Hernández Alarcón
A. Ahmed Ahmed
7 A. Ahmed Ahmed
M. Illescas Montaño
12 M. Illescas Montaño
Y. Bodiger
14 Y. Bodiger
Y. Didi
5 Y. Didi
J. Zalazar Martínez
8 J. Zalazar Martínez
M. Fernández Sánchez
9 M. Fernández Sánchez
K. De La Fuente
18 K. De La Fuente

General Information

Date & Time
May 03, 2026, 02:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 38 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Municipal El Molinón
Capacity
30000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Rubén Yáñez
Rubén Yáñez Goalkeeper
6.79
17
Jonathan Dubasin
Jonathan Dubasin Centre Forward
7.11
5
Diego Sánchez
Diego Sánchez Left Back
6.7
2
Guille Rosas
Guille Rosas Right Back
6.89
7
Gaspar Campos
Gaspar Campos Right Wing
6.8
10
César Gelabert
César Gelabert Attacking Midfield
7.1
14
Àlex Corredera
Àlex Corredera Defensive Midfield
7.07
11
Dani Queipo
Dani Queipo Left Wing
6.59
15
Pablo Vázquez
Pablo Vázquez Right Back
6.98
24
Justin Smith
Justin Smith Defensive Midfield
6.61
44
Andrés Cuenca
Andrés Cuenca Left Back
6.75

Starting XI ▼

13
Guillermo Vallejo
Guillermo Vallejo Goalkeeper
6.9
9
Marcos Fernández
Marcos Fernández Centre Forward
6.89
8
Kuki Zalazar
Kuki Zalazar Attacker
6.89
18
Konrad de la Fuente
Konrad de la Fuente Attacker
6.68
14
Yann Bodiger
Yann Bodiger Central Midfield
6.63
3
José Matos
José Matos Left Back
6.72
7
Aisar Ahmed
Aisar Ahmed Right Back
6.67
12
Marino Illescas
Marino Illescas Central Midfield
6.87
5
Youness Lachhab
Youness Lachhab Central Midfield
6.74
6
Carlos Hernández
Carlos Hernández Right Back
6.85
24
Yago Cantero
Yago Cantero Left Back
6.24

CONCLUSION

Sporting Gijón's home power and structural edge position them to capitalize in this La Liga 2 encounter against Ceuta. Despite the visitors' minor form lead, Gijón's superior rating and El Molinón atmosphere should drive control. Mid-table proximity demands caution, yet absent advanced metrics favor the hosts' basics. Ceuta must disrupt transitions effectively to counter. Anticipate Sporting grinding out a narrow victory, leveraging crowd energy for key moments in a match defining their season trajectory.