Elfsborg vs AIK preview

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Borås Arena Sun, 3 May - 2:30 PM
Allsvenskan
Elfsborg ELF
AIK AIK
KICKOFF : Sun, 3 May - 2:30 PM
Round 6 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Elfsborg hosts AIK at Borås Arena in a key Allsvenskan regular season encounter during 2026. The home side, perched in 2nd place, wields a formidable power score of 30.15 against AIK's 18.85, yielding an 11.3-point edge that marks Elfsborg as the stronger outfit. Form scores reinforce this gap, with Elfsborg at 27.4 to AIK's 11.07, signaling consistent momentum for the hosts. AIK sits 7th, facing a stern test away from home. Lacking specifics on recent outings, analysis hinges on these core metrics and standings. Set piece evaluations carry low confidence, relying on proxy data without xG availability, limiting deeper tactical insights. Elfsborg's home advantage and superior ratings set the stage for a potentially one-sided affair, though AIK's resilience could spark intrigue. Expect a battle where power dictates flow.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Elfsborg holds a 11.3-point power advantage and 2nd place standing over 7th-placed AIK.
  • Form: Elfsborg's form score of 27.4 dwarfs AIK's 11.07.
  • Squad: Elfsborg's squad power rating of 30.15 surpasses AIK's 18.85.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play data is not available for either team.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats use low-confidence proxy data without xG for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG variables remain unavailable as the add-on is not enabled.
  • Market: Elfsborg 37.8% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28.4% (Δ+0%) | AIK 33.8% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Elfsborg B. Hamberg
B. Hamberg
VS
AIK J. Riveiro
J. Riveiro
1.83
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.33
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kalmar Rank: D
Djurgården Rank: W
Degerfors Rank: W
Västerås SK Rank: D
IFK Göteborg Rank: W
Hammarby Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Malmö FF Rank: D
Degerfors Rank: L
Kalmar Rank: W
Brommapojkarna Rank: D
Halmstad Rank: W
Halmstad Rank: L
13
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
13 - 13 - 14
14
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Elfsborg
37.81%
Draw
28.38%
Away AIK
33.81%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
30.15
18.85
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Elfsborg
AIK
Power Score
30.15
18.85
League Position
2
7
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Elfsborg — Opponent-weighted form score
AIK — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Elfsborg AIK

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 40 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Elfsborg ELF Home
40 matches
AIK AIK Away
Match Record
13
Wins
14
13
Draws
13
14
Losses
13
Goals
58
Goals Scored
56
56
Goals Conceded
58
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T01:21:29+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
May 03, 2026, 02:30 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 6 · Regular Season
Stadium
Borås Arena
Capacity
17800
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

1
Tim Erlandsson
Tim Erlandsson Goalkeeper
31
Isak Pettersson
Isak Pettersson Goalkeeper
15
Simon Hedlund
Simon Hedlund Defender
23
Niklas Hult
Niklas Hult Defender
8
Sebastian Holmén
Sebastian Holmén Defender
4
Thomas Poppler-Isherwood
Thomas Poppler-Isherwood Defender
6
Rasmus Wikström
Rasmus Wikström Defender
29
Ibrahim Buhari
Ibrahim Buhari Defender
26
Ludvig Richtnér
Ludvig Richtnér Defender
2
Rufai Mohammed
Rufai Mohammed Defender
28
Frode Aronsson
Frode Aronsson Defender
10
Simon Olsson
Simon Olsson Midfielder
18
Júlíus Magnússon
Júlíus Magnússon Midfielder
19
Julius Beck
Julius Beck Midfielder
16
Altti Hellemaa
Altti Hellemaa Midfielder
—
Momoh Ibrahim Kamara
Momoh Ibrahim Kamara Midfielder
27
Victor Ozor Okeke
Victor Ozor Okeke Midfielder
9
Arbër Zeneli
Arbër Zeneli Attacker
17
Per Frick
Per Frick Attacker
11
Taylor Silverholt
Taylor Silverholt Attacker
21
Linnéa Östman
Linnéa Östman Attacker
25
Ari Sigurpálsson
Ari Sigurpálsson Attacker
24
Frederik Ihler
Frederik Ihler Attacker
22
Dion Krasniqi
Dion Krasniqi Attacker
20
Gottfrid Rapp
Gottfrid Rapp Attacker

Squad ▼

15
Kristoffer Nordfeldt
Kristoffer Nordfeldt Goalkeeper
30
Kalle Joelsson
Kalle Joelsson Goalkeeper
17
Mads Døhr Thychosen
Mads Døhr Thychosen Defender
4
Sotirios Papagiannopoulos
Sotirios Papagiannopoulos Defender
25
Ibrahim Cissé
Ibrahim Cissé Defender
5
Lukas Bergquist
Lukas Bergquist Defender
14
Fredrik Nissen
Fredrik Nissen Defender
37
Ahmad Faqa
Ahmad Faqa Defender
12
Charlie Pavey
Charlie Pavey Defender
10
Bersant Celina
Bersant Celina Midfielder
19
Dino Beširović
Dino Beširović Midfielder
8
Johan Hove
Johan Hove Midfielder
6
Martin Skjelbreid Ellingsen
Martin Skjelbreid Ellingsen Midfielder
7
Amel Mujanic
Amel Mujanic Midfielder
33
Aron Csongvai
Aron Csongvai Midfielder
2
Eskil Smidesang Edh
Eskil Smidesang Edh Midfielder
—
Henry Meja
Henry Meja Midfielder
18
Abdihakin Ali
Abdihakin Ali Midfielder
24
Andreas Redkin
Andreas Redkin Midfielder
48
Axel Kouame
Axel Kouame Midfielder
21
Stanley Wilson
Stanley Wilson Midfielder
28
Erik Linus Mikael Järeteg
Erik Linus Mikael Järeteg Midfielder
46
Yannick Geiger
Yannick Geiger Midfielder
20
Erik Hovden Flataker
Erik Hovden Flataker Attacker
45
Taha Ayari
Taha Ayari Attacker
43
Victor Andersson
Victor Andersson Attacker
—
Albert Nikolaj Staykov
Albert Nikolaj Staykov Attacker
29
Kevin Filling
Kevin Filling Attacker
36
Zadok Yohanna
Zadok Yohanna Attacker

CONCLUSION

Elfsborg enters as the standout force, armed with superior power, form, and league position against a trailing AIK. The 11.3-point edge and home venue at Borås Arena amplify their prospects in this Allsvenskan showdown. While detailed set piece, efficiency, and transition data elude us due to proxy limitations and absent xG, the overarching metrics favor the hosts decisively. AIK's 7th-place perch demands an upset bid, but Elfsborg's consistency suggests control. This fixture underscores Elfsborg's title contention credentials, with victory poised to widen the gap atop the table.