Real Sociedad II vs Burgos preview

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Anoeta Stadium Yesterday - 4:30 PM
La Liga 2
Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II
Burgos BUR
KICKOFF : Yesterday - 4:30 PM
Round 38 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In La Liga 2's 2025/2026 regular season, Real Sociedad II welcomes Burgos to Anoeta Stadium. The home side, Real Sociedad II, occupies 17th position and grapples with a modest power score of 55.16, trailing Burgos' robust 67.28 by 12.1 points. This structural disparity underscores Burgos as the stronger outfit, bolstered by their 7th-place standing. Form metrics further highlight the chasm: Burgos' impressive 27.5 contrasts sharply with Real Sociedad II's meager 2.56, signaling recent struggles for the hosts. As a reserve team, Real Sociedad II may lack the cohesion of Burgos' senior lineup, potentially exposing defensive frailties. Midfield control will be pivotal, with Burgos poised to dictate tempo through superior possession and pressing. Home advantage at iconic Anoeta could spark an upset, yet visitors' momentum suggests dominance in transitions and chance creation. Expect a tactical battle where efficiency in key moments decides the outcome.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Burgos holds a 12.1-point power advantage with 67.28 over Real Sociedad II's 55.16.
  • Form: Burgos' form score of 27.5 dwarfs Real Sociedad II's 2.56.
  • Squad: Real Sociedad II ranks 17th while Burgos sits 7th in La Liga 2.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics not provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable due to lack of xG information.
  • xVariable: xG-based variables unavailable as add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Real Sociedad II 32.8% (Δ+0%) | Draw 29.8% (Δ+0%) | Burgos 37.4% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Real Sociedad II J. Ansotegi Gorostola
J. Ansotegi Gorostola
VS
Burgos L. Ramis Monfort
L. Ramis Monfort
1.23
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.6
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Valladolid Rank: 59 L
Racing Santander Rank: 69 L
Ceuta Rank: 60 D
Sporting Gijón Rank: 64 L
SD Eibar Rank: 70 L
Almería Rank: 70 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: 68 D
Castellón Rank: 66 L
Sporting Gijón Rank: 65 W
Albacete Rank: 66 W
Ceuta Rank: 60 D
Real Valladolid Rank: 60 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Real Sociedad II
32.82%
Draw
29.82%
Away Burgos
37.35%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
55.16
67.28
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Real Sociedad II
Burgos
Power Score
55.16
67.28
League Position
17
7
Global Rank
509
260

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Real Sociedad II — Opponent-weighted form score
Burgos — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Real Sociedad II Burgos

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II Home
3 matches
Burgos BUR Away
Match Record
0
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
0
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-02T01:08:15+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
E. Arana Aizpurua
13 E. Arana Aizpurua
J. Garro
29 J. Garro
U. Ayo Larrañaga
39 U. Ayo Larrañaga
K. Kita
15 K. Kita
J. Balda Zubiri
3 J. Balda Zubiri
D. Díaz Gándara
7 D. Díaz Gándara
T. Carbonell Del Rio
14 T. Carbonell Del Rio
M. Rodriguez Ulacia
8 M. Rodriguez Ulacia
A. Marchal Garcia
19 A. Marchal Garcia
G. Carrera Zarranz
18 G. Carrera Zarranz
G. Gorosabel Añorga
16 G. Gorosabel Añorga
A. Cantero Armendáriz
13 A. Cantero Armendáriz
F. Miguel
12 F. Miguel
G. Sierra Pérez
8 G. Sierra Pérez
S. González Martínez
6 S. González Martínez
A. Buñuel Redrado
15 A. Buñuel Redrado
I. Córdoba Kerejeta
21 I. Córdoba Kerejeta
M. Atienza Villa
5 M. Atienza Villa
I. Ruiz
23 I. Ruiz
D. Gonzalez Ballesteros
14 D. Gonzalez Ballesteros
F. Sánchez Rodríguez
16 F. Sánchez Rodríguez
F. Niño Rodriguez
9 F. Niño Rodriguez

General Information

Date & Time
May 03, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 38 · Regular Season
Stadium
Anoeta Stadium
Capacity
40000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

13
Egoitz Arana
Egoitz Arana Goalkeeper
6.85
19
Alex Marchal
Alex Marchal Midfielder
6.61
7
Dani Díaz
Dani Díaz Midfielder
6.76
18
Gorka Carrera
Gorka Carrera Attacker
6.9
16
Gorka Gorosabel
Gorka Gorosabel Attacker
6.61
29
Jon Garro
Jon Garro Right Back
6.62
3
Jon Balda
Jon Balda Left Back
6.8
8
Mikel Rodriguez
Mikel Rodriguez Central Midfield
39
Unax Larrañaga
Unax Larrañaga Right Back
6.63
14
Tomy Carbonell
Tomy Carbonell Central Midfield
6.67
15
Kazunari Kita
Kazunari Kita Left Back
6.82

Starting XI ▼

13
Ander Cantero
Ander Cantero Goalkeeper
6.98
21
Iñigo Córdoba
Iñigo Córdoba Midfielder
6.8
14
David González
David González Midfielder
6.91
16
Curro Sánchez
Curro Sánchez Attacker
7.16
9
Fer Niño
Fer Niño Attacker
6.87
5
Miguel Atienza
Miguel Atienza Central Midfield
6.94
6
Sergio González
Sergio González Right Back
6.71
12
Florian Miguel
Florian Miguel Left Back
6.97
23
Iván Morante
Iván Morante Central Midfield
6.98
8
Grego Sierra
Grego Sierra Left Back
6.88
15
Aitor Buñuel
Aitor Buñuel Right Back
6.64

CONCLUSION

Burgos arrives as clear favorites, leveraging superior power, form, and league position against a faltering Real Sociedad II. The 12.1-point edge positions visitors to control proceedings at Anoeta, where home support may not suffice against Burgos' momentum. Real Sociedad II's reserve status amplifies challenges in sustaining intensity, particularly in midfield duels. While projections indicate tightness, Burgos' higher output potential tips the scales towards an away success. Watch for efficient finishing from the 7th-placed side to capitalize on transitions, potentially securing vital points in the regular season grind.