Dender vs La Louvière preview

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Van Roystadion Yesterday - 5:15 PM
Pro League
Dender DEN
La Louvière RAAL
KICKOFF : Yesterday - 5:15 PM
Round 5 Relegation Round

CONTEXT

In the tense Relegation Round of the 2025/2026 Pro League season, Dender welcomes La Louvière to Van Roystadion in a battle that could define their top-flight futures. Dender enters as the structurally stronger side, boasting a power score of 59.93 against La Louvière's 54.85, yielding a clear 5.1-point advantage. Yet, form tells a different story: La Louvière's impressive 8.33 rating outshines Dender's 5.72, signaling momentum from recent performances. League positions reflect this scrap, with Dender languishing in 16th and La Louvière slightly safer in 14th. Projections lean towards the visitors at 40.5%, ahead of Dender's 32.1% and a 27.4% draw chance. Advanced metrics like efficiency and set pieces remain unavailable due to limited xG data, shifting focus to raw power, home support, and transitional play. Dender must leverage their edge to counter La Louvière's hot streak in this pivotal clash.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Dender holds a 5.1-point power advantage with a 59.93 rating over La Louvière's 54.85.
  • Form: La Louvière leads in form with an 8.33 score compared to Dender's 5.72.
  • Squad: No detailed squad information available for either team.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics not provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG information.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable for both Dender and La Louvière.
  • Market: Projection split: Dender 32.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27.4% (Δ+0%) | La Louvière 40.5% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Dender A. Abdul Raouf
A. Abdul Raouf
VS
La Louvière F. Taquin
F. Taquin
0.86
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.67
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cercle Brugge Rank: 69 L
Cercle Brugge Rank: 68 L
Zulte-Waregem Rank: 64 L
La Louvière Rank: 64 W
Gent Rank: 72 L
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: 86 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Zulte-Waregem Rank: 66 L
Zulte-Waregem Rank: 64 L
Cercle Brugge Rank: 67 L
Dender Rank: 60 L
Genk Rank: 77 D
Cercle Brugge Rank: 69 W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 1 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Dender
32.11%
Draw
27.39%
Away La Louvière
40.49%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
59.93
54.85
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Dender
La Louvière
Power Score
59.93
54.85
League Position
16
14
Global Rank
476
366

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Dender — Opponent-weighted form score
La Louvière — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Dender La Louvière

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Dender DEN Home
3 matches
La Louvière RAAL Away
Match Record
2
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
2
Goals
3
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
3
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-02T01:09:10+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
G. Dietsch
30 G. Dietsch
J. Sambu Mansoni
70 J. Sambu Mansoni
L. Marijnissen
5 L. Marijnissen
B. De Kerf
6 B. De Kerf
B. Goncalves
7 B. Goncalves
N. Rodes
18 N. Rodes
M. Viltard
24 M. Viltard
A. Jahanbakhsh
27 A. Jahanbakhsh
D. Acquah
23 D. Acquah
R. Oratmangoen
11 R. Oratmangoen
D. Toshevski
9 D. Toshevski
C. De Schrevel
1 C. De Schrevel
D. Lamego
25 D. Lamego
Y. Okou
99 Y. Okou
M. Maisonneuve
13 M. Maisonneuve
N. Gillot
3 N. Gillot
S. Gueulette
8 S. Gueulette
S. Lahssaini
15 S. Lahssaini
J. Liongola
11 J. Liongola
A. Beka Beka
6 A. Beka Beka
B. Soumaré
28 B. Soumaré
J. Afriyie
22 J. Afriyie

General Information

Date & Time
May 03, 2026, 05:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 5 · Relegation Round
Stadium
Van Roystadion
Capacity
8157
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Bert Verbeke
Gianni Seeldraeyers
Maarten Toeback
Lander Bultynck

Expected Lineup

Referee : Bert Verbeke

Starting XI ▼

30
Guillaume Dietsch
Guillaume Dietsch Goalkeeper
6.77
9
David Toševski
David Toševski Centre Forward
6.68
5
Luc Marijnissen
Luc Marijnissen Right Back
6.73
6
Bo De Kerf
Bo De Kerf Left Back
6.48
7
Bryan Goncalves
Bryan Goncalves Left Back
6.87
11
Ragnar Oratmangoen
Ragnar Oratmangoen Left Wing
6.62
18
Nathan Rôdes
Nathan Rôdes Defensive Midfield
6.58
23
Desmond Acquah
Desmond Acquah Attacking Midfield
6.53
24
Malcolm Viltard
Malcolm Viltard Defensive Midfield
6.77
27
Alireza Jahanbakhsh
Alireza Jahanbakhsh Right Wing
6.67
70
Marsoni Sambu
Marsoni Sambu Right Back
6.6
Referee : Bert Verbeke

Starting XI ▼

1
Célestin Eric De Schrevel
Célestin Eric De Schrevel Goalkeeper
5.77
28
Bryan Soumaré
Bryan Soumaré Midfielder
6.45
3
Nolan Gillot
Nolan Gillot Midfielder
6.92
6
Alexis Beka Beka
Alexis Beka Beka Midfielder
6.78
11
Jordi Liongola
Jordi Liongola Midfielder
6.85
22
Jerry Afriyie
Jerry Afriyie Centre Forward
6.66
99
Yllan Okou
Yllan Okou Centre Back
6.93
8
Samuel Gueulette
Samuel Gueulette Central Midfield
6.59
13
Maxence Maisonneuve
Maxence Maisonneuve Right Back
6.7
15
Sami Lahssaini
Sami Lahssaini Central Midfield
6.78
25
Djibril Lamego
Djibril Lamego Left Back
6.67

CONCLUSION

Dender's power edge provides a solid foundation at home, but La Louvière's superior form poses a real threat in this Relegation Round showdown. Without advanced stats on efficiency, set pieces, or transitions, the contest boils down to execution under pressure. Dender's 16th-place perch demands a response, while La Louvière aims to solidify 14th. Home advantage at Van Roystadion could tip the scales, yet visitors' momentum suggests a tight affair. Expect Dender to push structurally, but La Louvière's rhythm might prevail if they capitalize early.