Las Palmas vs Real Valladolid preview

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio de Gran Canaria Yesterday - 7:00 PM
La Liga 2
Las Palmas LPA
Real Valladolid REV
KICKOFF : Yesterday - 7:00 PM
Round 38 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Las Palmas host Real Valladolid in La Liga 2 (Regular Season) at Estadio de Gran Canaria. Domestically, Las Palmas sit 5th in the table while Real Valladolid are 15th. Power ranking favours Las Palmas by 7 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Las Palmas hold a 7-point power advantage at 63.17 versus Real Valladolid's 56.14 and sit 5th compared to 15th in the league.
  • Form: Las Palmas' form score of 24.28 exceeds Real Valladolid's 14.94.
  • Squad: No specific squad changes reported for either team.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics not provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece xG data unavailable as xG add-on not enabled for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable due to low confidence and proxy usage.
  • Market: Las Palmas 51.3% (Δ-0.2%) | Draw 27.1% (Δ+0.1%) | Real Valladolid 21.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Las Palmas L. García Fernández
L. García Fernández
VS
Real Valladolid F. Escriba Segura
F. Escriba Segura
1.72
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.04
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cádiz Rank: 56 W
Leganés Rank: 65 W
Málaga Rank: 68 L
Huesca Rank: 59 W
Granada Rank: 65 W
SD Eibar Rank: 70 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Sociedad II Rank: 59 W
FC Andorra Rank: 64 L
SD Eibar Rank: 69 D
Cultural Leonesa Rank: 56 L
Cádiz Rank: 56 W
Burgos Rank: 67 L
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 6 - 5
5
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Las Palmas
51.31%
Draw
27.06%
Away Real Valladolid
21.62%

Movement

Changes since opening
Las Palmas
-0.15%
Draw
+0.11%
Real Valladolid
+0.04%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
63.17
56.14
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Las Palmas
Real Valladolid
Power Score
63.17
56.14
League Position
5
15
Global Rank
185
459

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Las Palmas — Opponent-weighted form score
Real Valladolid — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Las Palmas Real Valladolid

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 17 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Las Palmas LPA Home
17 matches
Real Valladolid REV Away
Match Record
6
Wins
5
6
Draws
6
5
Losses
6
Goals
20
Goals Scored
23
23
Goals Conceded
20
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-02T01:09:30+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
D. Horkaš
1 D. Horkaš
M. Olawale Akinlabi Park
2 M. Olawale Akinlabi Park
S. Barcia Laranxeira
6 S. Barcia Laranxeira
M. Marmol Medina
3 M. Marmol Medina
E. Clemente Maza
5 E. Clemente Maza
P. García Mejías
22 P. García Mejías
L. Amatucci
16 L. Amatucci
K. Rodríguez Concepción
20 K. Rodríguez Concepción
V. Álvarez Rozada
17 V. Álvarez Rozada
J. Rodríguez Ruiz
10 J. Rodríguez Ruiz
M. Fuster Lázaro
14 M. Fuster Lázaro
Á. Aceves Catalina
1 Á. Aceves Catalina
C. Clerc Martínez
18 C. Clerc Martínez
D. Torres Ortiz
4 D. Torres Ortiz
P. Tomeo Félez
15 P. Tomeo Félez
I. Alejo Peralta
14 I. Alejo Peralta
S. Jurić
24 S. Jurić
J. Ponceau
21 J. Ponceau
S. Biuk
17 S. Biuk
I. San José Cantalejo
20 I. San José Cantalejo
P. Gonzalez Carmona
22 P. Gonzalez Carmona
L. Sanseviero
19 L. Sanseviero

General Information

Date & Time
May 03, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 38 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio de Gran Canaria
Capacity
32392
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Dinko Horkas
Dinko Horkas Goalkeeper
6.84
17
Viti Rozada
Viti Rozada Midfielder
6.66
22
Ale García
Ale García Midfielder
6.83
14
Manu Fuster
Manu Fuster Attacker
7.19
10
Jesé
Jesé Attacker
6.92
3
Mika Mármol
Mika Mármol Left Back
7.05
5
Enrique Clemente
Enrique Clemente Left Back
7.02
6
Sergio Barcia
Sergio Barcia Right Back
7.04
16
Lorenzo Amatucci
Lorenzo Amatucci Central Midfield
7
20
Kirian Rodríguez
Kirian Rodríguez Central Midfield
6.74
2
Marvin Park
Marvin Park Right Back
6.84

Starting XI ▼

1
Álvaro Aceves
Álvaro Aceves Goalkeeper
6.72
19
Lucas Sanseviero
Lucas Sanseviero Centre Forward
6.68
14
Iván Alejo
Iván Alejo Right Back
7
15
Pablo Tomeo
Pablo Tomeo Right Back
6.73
18
Carlos Clerc
Carlos Clerc Left Back
6.72
24
Stanko Juric
Stanko Juric Defensive Midfield
6.95
4
David Torres
David Torres Left Back
6.76
17
Stipe Biuk
Stipe Biuk Left Wing
6.73
20
Chuki
Chuki Attacking Midfield
7.01
21
Julien Ponceau
Julien Ponceau Defensive Midfield
6.86
22
Peter Federico
Peter Federico Right Wing
6.89

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Las Palmas holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Las Palmas a 7-point edge. External projection is Las Palmas 51%, draw 27.4%, and Real Valladolid 21.6%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.