Las Palmas vs Real Valladolid preview

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio de Gran Canaria
La Liga 2
Las PalmasLPA
2 1
Real ValladolidREV
Full Time
Round 38 Regular Season
Jesé - 2'
Goal
|
Goal
Stipe Biuk - 80'

CONTEXT

Las Palmas secured a 2-1 victory over Real Valladolid. The home team led 1-0 at halftime and maintained control with 56 percent possession against the visitors 44 percent. Las Palmas as the stronger side delivered the win in a match without red cards for either team. The final score of 2-1 reflected a minimal deviation of 5.3 percent from pre-match projections. Efficiency levels stayed in line with expectations throughout the contest. The outcome proved consistent with available projections and showed no major structural shifts in team performance. Possession advantages translated into the narrow win without reliance on disciplinary factors.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Las Palmas recorded a minimal deviation of 5.3 percent from pre-match projections.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with expectations for both teams.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable to assess alignment with the 2-1 result.
  • Market alignment: The 2-1 outcome aligned with pre-match projections.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals expectations could not be evaluated due to missing data.
  • Event impact: No major events disrupted the flow in the 2-1 home win.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards produced no distortion in the match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
J. González Esteban
J. González Esteban
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
D. Pérez de Colosía Alonso
D. Pérez de Colosía Alonso
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
L. Marín Robles
L. Marín Robles
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Clemente Ortuño
A. Clemente Ortuño
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Las Palmas L. García Fernández
L. García Fernández
VS
Real Valladolid F. Escriba Segura
F. Escriba Segura
1.72
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.04
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cádiz Rank: 62 W
Leganés Rank: 66 W
Málaga Rank: 76 L
Huesca Rank: 62 W
Granada Rank: 66 W
SD Eibar Rank: 73 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Sociedad II Rank: 64 W
FC Andorra Rank: 68 L
SD Eibar Rank: 73 D
Cultural Leonesa Rank: 61 L
Cádiz Rank: 62 W
Burgos Rank: 73 L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 1 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Las Palmas
94.72%
Draw
5.09%
Away Real Valladolid
0.19%

Movement

Changes since opening
Las Palmas
+0.56%
Draw
-0.56%
Real Valladolid
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
65.21
58.15
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Las Palmas
Real Valladolid
Power Score
65.21
58.15
League Position
5
17
Global Rank
189
479

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Las Palmas — Opponent-weighted form score
Real Valladolid — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Las Palmas Real Valladolid

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Las Palmas

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Real Valladolid

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Las Palmas ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Real Valladolid
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
25.54
21.02
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
21.02
25.54
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Las Palmas +0.45 Efficiency Index
vs
Real Valladolid -0.45 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Las Palmas
Real Valladolid
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Las Palmas ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Real Valladolid
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Las Palmas Real Valladolid
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Las Palmas Real Valladolid
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Las Palmas
Real Valladolid
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Las Palmas
vs
Real Valladolid
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Las Palmas Real Valladolid
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Las Palmas 0.26
Real Valladolid 0.32
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Las Palmas Real Valladolid
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Las Palmas 0.04
Real Valladolid 0.04
Las Palmas
Real Valladolid
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • LPA had peak pressure around 16'.
  • LPA started the game with stronger pressure.
LPA Pressure REV Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: LPA reached the top pressure at 16' (72.15).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Las Palmas LPA Home
3 matches
Real Valladolid REV Away
Match Record
2
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
2
Goals
4
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
4
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-13T13:34:35+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 38 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio de Gran Canaria
Capacity
32392
Attendance
17289
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jon Ander González Esteban
David Pérez de Colosía Alonso
Luis Miguel Marín Robles
Alejandro Clemente Ortuño

Statistics

Possession
LPA
56%
REV
44%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 1
5 Shots 1
46 Dangerous attacks 25
56 Possession 44
3 Corners 7
15 Free kicks 9
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

66 Ball Safe 72
1 Goal Kicks 10
10 Goal Attempts 3
5 Substitutions 5
10 Throwins 21
0 Hit Woodwork 1
2 Assists 0
1 Injuries 1
20 Dribble Attempts 10
11 Successful Dribbles 5
55 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50

Attacking

132 Attacks 54

Possession

18 Long Passes 32
570 Passes 432
514 Successful Passes 366
90 Successful Passes Percentage 85
9 Key Passes 4
6 Successful Long Passes 18
33 Successful Long Passes Percentage 56

Defensive

1 Saves 2
10 Tackles 16
16 Interceptions 9
42 Duels Won 38

Build-up

8 Total Crosses 15
1 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

3 Offsides 2
9 Fouls 15

Lineup

Referee : Jon Ander González Esteban

Starting XI ▼

1
Dinko Horkas
Dinko Horkas Goalkeeper
6.48
3
Mika Mármol
Mika Mármol Defender
7.08
5
Enrique Clemente
Enrique Clemente Defender
7.05
15
Juanma Herzog
Juanma Herzog
Defender85'
6.51
6
Sergio Barcia
Sergio Barcia Defender
7.05
17
Viti Rozada
Viti Rozada Defender
6.55
16
Lorenzo Amatucci
Lorenzo Amatucci Midfielder
7.25
20
Kirian Rodríguez
Kirian Rodríguez (C) Midfielder
7.15
22
Ale García
Ale García Midfielder
6.81
18
Taisei Miyashiro
Taisei Miyashiro
Attacker66'
6.34
39
Estanis Pedrola
Estanis Pedrola Midfielder
7.38
2
Marvin Park
Marvin Park
Defender74'
6.41
10
Jesé
Jesé Attacker
7.36
49
Iker Bravo
Iker Bravo
Attacker74'
6.63
14
Manu Fuster
Manu Fuster Attacker
8.49
8
Iván Gil
Iván Gil
Midfielder85'
6.61
Referee : Jon Ander González Esteban

Starting XI ▼

1
Álvaro Aceves
Álvaro Aceves Goalkeeper
6.46
2
Clément Michelin
Clément Michelin Defender
6.51
15
Pablo Tomeo
Pablo Tomeo Defender
6.93
18
Carlos Clerc
Carlos Clerc Defender
6.16
30
Hugo San
Hugo San
Defender70'
6.56
23
Mohamed Jaouab
Mohamed Jaouab Defender
6.51
5
Ramón Martínez
Ramón Martínez
Defender70'
6.54
6
Mathis Lachuer
Mathis Lachuer Midfielder
6.81
8
Víctor Meseguer
Víctor Meseguer (C) Midfielder
6.56
11
Amath Ndiaye
Amath Ndiaye
Attacker65'
6.62
17
Stipe Biuk
Stipe Biuk Midfielder
7.24
19
Lucas Sanseviero
Lucas Sanseviero Midfielder
5.86
9
Juanmi Latasa
Juanmi Latasa
Attacker64'
6.57
21
Julien Ponceau
Julien Ponceau Midfielder
6.52
12
Ibrahim Alani
Ibrahim Alani
Midfielder74'
6.51
20
Chuki
Chuki Attacker
6.45

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Sergio Barcia
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
90+3'
Event
Iván Gil → Manu Fuster
9th Substitution
85'
Event
Juanma Herzog → Enrique Clemente
10th Substitution
85'
82'
Event
Stipe Biuk
Goal awarded
80'
Event
Stipe Biuk
Header / 3rd Goal
Event
Iker Bravo → Jesé
7th Substitution
74'
Event
Marvin Park → Estanis Pedrola
8th Substitution
74'
74'
Event
Ibrahim Alani → Julien Ponceau
6th Substitution
70'
Event
Ramón Martínez → Mohamed Jaouab
4th Substitution
70'
Event
Hugo San → Carlos Clerc
5th Substitution
Event
Taisei Miyashiro → Ale García
3rd Substitution
66'
65'
Event
Amath Ndiaye → Víctor Meseguer
2nd Substitution
64'
Event
Juanmi Latasa → Lucas Sanseviero
1st Substitution
Event
Estanis Pedrola
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
56'
50'
Event
Clément Michelin
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
32'
Event
Julien Ponceau
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Jesé
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
2'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Juanmi Latasa attempts a header but misses the shot.
90
Attempt Attempt
Taisei Miyashiro takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Iker Bravo Solanilla takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
89
Attempt Attempt
Pablo Tomeo's shot with another body part is saved.
88
Attempt Attempt
Amath Ndiaye Diedhiou takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
85
Attempt Attempt
Ivan Gil's right-footed shot is blocked.
85
Update Update
Ivan Gil is on, and Manuel Fuster is off.
85
Update Update
Juanma Herzog comes on for Enrique Clemente.
84
Attempt Attempt
Iker Bravo Solanilla takes a left-footed shot but misses.
80
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Stipe Biuk scores with a header.
79
Attempt Attempt
Amath Ndiaye Diedhiou takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
74
Update Update
Ibrahim Alani comes on for Julien Ponceau.
74
Update Update
Ibrahim Alani replaces Julien Ponceau.
70
Update Update
Hugo Modesto comes on for Carlos Clerc Martinez.
70
Update Update
Ramon Martinez comes on for Mohamed Jaouab.
69
Attempt Attempt
Manuel Fuster takes a right-footed shot but misses.
66
Update Update
Taisei Miyashiro comes on for Alejandro Garcia Mejias.
66
Attempt Attempt
Stipe Biuk takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
65
Update Update
Amath Ndiaye Diedhiou comes on for Victor Meseguer.
65
Update Update
Juanmi Latasa comes on for Lucas Sanseviero.
58
Attempt Attempt
Mathis Lachuer's left-footed shot is blocked.
56
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Estanis Pedrola takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
56
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Estanis Pedrola scores, making it 2-0.
52
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Sanseviero takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
50
Attempt Attempt
Manuel Fuster's right-footed shot is blocked.
39
Attempt Attempt
Alejandro Garcia Mejias takes a right-footed shot but misses.
38
Attempt Attempt
Kirian Rodriguez Concepcion takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
34
Attempt Attempt
Alejandro Garcia Mejias takes a right-footed shot but misses.
15
Attempt Attempt
Jese Rodriguez Ruiz takes a right-footed shot but misses.
2
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Jese Rodriguez Ruiz takes a shot with his right foot and scores.

CONCLUSION

The 2-1 result confirmed Las Palmas as the deserved winner based on possession control and halftime lead of 1-0. With no red cards present the contest followed a standard pattern without external distortions. Minimal deviation supported the consistency of the stronger team prevailing. Efficiency alignment indicated steady performance from both sides despite the absence of expected goals metrics. The narrow margin reflected controlled play rather than dramatic swings. Overall the match data pointed to a predictable outcome that matched pre-match indicators without notable adjustments in the second half.