Osasuna vs Sevilla preview

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Estadio El Sadar
La Liga
OsasunaOSA
2 1
SevillaSEV
Full Time
Round 32 Regular Season
Raúl García - 80'
Alejandro Catena - 90+9'
Goal
|
Goal
Neal Maupay - 69'

CONTEXT

Osasuna defeated Sevilla 2-1 in a La Liga encounter, overcoming a goalless first half to secure victory through second-half goals. Holding 61% possession compared to Sevilla's 39%, Osasuna dictated play but waited until after halftime to convert dominance into scores, with Sevilla replying once. The match featured no red cards and even footing at the break, aligning with Osasuna's status as the stronger team per analytical metrics. This outcome marked a significant structural deviation of 95.1% in Osasuna's favor, diverging from pre-match structural expectations. Efficiency metrics stayed in line with projections, while the absence of xG data limits deeper chance quality insights. The result underscores Osasuna's control and clinical finishing post-interval, despite Sevilla's resilience. No major tactical adjustments were noted in the second half, keeping the focus on sustained pressure.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Osasuna's 2-1 win exhibited a 95.1% significant structural deviation in their favor.
  • Efficiency shift: Team efficiencies remained in line with pre-match projections.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable, preventing alignment assessment with outcome.
  • Market alignment: Final result did not align with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: No xG data available to compare against performance expectations.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events altered the match dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured no distortion from player dismissals.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Osasuna A. Lisci
A. Lisci
VS
Sevilla L. García Plaza
L. García Plaza
1.26
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.95
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Athletic Club Rank: L
Real Betis Rank: D
Deportivo Alavés Rank: D
Girona Rank: W
Real Sociedad Rank: L
Mallorca Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Levante Rank: L
Atlético Madrid Rank: W
Real Oviedo Rank: L
Valencia Rank: L
FC Barcelona Rank: L
Rayo Vallecano Rank: D
9
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
9 - 10 - 17
17

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Osasuna
49.76%
Draw
28.22%
Away Sevilla
22.02%

Movement

Changes since opening
Osasuna
+44.83%
Draw
-63.62%
Sevilla
+18.79%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
22.7
18.19
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Osasuna
Sevilla
Power Score
22.7
18.19
League Position
10
18
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Osasuna — Opponent-weighted form score
Sevilla — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Osasuna Sevilla

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Osasuna

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Sevilla

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Osasuna ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sevilla
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Osasuna Sevilla
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Osasuna Sevilla
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Osasuna
Sevilla
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Osasuna
vs
Sevilla
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Osasuna Sevilla
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Osasuna 0.00
Sevilla 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Osasuna Sevilla
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Osasuna 0.00
Sevilla 0.00
Osasuna
Sevilla
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • OSA had peak pressure around 91'.
  • OSA started the game with stronger pressure.
OSA Pressure SEV Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: OSA reached the top pressure at 91' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 36 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Osasuna OSA Home
36 matches
Sevilla SEV Away
Match Record
9
Wins
17
10
Draws
10
17
Losses
9
Goals
29
Goals Scored
47
47
Goals Conceded
29
-18
Goal Difference
+18
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-26T16:01:46+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
S. Herrera Pirón
Spain
1 S. Herrera Pirón
V. Rosier
France
19 V. Rosier
F. Boyomos
Cameroon
22 F. Boyomos
A. Catena Marugán
Spain
24 A. Catena Marugán
J. Galán Gil
Substitution
Spain
20 J. Galán Gil
J. Moncayola Tollar
Spain
7 J. Moncayola Tollar
I. Muñoz Cameros
Substitution
Spain
8 I. Muñoz Cameros
R. García Santos
Substitution
Spain
14 R. García Santos
A. Oroz
Substitution
Spain
10 A. Oroz
V. Muñoz Villanueva
Substitution
Spain
21 V. Muñoz Villanueva
A. Budimir
Croatia
17 A. Budimir

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio El Sadar
Capacity
23576
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Miguel Ángel Ortiz Arias
José Antonio Garrido Romero
Guillermo Santiago Sacristán
Pablo Monterrubio Torres

Statistics

Possession
OSA
59%
SEV
41%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
4 Big Chances Created 1
6 Shots 4
43 Dangerous attacks 24
61 Possession 39
4 Corners 4
13 Free kicks 11
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

20 Throwins 22
56 Successful Dribbles Percentage 27
23 Successful Headers 22
6 Goal Kicks 10
18 Dribble Attempts 15
10 Successful Dribbles 4
5 Substitutions 5
2 Injuries 2
8 Goal Attempts 6
72 Ball Safe 63
1 Assists 1

Attacking

96 Attacks 80
3 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

482 Passes 310
47 Long Passes 58
401 Successful Passes 219
9 Key Passes 7
83 Successful Passes Percentage 71
40 Successful Long Passes Percentage 28
19 Successful Long Passes 16

Defensive

14 Tackles 18
2 Interceptions 6
1 Saves 5
60 Duels Won 54

Build-up

35 Total Crosses 19
8 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

11 Fouls 13
0 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Miguel Ángel Ortiz Arias

Starting XI ▼

1
Sergio Herrera
Sergio Herrera Goalkeeper
6.93
19
Valentin Rosier
Valentin Rosier Defender
6.68
20
Javi Galán
Javi Galán Defender
6.52
23
Abel Bretones
Abel Bretones
Defender90'
6.65
22
Enzo Boyomo
Enzo Boyomo Defender
6.73
24
Alejandro Catena
Alejandro Catena Defender
6.86
7
Jon Moncayola
Jon Moncayola Midfielder
6.82
8
Iker Muñoz
Iker Muñoz Midfielder
6.64
9
Raúl García
Raúl García
Attacker71'
6.71
10
Aimar Oroz
Aimar Oroz Midfielder
6.83
18
Raúl Moro
Raúl Moro
Attacker62'
6.66
14
Rubén García
Rubén García Midfielder
6.89
16
Moi Gómez
Moi Gómez
Attacker71'
6.74
21
Víctor Muñoz
Víctor Muñoz Midfielder
6.77
11
Kike Barja
Kike Barja
Attacker90'
6.58
17
Ante Budimir
Ante Budimir Attacker
7.08
Referee : Miguel Ángel Ortiz Arias

Starting XI ▼

1
Odysseas Vlachodimos
Odysseas Vlachodimos Goalkeeper
6.72
2
José Ángel Carmona
José Ángel Carmona Defender
6.66
4
Kike Salas
Kike Salas Defender
6.92
12
Gabriel Suazo
Gabriel Suazo Defender
6.89
32
Andrés Castrín
Andrés Castrín Defender
6.88
11
Rubén Vargas
Rubén Vargas Midfielder
6.89
16
Juanlu Sánchez
Juanlu Sánchez
Midfielder76'
6.64
18
Lucien Agoumé
Lucien Agoumé Midfielder
6.81
20
Djibril Sow
Djibril Sow Midfielder
6.79
19
Batista Mendy
Batista Mendy
Midfielder71'
6.71
36
Oso
Oso Midfielder
6.78
9
Akor Adams
Akor Adams
Attacker87'
6.8
7
Isaac Romero
Isaac Romero Attacker
6.58
14
Peque Fernández
Peque Fernández
Attacker87'
6.73
17
Neal Maupay
Neal Maupay Attacker
6.6
6
Nemanja Gudelj
Nemanja Gudelj
Midfielder87'
6.74

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Alejandro Catena
Header / 3rd Goal
90+9'
Event
Raúl García
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
90+4'
Event
Kike Barja → Víctor Muñoz
9th Substitution
90'
Event
Abel Bretones → Javi Galán
10th Substitution
90'
87'
Event
Peque Fernández → Isaac Romero
7th Substitution
87'
Event
Akor Adams → Oso
6th Substitution
87'
Event
Nemanja Gudelj → Neal Maupay
8th Substitution
Event
Raúl García
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
80'
76'
Event
Juanlu Sánchez → Rubén Vargas
5th Substitution
Event
Moi Gómez → Rubén García
3rd Substitution
71'
Event
Raúl García → Iker Muñoz
2nd Substitution
71'
71'
Event
Batista Mendy → Djibril Sow
4th Substitution
69'
Event
Neal Maupay
Header / 1st Goal
66'
Event
Djibril Sow
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Raúl Moro → Aimar Oroz
1st Substitution
62'
Event
Ante Budimir
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
51'
1ST-HALF
6'
Event
Gabriel Suazo
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Osasuna after a foul by Andrés Castrín.
90
Attempt Attempt
Raúl García's left-footed shot from the center of the box is saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Nemanja Gudelj's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
90
Update Update
Juanlu Sánchez of Sevilla wins a free kick on the right wing.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Raúl García from Osasuna receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Raúl García of Osasuna.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Alejandro Catena scores for Osasuna with a header from the center of the box. The score is now Osasuna 2, Sevilla 1.
90
Update Update
José Ángel Carmona of Sevilla wins a free kick in the attacking half.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: Abel Bretones comes on for Javi Galán.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 9 minutes of added time.
90
Update Update
Kike Barja from Osasuna misses a header from the left side of the six-yard box.
87
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: Peque Fernández comes on for Isaac Romero.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Kike Barja of Osasuna.
84
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Gabriel Suazo from Sevilla.
84
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Raúl García's header from the center of the box is saved by Odysseas Vlachodimos in the center of the goal. The attempt was assisted by Raúl Moro with a headed pass.
84
Attempt Attempt
Ante Budimir's left-footed shot from the center of the box is saved.
82
Corner Corner
Sevilla wins a corner after Raúl Moro concedes.
87
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: Nemanja Gudelj comes on for Neal Maupay.
79
Update Update
Kike Salas of Sevilla is caught offside.
78
Attempt Attempt
Jon Moncayola from Osasuna attempts a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it goes close and misses to the left. Moi Gómez provided the assist.
78
Update Update
Foul by Moi Gómez of Osasuna.
78
Update Update
Neal Maupay wins a free kick for Sevilla in the attacking half.
80
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Raúl García scores for Osasuna with a left-footed shot from the center of the box into the bottom left corner. The match is now 1-1.
76
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: Juanlu Sánchez comes on for Rubén Vargas due to an injury.
87
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: Akor Adams comes on for Oso.
75
Update Update
Ante Budimir of Osasuna wins a free kick in the attacking half.
75
Update Update
Foul committed by Kike Salas of Sevilla.
89
Update Update
Raúl García from Osasuna misses a header from the center of the box.
73
Update Update
Valentin Rosier from Osasuna wins a free kick in the defensive half.
73
Update Update
Foul by Lucien Agoumé for Sevilla.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: Kike Barja comes on for Víctor Muñoz.
72
Update Update
Jon Moncayola wins a free kick for Osasuna in the attacking half.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: Moi Gómez comes on for Rubén García.
70
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Djibril Sow of Sevilla.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: Batista Mendy comes on for Djibril Sow due to an injury.
69
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Sevilla takes the lead 1-0 with Neal Maupay scoring a header from the center of the box into the center of the goal, assisted by Djibril Sow.
72
Update Update
Foul committed by Batista Mendy of Sevilla.
66
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Djibril Sow from Sevilla receives a yellow card for a foul.
66
Update Update
Foul by Djibril Sow for Sevilla.
64
Corner Corner
Sevilla wins a corner after Enzo Boyomo concedes.
66
Update Update
Iker Muñoz from Osasuna wins a free kick in the defensive half.
60
Update Update
Víctor Muñoz of Osasuna wins a free kick in the defensive half.
60
Update Update
Foul committed by José Ángel Carmona of Sevilla.
67
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Iker Muñoz from Osasuna.
84
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Gabriel Suazo of Sevilla.
58
Corner Corner
Sevilla wins a corner after Enzo Boyomo concedes.
62
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: Raúl Moro comes on for Aimar Oroz.
55
Update Update
Oso from Sevilla wins a free kick on the left wing.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: Raúl García comes on for Iker Muñoz.
52
Corner Corner
Osasuna wins a corner after Kike Salas concedes.
51
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ante Budimir of Osasuna receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
51
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Rubén Vargas from Sevilla takes a right-footed shot from outside the box.
47
Attempt Attempt
Ante Budimir of Osasuna misses the attempt with a left-footed shot from the center of the box, sending it high and wide to the left. Jon Moncayola provided the assist with a cross.
48
Update Update
Aimar Oroz from Osasuna wins a free kick on the left wing.
55
Update Update
Foul by Jon Moncayola of Osasuna.
82
Attempt Attempt
Isaac Romero's left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked.
60
Update Update
Iker Muñoz from Osasuna wins a free kick in the defensive half.
60
Update Update
Foul committed by Neal Maupay for Sevilla.
48
Update Update
Foul committed by Lucien Agoumé for Sevilla.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 1 minute of added time.
41
Update Update
José Ángel Carmona from Sevilla wins a free kick in the defensive half.
44
Update Update
Foul by Víctor Muñoz of Osasuna.
44
Update Update
Andrés Castrín of Sevilla wins a free kick in the defensive half.
51
Update Update
Kike Salas from Sevilla wins a free kick in the defensive half.
39
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Víctor Muñoz of Osasuna has a left-footed shot from the left side of the box, but it's saved in the bottom left corner by Odysseas Vlachodimos of Sevilla.
40
Update Update
Offside called against Sevilla. Neal Maupay is flagged for offside.
41
Update Update
José Ángel Carmona from Sevilla wins a free kick in the defensive half.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with the score at Osasuna 0, Sevilla 0.
39
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Javi Galán from Osasuna takes a right-footed shot from the left side of the box, but it goes wide to the right.
51
Update Update
Foul committed by Ante Budimir of Osasuna.
36
Attempt Attempt
Jon Moncayola's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
34
Update Update
Víctor Muñoz from Osasuna wins a free kick on the left wing.
34
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Neal Maupay's right-footed shot from outside the box is saved by Sergio Herrera in the top center of the goal.
34
Update Update
Lucien Agoumé wins a free kick for Sevilla in the attacking half.
34
Update Update
Foul committed by José Ángel Carmona of Sevilla.
59
Update Update
Neal Maupay commits a handball for Sevilla.
39
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed by Javi Galán of Osasuna, who took a right-footed shot from the left side of the box.
35
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Osasuna after a concession by Isaac Romero.
31
Corner Corner
Jon Moncayola's right-footed shot from the center of the box is saved in the bottom right corner by Odysseas Vlachodimos. The attempt was assisted by Víctor Muñoz.
32
Update Update
Foul by Valentin Rosier of Osasuna.
65
Corner Corner
Sevilla earns a corner after Javi Galán concedes.
25
Update Update
Foul committed by Djibril Sow of Sevilla.
25
Update Update
Iker Muñoz from Osasuna wins a free kick in the attacking half.
24
Attempt Attempt
Isaac Romero from Sevilla misses the attempt with a left-footed shot from over 35 yards, sending it high and wide to the left. Neal Maupay assisted after a fast break.
38
Attempt Attempt
Valentin Rosier from Osasuna misses the attempt with a right-footed shot from outside the box, which goes just a bit too high. He was assisted by Iker Muñoz.
23
Update Update
Rubén García from Osasuna wins a free kick on the right wing.
22
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Alejandro Catena from Osasuna.
32
Update Update
Gabriel Suazo from Sevilla wins a free kick in the defensive half.
23
Update Update
Foul by Gabriel Suazo for Sevilla.
34
Update Update
Foul committed by Aimar Oroz of Osasuna.
14
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Osasuna after Rubén Vargas concedes.
8
Update Update
Andrés Castrín from Sevilla misses an attempt with a header from outside the box, sending it high and wide to the left. Gabriel Suazo provided the assist after a set piece situation.
11
Update Update
Oso from Sevilla wins a free kick in the defensive half.
7
Update Update
Handball by Javi Galán of Osasuna.
6
Update Update
Valentin Rosier of Osasuna is awarded a free kick on the right wing.
4
Attempt Attempt
Neal Maupay from Sevilla misses the attempt with a right-footed shot from outside the box, sending it high and wide to the left. The chance was assisted by José Ángel Carmona with a cross.
2
Update Update
Aimar Oroz from Osasuna wins a free kick in the defensive half.
6
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Gabriel Suazo of Sevilla receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
11
Update Update
Foul committed by Valentin Rosier of Osasuna.
6
Update Update
Foul committed by Gabriel Suazo for Sevilla.
2
Update Update
Foul committed by Djibril Sow of Sevilla.

CONCLUSION

Osasuna's 2-1 triumph over Sevilla validates their superior control, evidenced by 61% possession and a decisive second-half push after a 0-0 halftime stalemate. The significant deviation highlights their outperformance against expectations, with efficiencies holding steady. Lacking xG details tempers full chance evaluation, yet the unaligned market outcome favors Osasuna's execution. No red cards preserved natural flow, emphasizing tactical discipline. This win bolsters Osasuna's standing, reflecting effective resource use in a low-event affair.