Aalesund vs Kristiansund preview
2026 Eliteserien, Norway
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Aalesund and Kristiansund delivered a 1-1 draw in their Norwegian league clash, with the halftime score locked at 0-0. Aalesund dominated possession at 55% but struggled to convert chances into goals, mirroring Kristiansund's defensive solidity despite holding 45%. The second half produced identical single strikes from each side, preserving equilibrium. Pre-match assessments positioned Aalesund as favorites at 52.4% probability, yet the outcome marked a significant 76.6% structural deviation benefiting Kristiansund, deemed the stronger team. No red cards or major disruptions occurred, and efficiency metrics aligned with expectations. This result underscores Kristiansund's resilience away, denying Aalesund a home victory despite territorial control.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: The draw represented a significant 76.6% structural deviation favoring Kristiansund.
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Efficiency shift: Efficiency for both teams remained in line with expectations.
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xG alignment: xG data absence prevented alignment evaluation with the outcome.
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Market alignment: Pre-match market probabilities did not align with the 1-1 draw.
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xG expectations: xG expectations could not be assessed due to unavailable data.
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Event impact: No notable events altered the match's progression.
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Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured no distortion from player dismissals.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Aalesund
Kristiansund
Movement
Changes since opening
Aalesund
Kristiansund
Team Power Ranking
i
10.74
17.69
Aalesund
Kristiansund
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Aalesund
Kristiansund
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Aalesund
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Aalesund
⚠ Proxy
Aalesund
Kristiansund
Aalesund
Kristiansund
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Aalesund
Aalesund
Kristiansund
Aalesund
Kristiansund
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- AFK had peak pressure around 32'.
- AFK started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 6 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:06:12+00:00
STARTING XI
General Information
Next Match
Aalesund
vs
Sandefjord
League: Eliteserien
Kickoff: Sun, 3 May - 3:00 PM
Venue: Komplett Arena
Kristiansund
vs
HamKam
League: Eliteserien
Kickoff: Sun, 3 May - 3:00 PM
Venue: Kristiansund Stadion
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Manager ▼
Starting XI ▼

Substitutes ▼

Manager ▼
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼






















