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Gorica vs Istra 1961 preview

Croatia flag 2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia
ŠRC Velika Gorica Mon, 27 Apr - 4:00 PM
1. HNL
GoricaGorica
1 – 0
1ST HALF 32
Istra 1961Istra 1961
Live : 1st Half Mon, 27 Apr 4:00 PM
Round 32 Regular Season
Jurica Prsir - 31'
Goal
|

Events

1ST-HALF
Event
Jurica Prsir
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
31'

Statistics

Possession
Gorica
55%
Istra 1961
45%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
1 Big Chances Created 0
3 Shots 0
12 Dangerous attacks 8
53 Possession 47
6 Corners 1
2 Free kicks 1

Match Overview

8 Dribble Attempts 4
4 Throwins 10
63 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50
1 Goal Kicks 3
5 Successful Dribbles 2
1 Assists 0

Attacking

23 Attacks 24

Possession

10 Successful Long Passes 7
71 Successful Long Passes Percentage 47
127 Successful Passes 106
147 Passes 134
86 Successful Passes Percentage 79
14 Long Passes 15

Defensive

2 Saves 1
2 Interceptions 1
3 Tackles 8
13 Duels Won 13

Build-up

10 Total Crosses 4
4 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

1 Fouls 2
1 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Patrik Kolarić

Starting XI ▼

71
Davor Matijas
Davor Matijas Goalkeeper
6.75
4
Jakov Filipovic
Jakov Filipovic Defender
6.8
5
Mateo Les
Mateo Les Defender
6.53
45
Stefan Peric
Stefan Peric Defender
6.68
8
Iker Pozo
Iker Pozo Midfielder
7.14
22
Zan Trontelj
Zan Trontelj Midfielder
6.93
25
Bruno Bogojevic
Bruno Bogojevic Midfielder
6.68
36
Ante Kavelj
Ante Kavelj Midfielder
6.85
10
Jurica Prsir
Jurica Prsir Attacker
6.94
24
Domagoj Pavicic
Domagoj Pavicic Attacker
6.78
50
Ante Erceg
Ante Erceg Attacker
6.88
Referee : Patrik Kolarić

Starting XI ▼

1
Franko Kolic
Franko Kolic Goalkeeper
6.93
24
Filip Taraba
Filip Taraba Defender
6.54
26
Marcel Heister
Marcel Heister Defender
6.72
38
Raul Kumar
Raul Kumar Defender
6.73
97
Advan Kadusic
Advan Kadusic Defender
6.81
7
Vinko Rozic
Vinko Rozic Midfielder
6.63
8
Antonio Mauric
Antonio Mauric Midfielder
6.8
10
Stjepan Loncar
Stjepan Loncar Midfielder
6.86
17
Emil Frederiksen
Emil Frederiksen Midfielder
6.94
23
Leo Stulac
Leo Stulac Midfielder
6.76
9
Smail Prevljak
Smail Prevljak Attacker
6.88

CONTEXT

The game is in first half around minute 1, with Gorica and Istra 1961 currently at 0-0. The scoreline remains level, so the live state is still open compared with the pre-match baseline. Possession split is approximately 50% to Gorica and 50% to Istra 1961.

TL;DR

  • Live state: Gorica 0-0 Istra 1961 in first half (1)
  • Structural vs live: Live scoreline is in line with pre-match structural edge for Istra 1961.
  • Projection vs live: Pre-match projection leader Gorica sees neutral alignment in the current 0-0 live state.
  • xG trend: No xG data available yet in live_first_half at minute 1.
  • Possession profile: 50-50 possession split matches pre-match balanced expectations perfectly.
  • Event impact: No red cards or major events have altered the in-line efficiency so far.
  • Second-half outlook: Live efficiency trend is in line with; The remainder should be decided by execution in transitions and set plays.
  • Market: Gorica 76.7% (Δ+27.6%) | Draw 17% (Δ-14.1%) | Istra 1961 6.2% (Δ-13.4%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Gorica M. Carević
M. Carević
VS
Istra 1961 K. Režić
K. Režić
1.2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.05
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vukovar Rank: W
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: L
Hajduk Split Rank: L
Varaždin Rank: D
Rijeka Rank: W
Osijek Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: L
Vukovar Rank: L
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: L
Hajduk Split Rank: L
Varaždin Rank: W
Rijeka Rank: W
14
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
14 - 10 - 7
7

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Gorica
76.74%
Draw
17.02%
Away Istra 1961
6.24%

Movement

Changes since opening
Gorica
+27.56%
Draw
-14.13%
Istra 1961
-13.43%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
20.35
21.42
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Gorica
Istra 1961
Power Score
20.35
21.42
League Position
8
7
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Gorica — Opponent-weighted form score
Istra 1961 — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Gorica Istra 1961

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Gorica

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Istra 1961

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Gorica ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Istra 1961
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Gorica Istra 1961
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Gorica Istra 1961
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Gorica
Istra 1961
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Gorica
vs
Istra 1961
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Gorica Istra 1961
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Gorica 0.00
Istra 1961 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Gorica Istra 1961
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Gorica 0.00
Istra 1961 0.00
Gorica
Istra 1961
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Gorica had peak pressure around 19'.
  • Istra 1961 started the game with stronger pressure.
Gorica Pressure Istra 1961 Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Gorica reached the top pressure at 19' (81.69).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 31 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Gorica Gorica Home
31 matches
Istra 1961 Istra 1961 Away
Match Record
14
Wins
7
10
Draws
10
7
Losses
14
Goals
45
Goals Scored
30
30
Goals Conceded
45
+15
Goal Difference
-15
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T15:30:36+00:00

PLAYERS CURRENTLY PLAYING

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
D. Matijaš
Croatia
71 D. Matijaš
S. Peric
Austria
45 S. Peric
J. Filipović
Croatia
4 J. Filipović
M. Leš
Croatia
5 M. Leš
Ž. Trontelj
Slovenia
22 Ž. Trontelj
I. Pozo La Rosa
Spain
8 I. Pozo La Rosa
A. Kavelj
Croatia
36 A. Kavelj
B. Bogojević
Croatia
25 B. Bogojević
J. Pršir
Croatia
10 J. Pršir
D. Pavičić
Croatia
24 D. Pavičić
A. Erceg
Croatia
50 A. Erceg

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 27, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium
ŠRC Velika Gorica
Capacity
8000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Ivan Starčević
Josip Bošnjak
Patrik Kolarić
N. Vuković

CONCLUSION

At this live stage, the scoreline and underlying metrics suggest a in line path versus pre-match expectations. Projection alignment is neutral, while efficiency indicators are in line with. The remainder should be decided by execution in transitions and set plays.