Cagliari vs Atalanta preview

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Sardegna Arena Today - 4:30 PM
Serie A
Cagliari CAG
Atalanta ATA
KICKOFF : Today - 4:30 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

At Sardegna Arena, Cagliari hosts Atalanta in a Serie A regular season fixture from the 2025/2026 campaign. The home team occupies 16th place, grappling with inconsistency, while visitors Atalanta sit comfortably in 7th, showcasing greater consistency. Power ratings underline this gap, with Atalanta's 26.38 eclipsing Cagliari's 14.08 for a commanding 12.3-point advantage, marking them as the stronger side overall. Form metrics reinforce Atalanta's edge at 17.94 against Cagliari's 4.56, suggesting momentum lies away. Absent recent outing details limit injury insights, yet league standings hint at Atalanta's squad depth. Set-piece evaluations carry low confidence via proxies, lacking xG specifics for both attacks and defenses. Cagliari seeks home resilience; Atalanta eyes exploitation of transitions. Projections align with Atalanta's favoritism in this mismatch.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Atalanta holds structural superiority, boasting a 26.38 power score and 7th position against Cagliari's 14.08 and 16th place.
  • Form: Visitors arrive in superior form with a 17.94 score, far exceeding Cagliari's 4.56.
  • Squad: No recent outings reported, but Atalanta's higher ranking implies readier squad options.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both Cagliari and Atalanta in this preview.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unspecified amid limited statistical availability.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece stats rely on low-confidence proxies without xG for either team's attack or defense.
  • xVariable: xVariable insights absent due to unavailable xG data across categories.
  • Market: Cagliari 21.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.2% (Δ+0%) | Atalanta 53.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Cagliari F. Pisacane
F. Pisacane
VS
Atalanta R. Palladino
R. Palladino
0.96
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.68
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Inter Rank: L
Cremonese Rank: W
Sassuolo Rank: L
Napoli Rank: L
Pisa Rank: L
Como Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Roma Rank: D
Juventus Rank: L
Lecce Rank: W
Hellas Verona Rank: W
Inter Rank: D
Udinese Rank: D
12
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
12 - 5 - 18
18
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Cagliari
21.11%
Draw
25.22%
Away Atalanta
53.67%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
14.08
26.38
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Cagliari
Atalanta
Power Score
14.08
26.38
League Position
16
7
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Cagliari Opponent-weighted form score
Atalanta Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Cagliari Atalanta

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 35 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Cagliari CAG Home
35 matches
Atalanta ATA Away
Match Record
12
Wins
18
5
Draws
5
18
Losses
12
Goals
38
Goals Scored
44
44
Goals Conceded
38
-6
Goal Difference
+6
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-26T01:11:10+00:00

STARTING XI

Pitch
E. Caprile
Italy
1 E. Caprile
J. da Silva Figueiredo Freitas
Portugal
32 J. da Silva Figueiredo Freitas
Y. Mina González
Colombia
26 Y. Mina González
J. Rodríguez Camejo
Uruguay
15 J. Rodríguez Camejo
M. Palestra
Italy
2 M. Palestra
M. Adopo
France
8 M. Adopo
G. Gaetano
Italy
10 G. Gaetano
I. Sulemana
Ghana
25 I. Sulemana
A. Obert
Slovakia
33 A. Obert
S. Esposito
Italy
94 S. Esposito
G. Borrelli
Italy
29 G. Borrelli
M. Carnesecchi
Italy
29 M. Carnesecchi
S. Kolašinac
Bosnia and Herzegovina
23 S. Kolašinac
B. Djimsiti
Albania
19 B. Djimsiti
G. Scalvini
Italy
42 G. Scalvini
D. Zappacosta
Italy
77 D. Zappacosta
É. dos Santos Lourenço da Silva
Brazil
13 É. dos Santos Lourenço da Silva
M. de Roon
Netherlands
15 M. de Roon
R. Bellanova
Italy
16 R. Bellanova
G. Raspadori
Italy
18 G. Raspadori
C. De Ketelaere
Belgium
17 C. De Ketelaere
N. Krstović
Montenegro
90 N. Krstović

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 27, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium
Sardegna Arena
Capacity
16416
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Juan Luca Sacchi
Valerio Vecchi
Davide Di Marco
Davide Moro

Lineup

Referee : Juan Luca Sacchi

Starting XI

1
Elia Caprile
Elia Caprile Goalkeeper
6.91
15
Juan Rodríguez
Juan Rodríguez Defender
6.67
26
Yerry Mina
Yerry Mina Defender
6.89
32
Zé Pedro
Zé Pedro Defender
6.6
2
Marco Palestra
Marco Palestra Midfielder
6.95
8
Michel Adopo
Michel Adopo Midfielder
6.68
10
Gianluca Gaetano
Gianluca Gaetano Midfielder
6.82
25
Ibrahim Sulemana
Ibrahim Sulemana Midfielder
6.63
33
Adam Obert
Adam Obert Midfielder
6.83
29
Gennaro Borrelli
Gennaro Borrelli Attacker
6.74
94
Sebastiano Esposito
Sebastiano Esposito Attacker
7.18
Referee : Juan Luca Sacchi

Starting XI

29
Marco Carnesecchi
Marco Carnesecchi Goalkeeper
7.07
16
Raoul Bellanova
Raoul Bellanova Defender
6.8
19
Berat Djimsiti
Berat Djimsiti Defender
6.95
23
Sead Kolasinac
Sead Kolasinac Defender
6.6
42
Giorgio Scalvini
Giorgio Scalvini Defender
7
77
Davide Zappacosta
Davide Zappacosta Defender
6.86
13
Éderson
Éderson Midfielder
6.97
15
Marten de Roon
Marten de Roon Midfielder
6.95
17
Charles De Ketelaere
Charles De Ketelaere Midfielder
7.18
18
Giacomo Raspadori
Giacomo Raspadori Midfielder
7.05
90
Nikola Krstović
Nikola Krstović Attacker
7.1

CONCLUSION

Atalanta enters as clear frontrunners, leveraging power and form edges to target victory at Sardegna Arena. Cagliari's home advantage offers faint hope, but defensive frailties against Atalanta's prowess could prove decisive. Without xG-driven set-piece clarity, expect open play to dominate, favoring the visitors' transitions. League positions underscore Atalanta's push for top spots versus Cagliari's survival fight. A narrow away win seems probable, though draws linger in projections.