Piast Gliwice vs Arka Gdynia preview

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Miejski Mon, 27 Apr - 5:00 PM
Ekstraklasa
Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice
Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia
KICKOFF : Mon, 27 Apr - 5:00 PM
Round 30 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Piast Gliwice host Arka Gdynia in Ekstraklasa (Regular Season) at Stadion Miejski. Domestically, Piast Gliwice sit 16th in the table while Arka Gdynia are 17th. Power ranking favours Piast Gliwice by 0.7 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Piast Gliwice commands a 0.7-point power advantage, rated stronger at 25.95 versus Arka Gdynia's 25.29.
  • Form: Arka Gdynia edges form standings with 21.06 score over Piast Gliwice's 18.22.
  • Squad: Piast Gliwice occupy 16th place while Arka Gdynia sit 17th in Ekstraklasa domestic positions.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play data absent from current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats carry low confidence from proxy usage without xG availability.
  • xVariable: xG variables unavailable as add-on disabled.
  • Market: Projection split: Piast Gliwice 49.2% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27.5% (Δ+0%) | Arka Gdynia 23.3% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Piast Gliwice D. Myśliwiec
D. Myśliwiec
VS
Arka Gdynia D. Banasik
D. Banasik
1.61
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.19
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lechia Gdańsk Rank: D
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: L
Nieciecza Rank: L
Radomiak Radom Rank: W
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: W
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: L
Cracovia Kraków Rank: D
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: W
Korona Kielce Rank: L
Widzew Lodz Rank: D
Wisła Płock Rank: W
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 4 - 4
4
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Piast Gliwice
49.15%
Draw
27.52%
Away Arka Gdynia
23.34%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
25.95
25.29
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Piast Gliwice
Arka Gdynia
Power Score
25.95
25.29
League Position
16
17
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Piast Gliwice — Opponent-weighted form score
Arka Gdynia — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Piast Gliwice Arka Gdynia

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 15 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice Home
15 matches
Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia Away
Match Record
7
Wins
4
4
Draws
4
4
Losses
7
Goals
21
Goals Scored
15
15
Goals Conceded
21
+6
Goal Difference
-6
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T16:30:27+00:00

STARTING XI

Pitch
D. Holec
Slovakia
30 D. Holec
J. Rivas Margalef
Spain
5 J. Rivas Margalef
I. Drapiński
Poland
29 I. Drapiński
J. Lewicki
Poland
36 J. Lewicki
P. Dziczek
Poland
10 P. Dziczek
Leandro Sanca
Guinea-Bissau
11 Leandro Sanca
G. Tomasiewicz
Poland
20 G. Tomasiewicz
J. Muñoz García
Spain
7 J. Muñoz García
J. Eyenga-Lokilo
DR Congo
98 J. Eyenga-Lokilo
J. Grobelny
Poland
1 J. Grobelny
D. Gojny
Poland
94 D. Gojny
M. Marcjanik
Poland
29 M. Marcjanik
S. Szota
Poland
3 S. Szota
M. Navarro Ceciliano
Spain
2 M. Navarro Ceciliano
A. Nguiamba
France
10 A. Nguiamba
L. Perea Hernández
Spain
6 L. Perea Hernández
N. Rusyn
Ukraine
31 N. Rusyn
S. Kerk
Germany
37 S. Kerk
Oskar Kubiak
7 Oskar Kubiak
V. Gutkovskis
Latvia
19 V. Gutkovskis

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 27, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Miejski
Capacity
15139
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Szymon Marciniak
Tomasz Listkiewicz
Adam Kupsik
Maciej Kuropatwa

Lineup

Referee : Szymon Marciniak

Starting XI ▼

30
Dominik Holec
Dominik Holec Goalkeeper
7.54
5
Juande Rivas
Juande Rivas Defender
7.03
29
Igor Drapinski
Igor Drapinski Defender
6.85
36
Jakub Lewicki
Jakub Lewicki Defender
6.76
10
Patryk Dziczek
Patryk Dziczek Midfielder
7.07
20
Grzegorz Tomasiewicz
Grzegorz Tomasiewicz Midfielder
6.81
7
Jorge Félix
Jorge Félix Attacker
6.87
11
Leandro Sanca
Leandro Sanca Attacker
7
98
Jason Lokilo
Jason Lokilo Attacker
6.82
Referee : Szymon Marciniak

Starting XI ▼

1
Jedrzej Grobelny
Jedrzej Grobelny Goalkeeper
6.63
2
Marc Navarro
Marc Navarro Defender
6.91
3
Serafin Szota
Serafin Szota Defender
6.55
29
Michal Marcjanik
Michal Marcjanik Defender
6.72
94
Dawid Gojny
Dawid Gojny Defender
6.78
6
Luis Perea
Luis Perea Midfielder
6.49
10
Aurélien Nguiamba
Aurélien Nguiamba Midfielder
6.58
37
Sebastian Kerk
Sebastian Kerk Midfielder
7.05
7
O. Kubiak
O. Kubiak Attacker
6.87
19
Vladislavs Gutkovskis
Vladislavs Gutkovskis Attacker
6.87
31
Nazariy Rusyn
Nazariy Rusyn Attacker
6.73

CONCLUSION

Piast Gliwice enter as marginal favorites thanks to superior power rating and home venue at Stadion Miejski, yet Arka Gdynia's stronger form score introduces intrigue in this Ekstraklasa relegation tussle. Both clubs, mired at 16th and 17th, desperately need points, amplifying stakes. Without granular efficiency, set-piece, or xG insights, outcomes hinge on structural discipline, swift transitions, and squad execution. Projections tilt towards Piast at nearly 50%, but Arka's momentum could force a stalemate or surprise. Anticipate a gritty, low-scoring affair where defensive resolve trumps flair.