Sporting Braga vs SC Freiburg preview

Europe flag 2025/2026 Europa League, Europe
Estádio Municipal de Braga Thu, 30 Apr - 7:00 PM
Europa League
Sporting Braga SCB
SC Freiburg SCF
KICKOFF : Thu, 30 Apr - 7:00 PM
Semi Finals Leg 1 of 2

CONTEXT

Sporting Braga host SC Freiburg in Europa League (Semi-finals) at Estádio Municipal de Braga. Power ranking favours Sporting Braga by 4.1 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Sporting Braga possesses a 4.1-point power advantage over SC Freiburg, marking them as the stronger team overall.
  • Form: Sporting Braga's form score of 37.5 surpasses SC Freiburg's 29.94 entering this semi-final first leg.
  • Squad: Squad details are unavailable, but Braga's higher power score indicates a competitive edge in personnel quality.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are not available for either team in this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play data is unavailable, leaving open play dynamics uncertain.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats rely on low-confidence proxies with no xG data available for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables are unavailable due to lack of enabling data for this fixture.
  • Market: Sporting Braga 39.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 30.6% (Δ+0%) | SC Freiburg 29.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Sporting Braga C. Vicens
C. Vicens
VS
SC Freiburg J. Schuster
J. Schuster
1.67
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.11
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Betis Rank: W
Real Betis Rank: D
Ferencvárosi Rank: W
Ferencvárosi Rank: L
Go Ahead Eagles Rank: D
Nottingham Forest Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Celta de Vigo Rank: W
Celta de Vigo Rank: W
Genk Rank: W
Genk Rank: L
LOSC Lille Rank: L
Maccabi Tel Aviv Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sporting Braga
39.68%
Draw
30.64%
Away SC Freiburg
29.68%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
34.79
30.68
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sporting Braga
SC Freiburg
Power Score
34.79
30.68
League Position
6
7
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sporting Braga — Opponent-weighted form score
SC Freiburg — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sporting Braga SC Freiburg

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sporting Braga SCB Home
0 matches
SC Freiburg SCF Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-28T00:05:04+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
L. Horníček
1 L. Horníček
G. Lagerbielke
14 G. Lagerbielke
V. Carvalho Vieira
6 V. Carvalho Vieira
P. Rodrigues de Oliveira
15 P. Rodrigues de Oliveira
V. Gómez Perea
2 V. Gómez Perea
G. Baptiste
29 G. Baptiste
F. Grillitsch
27 F. Grillitsch
L. Cruz Lelo
5 L. Cruz Lelo
D. Tıknaz
34 D. Tıknaz
R. Horta
21 R. Horta
Pau Victor
18 Pau Victor
N. Atubolu
1 N. Atubolu
C. Günter
30 C. Günter
B. Ogbus
43 B. Ogbus
P. Lienhart
3 P. Lienhart
P. Treu
29 P. Treu
J. Manzambi
44 J. Manzambi
M. Eggestein
8 M. Eggestein
V. Grifo
32 V. Grifo
Y. Suzuki
14 Y. Suzuki
J. Beste
19 J. Beste
I. Matanovic
31 I. Matanovic

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 30, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Europa League, Europe · Semi Finals · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Capacity
30286
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Lukas Hornicek
Lukas Hornicek Goalkeeper
6.84
5
Leonardo Lelo
Leonardo Lelo Midfielder
6.75
2
Víctor Gómez
Víctor Gómez Midfielder
6.82
21
Ricardo Horta
Ricardo Horta Midfielder
7.09
34
Demir Ege Tıknaz
Demir Ege Tıknaz Midfielder
6.53
18
Pau Víctor
Pau Víctor Centre Forward
6.93
6
Vítor Carvalho
Vítor Carvalho Centre Back
6.77
29
Gorby
Gorby Central Midfield
6.72
14
Gustaf Lagerbielke
Gustaf Lagerbielke Right Back
6.8
15
Paulo Oliveira
Paulo Oliveira Left Back
6.57
27
Florian Grillitsch
Florian Grillitsch Central Midfield
6.88

Starting XI ▼

1
Noah Atubolu
Noah Atubolu Goalkeeper
6.87
31
Igor Matanovic
Igor Matanovic Centre Forward
6.95
44
Johan Manzambi
Johan Manzambi Defensive Midfield
7.09
29
Philipp Treu
Philipp Treu Right Back
6.76
8
Maximilian Eggestein
Maximilian Eggestein Defensive Midfield
7.06
14
Yuito Suzuki
Yuito Suzuki Attacking Midfield
7.25
3
Philipp Lienhart
Philipp Lienhart Right Back
6.99
30
Christian Günter
Christian Günter Left Back
6.91
19
Niklas Beste
Niklas Beste Right Wing
6.99
43
Bruno Ogbus
Bruno Ogbus Left Back
6.67
32
Vincenzo Grifo
Vincenzo Grifo Left Wing
7.11

CONCLUSION

Sporting Braga's superior power and form position them favorably for Leg 1, potentially allowing an away goals buffer for the second leg. Freiburg must disrupt the hosts' rhythm to force a stalemate, capitalizing on any transitional vulnerabilities. With set pieces inconclusive and core metrics sparse, the contest hinges on execution under pressure. Home advantage at Estádio Municipal de Braga could prove decisive in this evenly projected affair, setting the semi-final tone. Expect a calculated battle where Braga's edge might yield a narrow advantage.