Modena vs Reggiana preview

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Stadio Alberto Braglia Fri, 1 May - 1:00 PM
Serie B
Modena MOD
Reggiana Reggiana
KICKOFF : Fri, 1 May - 1:00 PM
Round 37 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Modena host Reggiana in Serie B (Regular Season) at Stadio Alberto Braglia. Domestically, Modena sit 6th in the table while Reggiana are 18th. Power ranking favours Modena by 3.1 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Modena possesses a superior power score of 20.03 versus Reggiana's 16.95, yielding a 3.1-point advantage.
  • Form: Reggiana leads in recent form with a score of 14 against Modena's 11.72.
  • Squad: No specific squad changes or injury updates available for either team.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics not provided in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance relies on low-confidence proxy data for both teams with no xG available.
  • xVariable: Advanced xG variables unavailable due to data limitations.
  • Market: Projection split: Modena 57.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 24.9% (Δ+0%) | Reggiana 17.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Modena A. Sottil
A. Sottil
VS
Reggiana P. Bisoli
P. Bisoli
1.19
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.73
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Monza Rank: L
Frosinone Rank: L
Catanzaro Rank: D
Südtirol Rank: D
Bari 1908 Rank: L
Mantova Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Palermo Rank: D
Calcio Padova Rank: L
Carrarese Rank: W
Pescara Rank: L
Virtus Entella Rank: L
Monza Rank: D
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Modena
57.55%
Draw
24.86%
Away Reggiana
17.59%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
20.03
16.95
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Modena
Reggiana
Power Score
20.03
16.95
League Position
6
18
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Modena Opponent-weighted form score
Reggiana Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Modena Reggiana

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Modena MOD Home
5 matches
Reggiana Reggiana Away
Match Record
2
Wins
3
0
Draws
0
3
Losses
2
Goals
5
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
5
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:25:18+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
May 01, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 37 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Alberto Braglia
Capacity
21092
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

1
Leandro Chichizola
Leandro Chichizola Goalkeeper
78
Fabrizio Bagheria
Fabrizio Bagheria Goalkeeper
13
Abdullah Laidani
Abdullah Laidani Goalkeeper
22
Michele Pezzolato
Michele Pezzolato Goalkeeper
29
Matteo Cotali
Matteo Cotali Defender
28
Davide Adorni
Davide Adorni Defender
33
Cristian Cauz
Cristian Cauz Defender
77
Daniel Tonoli
Daniel Tonoli Defender
19
Steven Folly Nador
Steven Folly Nador Defender
25
Alessandro Dellavalle
Alessandro Dellavalle Defender
20
Bryant Nieling
Bryant Nieling Defender
2
Gady-Pierre Beyuku Bowutankoyi
Gady-Pierre Beyuku Bowutankoyi Defender
7
Francesco Zampano
Francesco Zampano Midfielder
16
Fabio Gerli
Fabio Gerli Midfielder
8
Simone Santoro
Simone Santoro Midfielder
5
Alessandro Sersanti
Alessandro Sersanti Midfielder
18
Niklas Pyyhtiä
Niklas Pyyhtiä Midfielder
17
Yanis Massolin
Yanis Massolin Midfielder
90
Antonio Imputato
Antonio Imputato Midfielder
80
Ousmane Niang
Ousmane Niang Midfielder
71
Samuel Wiafe
Samuel Wiafe Midfielder
9
Ettore Gliozzi
Ettore Gliozzi Attacker
92
Gregoire Defrel
Gregoire Defrel Attacker
98
Luca Zanimacchia
Luca Zanimacchia Attacker
99
Manuel De Luca
Manuel De Luca Attacker
32
Luca Strizzolo
Luca Strizzolo Attacker
11
Pedro Manuel Lobo Peixoto Mineiro Mendes
Pedro Manuel Lobo Peixoto Mineiro Mendes Attacker
10
Giuseppe Ambrosino
Giuseppe Ambrosino Attacker

Squad

12
Andrea Seculin
Andrea Seculin Goalkeeper
1
Alessandro Micai
Alessandro Micai Goalkeeper
45
Matteo Cardinali
Matteo Cardinali Goalkeeper
20
Joey Zwaan
Joey Zwaan Goalkeeper
22
Matteo Enza
Matteo Enza Goalkeeper
31
Mario Sampirisi
Mario Sampirisi Defender
34
Francesco Vicari
Francesco Vicari Defender
14
Danilo Quaranta
Danilo Quaranta Defender
4
Paolo Rozzio
Paolo Rozzio Defender
17
Lorenzo Libutti
Lorenzo Libutti Defender
33
Alessandro Tripaldelli
Alessandro Tripaldelli Defender
7
Yeferson Paz Blandón
Yeferson Paz Blandón Defender
2
Andrea Papetti
Andrea Papetti Defender
3
Andrea Bozzolan
Andrea Bozzolan Defender
47
Mateus Henrique Vanelli Lusuardi
Mateus Henrique Vanelli Lusuardi Defender
43
Simone Bonetti
Simone Bonetti Defender
23
Matteo Rover
Matteo Rover Midfielder
90
Manolo Portanova
Manolo Portanova Midfielder
57
Luca Belardinelli
Luca Belardinelli Midfielder
16
Tobías Reinhart
Tobías Reinhart Midfielder
26
Massimo Bertagnoli
Massimo Bertagnoli Midfielder
10
Kleis Bozhanaj
Kleis Bozhanaj Midfielder
15
Martín Eduardo Suárez Debattista
Martín Eduardo Suárez Debattista Midfielder
44
Leonardo Mendicino
Leonardo Mendicino Midfielder
6
Francesco Vallarelli
Francesco Vallarelli Midfielder
8
Charlys Matheus Lima Pontes
Charlys Matheus Lima Pontes Midfielder
80
Natan Girma
Natan Girma Midfielder
27
Alessandro Pavanati
Alessandro Pavanati Midfielder
72
Roque Martín Maisterra
Roque Martín Maisterra Midfielder
66
Pietro Pinelli
Pietro Pinelli Midfielder
9
Andrija Novakovich
Andrija Novakovich Attacker
11
Cedric Gondo
Cedric Gondo Attacker
77
Tommaso Fumagalli
Tommaso Fumagalli Attacker
93
Mathis Lambourde
Mathis Lambourde Attacker
98
Edoardo Cavaliere
Edoardo Cavaliere Attacker
91
Oumar Conte
Oumar Conte Attacker

CONCLUSION

Modena's structural edge and home dominance at Braglia position them as favorites against a formidably resilient Reggiana side punching above their 18th-place weight. The power disparity suggests Modena can control possession and press effectively, but Reggiana's sharper form demands respect in transitions. Expect a tactical battle where Modena's league standing translates to points, though the derby fire could spark surprises. Ultimately, the hosts' overall quality should prevail in this pivotal Serie B encounter.