Modena vs Reggiana preview
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Serie B
Modena
MOD
Reggiana
Reggiana
KICKOFF :
Fri, 1 May - 1:00 PM
Round 37 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
Loading standings...
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Apr 28
CONTEXT
Modena host Reggiana in Serie B (Regular Season) at Stadio Alberto Braglia. Domestically, Modena sit 6th in the table while Reggiana are 18th. Power ranking favours Modena by 3.1 points heading into this fixture.
TL;DR
-
Structural: Modena possesses a superior power score of 20.03 versus Reggiana's 16.95, yielding a 3.1-point advantage.
-
Form: Reggiana leads in recent form with a score of 14 against Modena's 11.72.
-
Squad: No specific squad changes or injury updates available for either team.
-
Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for this fixture.
-
Transition: Transition metrics not provided in current analysis.
-
Set pieces: Set piece performance relies on low-confidence proxy data for both teams with no xG available.
-
xVariable: Advanced xG variables unavailable due to data limitations.
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Market: Projection split: Modena 57.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 24.9% (Δ+0%) | Reggiana 17.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25
vs Team A
Feb 1
vs Team B
Feb 8
vs Team C
A. Sottil
VS
P. Bisoli
1.19
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
0.73
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Monza
Rank:
L
Frosinone
Rank:
L
Catanzaro
Rank:
D
Südtirol
Rank:
D
Bari 1908
Rank:
L
Mantova
Rank:
W
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Palermo
Rank:
D
Calcio Padova
Rank:
L
Carrarese
Rank:
W
Pescara
Rank:
L
Virtus Entella
Rank:
L
Monza
Rank:
D
2
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Modena
57.55%
Draw
24.86%
Reggiana
17.59%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
20.03
16.95
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Modena
Reggiana
Power Score
20.03
16.95
League Position
6
18
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Modena
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Reggiana
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Modena Reggiana
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Modena
MOD
Home
5
matches
Reggiana
Reggiana
Away
Match Record
2
Wins
3
0
Draws
0
3
Losses
2
Goals
5
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
5
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:25:18+00:00
General Information
Date & Time
May 01, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 37 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Alberto Braglia
Capacity
21092
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Next Match
Modena
vs
Avellino
League: Serie B
Kickoff: Fri, 8 May - 6:30 PM
Venue: Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi
Reggiana
vs
Sampdoria
League: Serie B
Kickoff: Fri, 8 May - 6:30 PM
Venue: MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Squad
Manager ▼
A. Sottil
Coach
Squad ▼

Leandro Chichizola
Goalkeeper

Fabrizio Bagheria
Goalkeeper

Abdullah Laidani
Goalkeeper

Michele Pezzolato
Goalkeeper

Matteo Cotali
Defender

Davide Adorni
Defender

Cristian Cauz
Defender

Daniel Tonoli
Defender

Steven Folly Nador
Defender

Alessandro Dellavalle
Defender

Bryant Nieling
Defender

Gady-Pierre Beyuku Bowutankoyi
Defender

Francesco Zampano
Midfielder

Fabio Gerli
Midfielder

Simone Santoro
Midfielder

Alessandro Sersanti
Midfielder

Niklas Pyyhtiä
Midfielder

Yanis Massolin
Midfielder

Antonio Imputato
Midfielder

Ousmane Niang
Midfielder

Samuel Wiafe
Midfielder

Ettore Gliozzi
Attacker

Gregoire Defrel
Attacker

Luca Zanimacchia
Attacker

Manuel De Luca
Attacker

Luca Strizzolo
Attacker

Pedro Manuel Lobo Peixoto Mineiro Mendes
Attacker

Giuseppe Ambrosino
Attacker
Manager ▼
P. Bisoli
Coach
Squad ▼

Andrea Seculin
Goalkeeper

Alessandro Micai
Goalkeeper

Matteo Cardinali
Goalkeeper

Joey Zwaan
Goalkeeper

Matteo Enza
Goalkeeper

Mario Sampirisi
Defender

Francesco Vicari
Defender

Danilo Quaranta
Defender

Paolo Rozzio
Defender

Lorenzo Libutti
Defender

Alessandro Tripaldelli
Defender

Yeferson Paz Blandón
Defender

Andrea Papetti
Defender

Andrea Bozzolan
Defender

Mateus Henrique Vanelli Lusuardi
Defender

Simone Bonetti
Defender

Matteo Rover
Midfielder

Manolo Portanova
Midfielder

Luca Belardinelli
Midfielder

Tobías Reinhart
Midfielder

Massimo Bertagnoli
Midfielder

Kleis Bozhanaj
Midfielder

Martín Eduardo Suárez Debattista
Midfielder

Leonardo Mendicino
Midfielder

Francesco Vallarelli
Midfielder

Charlys Matheus Lima Pontes
Midfielder

Natan Girma
Midfielder

Alessandro Pavanati
Midfielder

Roque Martín Maisterra
Midfielder

Pietro Pinelli
Midfielder

Andrija Novakovich
Attacker

Cedric Gondo
Attacker

Tommaso Fumagalli
Attacker

Mathis Lambourde
Attacker

Edoardo Cavaliere
Attacker

Oumar Conte
Attacker
CONCLUSION
Modena's structural edge and home dominance at Braglia position them as favorites against a formidably resilient Reggiana side punching above their 18th-place weight. The power disparity suggests Modena can control possession and press effectively, but Reggiana's sharper form demands respect in transitions. Expect a tactical battle where Modena's league standing translates to points, though the derby fire could spark surprises. Ultimately, the hosts' overall quality should prevail in this pivotal Serie B encounter.