Calcio Padova vs Pescara preview

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Stadio Comunale Euganeo Fri, 1 May - 1:00 PM
Serie B
Calcio PadovaPAD
PescaraPES
KICKOFF : Fri, 1 May - 1:00 PM
Round 37 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Calcio Padova host Pescara in Serie B (Regular Season) at Stadio Comunale Euganeo. Domestically, Calcio Padova sit 14th in the table while Pescara are 17th. Power ranking favours Calcio Padova by 0.2 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Calcio Padova possesses a slight 0.2-point power advantage over Pescara, positioning them as the marginally stronger team.
  • Form: Pescara holds a superior form score of 16 compared to Padova's 10.94.
  • Squad: Padova ranks 14th in the league, ahead of Pescara in 17th place.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics are not provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable with low confidence and proxy usage for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable due to lack of xG data.
  • Market: Baseline split: Calcio Padova 32.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27.4% (Δ+0%) | Pescara 40.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Calcio Padova R. Breda
R. Breda
VS
Pescara G. Gorgone
G. Gorgone
1.04
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Virtus Entella Rank: 48 L
Reggiana Rank: 47 W
Empoli Rank: 55 W
Frosinone Rank: 67 L
Palermo Rank: 64 L
Venezia Rank: 70 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Juve Stabia Rank: 56 D
Carrarese Rank: 54 D
Sampdoria Rank: 52 L
Reggiana Rank: 47 W
Empoli Rank: 54 L
Virtus Entella Rank: 49 W
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 2 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Calcio Padova
32.42%
Draw
27.44%
Away Pescara
40.14%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
48.16
48
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Calcio Padova
Pescara
Power Score
48.16
48
League Position
14
17
Global Rank
810
818

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Calcio Padova — Opponent-weighted form score
Pescara — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Calcio Padova Pescara

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Calcio Padova PAD Home
9 matches
Pescara PES Away
Match Record
4
Wins
3
2
Draws
2
3
Losses
4
Goals
11
Goals Scored
14
14
Goals Conceded
11
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-01T12:30:58+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 4-3-2-1
Pitch
A. Sorrentino
Italy
22 A. Sorrentino
F. Belli
Italy
4 F. Belli
L. Villa
Italy
55 L. Villa
C. Pastina
Italy
58 C. Pastina
A. Capelli
Italy
17 A. Capelli
P. Fusi
Italy
8 P. Fusi
L. Crisetig
Italy
6 L. Crisetig
K. Varas Marcillo
Ecuador
7 K. Varas Marcillo
G. Favale
Italy
30 G. Favale
M. Bortolussi
Italy
20 M. Bortolussi
G. Caprari
Italy
24 G. Caprari
I. Saio
Italy
22 I. Saio
A. Cagnano
Italy
32 A. Cagnano
D. Bettella
Italy
6 D. Bettella
R. Capellini
Italy
2 R. Capellini
G. Letizia
Italy
3 G. Letizia
L. Dabo
Spain
18 L. Dabo
G. Brugman
Uruguay
8 G. Brugman
L. Valzania
Italy
14 L. Valzania
L. Insigne
Italy
11 L. Insigne
L. Meacci
Italy
7 L. Meacci
A. Di Nardo
Italy
9 A. Di Nardo

General Information

Date & Time
May 01, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 37 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Comunale Euganeo
Capacity
32420
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Gianluca Grasso
Lorenzo Giuggioli
Giuseppe Collu

Lineup

Referee : Giuseppe Collu

Starting XI ▼

22
Alessandro Sorrentino
Alessandro Sorrentino Goalkeeper
7.01
4
Francesco Belli
Francesco Belli Defender
6.68
55
Lorenzo Villa
Lorenzo Villa Defender
6.67
58
Christian Pastina
Christian Pastina Defender
6.87
6
Lorenzo Crisetig
Lorenzo Crisetig Midfielder
6.75
7
Kevin Varas
Kevin Varas Midfielder
6.85
8
Pietro Fusi
Pietro Fusi Midfielder
6.77
17
Alessandro Capelli
Alessandro Capelli Midfielder
6.91
30
Giulio Favale
Giulio Favale Midfielder
6.53
20
Mattia Bortolussi
Mattia Bortolussi Attacker
7.04
24
Gianluca Caprari
Gianluca Caprari Attacker
6.73
Referee : Giuseppe Collu

Starting XI ▼

22
Ivan Saio
Ivan Saio Goalkeeper
6.9
2
Riccardo Capellini
Riccardo Capellini Defender
6.69
3
Gaetano Letizia
Gaetano Letizia Defender
7.02
6
Davide Bettella
Davide Bettella Defender
6.65
32
Andrea Cagnano
Andrea Cagnano Defender
6.59
7
Lorenzo Meazzi
Lorenzo Meazzi Midfielder
6.82
8
Gastón Brugman
Gastón Brugman Midfielder
6.94
11
Lorenzo Insigne
Lorenzo Insigne Midfielder
7.51
14
Luca Valzania
Luca Valzania Midfielder
6.82
18
Lamine Dabo
Lamine Dabo Midfielder
6.56
9
Antonio Di Nardo
Antonio Di Nardo Attacker
6.95

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Calcio Padova holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Calcio Padova a 0.2-point edge. External projection is Calcio Padova 32.4%, draw 27.4%, and Pescara 40.1%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.