Krylya Sovetov vs Spartak Moskva preview

Russia flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
Samara Arena Fri, 1 May - 2:00 PM
Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov
Spartak Moskva Spartak Moskva
KICKOFF : Fri, 1 May - 2:00 PM
Round 28 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Krylya Sovetov host Spartak Moskva at Samara Arena in the Russian Premier League's 2025/2026 regular season. Spartak enter as the stronger side, boasting a power score of 32.78 compared to Krylya's 20.27, translating to a 12.5-point advantage. This gap underscores Spartak's superior overall quality and depth. In the standings, Spartak sit fourth while Krylya languish in 12th, reflecting their respective capabilities. Form scores further favor the visitors at 28.33 against Krylya's 18.06, suggesting recent momentum swings Spartak's way. Without recent outing details, the focus shifts to these metrics, highlighting Spartak's edge in structural strength and current performance. Krylya will rely on home advantage to disrupt Spartak's rhythm, but the visitors' higher league position and power rating point to dominance. Set-piece and efficiency data remain unavailable, leaving analysis rooted in power and form disparities.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Spartak Moskva holds a 12.5-point power advantage over Krylya Sovetov with scores of 32.78 to 20.27.
  • Form: Spartak Moskva's form score of 28.33 outpaces Krylya Sovetov's 18.06.
  • Squad: Spartak Moskva ranks 4th in the league, ahead of Krylya Sovetov in 12th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Power scores indicate Spartak Moskva's superior transition play potential.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece data unavailable due to lack of xG with low confidence proxies used.
  • xVariable: xG data absent, limiting advanced variable analysis for the matchup.
  • Market: Projection split: Krylya Sovetov 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Spartak Moskva 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Krylya Sovetov S. Bulatov
S. Bulatov
VS
Spartak Moskva J. Carcedo Mardones
J. Carcedo Mardones
0.93
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.86
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lokomotiv Moskva Rank: W
Sochi Rank: L
CSKA Moskva Rank: D
Akhmat Grozny Rank: D
Zenit Rank: L
Rubin Kazan Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
FK Nizjni Novgorod Rank: W
Krasnodar Rank: L
Akhmat Grozny Rank: W
Rostov Rank: D
Lokomotiv Moskva Rank: W
Orenburg Rank: W
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 5 - 26
26
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Krylya Sovetov
0%
Draw
0%
Away Spartak Moskva
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
20.27
32.78
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Krylya Sovetov
Spartak Moskva
Power Score
20.27
32.78
League Position
12
4
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Krylya Sovetov — Opponent-weighted form score
Spartak Moskva — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Krylya Sovetov Spartak Moskva

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 37 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov Home
37 matches
Spartak Moskva Spartak Moskva Away
Match Record
6
Wins
26
5
Draws
5
26
Losses
6
Goals
31
Goals Scored
63
63
Goals Conceded
31
-32
Goal Difference
+32
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:25:47+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
May 01, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 28 · Regular Season
Stadium
Samara Arena
Capacity
44918
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

39
Evgeny Frolov
Evgeny Frolov Goalkeeper
30
Sergey Pesyakov
Sergey Pesyakov Goalkeeper
80
Nikita Kokarev
Nikita Kokarev Goalkeeper
2
Kirill Pechenin
Kirill Pechenin Defender
47
Sergey Bozhin
Sergey Bozhin Defender
23
Nikita Chernov
Nikita Chernov Defender
72
Daniel Fernández Fernández
Daniel Fernández Fernández Defender
3
Thomas Ignacio Galdames Millán
Thomas Ignacio Galdames Millán Defender
15
Nikolay Rasskazov
Nikolay Rasskazov Defender
24
Roman Evgenyev
Roman Evgenyev Defender
5
Alois Dominik Oroz
Alois Dominik Oroz Defender
18
Ivan Lepskiy
Ivan Lepskiy Defender
31
Gonzalo Requena
Gonzalo Requena Defender
11
Amar Rahmanović
Amar Rahmanović Midfielder
77
Ilzat Akhmetov
Ilzat Akhmetov Midfielder
8
Maksim Vityugov
Maksim Vityugov Midfielder
14
Mihajlo Banjac
Mihajlo Banjac Midfielder
22
Fernando Peixoto Costanza
Fernando Peixoto Costanza Midfielder
6
Sergey Babkin
Sergey Babkin Midfielder
20
Kirill Stolbov
Kirill Stolbov Midfielder
26
Jimmy Marín
Jimmy Marín Attacker
9
Aleksey Sutormin
Aleksey Sutormin Attacker
19
Ivan Oleynikov
Ivan Oleynikov Attacker
99
Geoffrey Chinedu Charles
Geoffrey Chinedu Charles Attacker
10
Vladimir Khubulov
Vladimir Khubulov Attacker
70
Artem Shumanskiy
Artem Shumanskiy Attacker
91
Vladimir Ignatenko
Vladimir Ignatenko Attacker

Squad ▼

1
Ilya Pomazun
Ilya Pomazun Goalkeeper
98
Aleksandr Maximenko
Aleksandr Maximenko Goalkeeper
56
Aleksandr Dovbnya
Aleksandr Dovbnya Goalkeeper
4
Alexander Djiku
Alexander Djiku Defender
6
Srđan Babić
Srđan Babić Defender
2
Oleg Reabciuk
Oleg Reabciuk Defender
14
Ilya Samoshnikov
Ilya Samoshnikov Defender
68
Ruslan Litvinov
Ruslan Litvinov Defender
3
Christopher Wooh
Christopher Wooh Defender
97
Daniil Denisov
Daniil Denisov Defender
35
Christopher Martins Pereira
Christopher Martins Pereira Midfielder
83
Gedson Carvalho Fernandes
Gedson Carvalho Fernandes Midfielder
47
Roman Zobnin
Roman Zobnin Midfielder
5
Ezequiel Barco
Ezequiel Barco Midfielder
18
Nail Umyarov
Nail Umyarov Midfielder
17
Vladislav Saus
Vladislav Saus Midfielder
28
Daniil Zorin
Daniil Zorin Midfielder
11
Levi Samuel Garcia
Levi Samuel Garcia Attacker
77
Théo Bongonda Mbul'Ofeko Batombo
Théo Bongonda Mbul'Ofeko Batombo Attacker
91
Anton Zabolotnyi
Anton Zabolotnyi Attacker
10
José Marcos Costa Martins
José Marcos Costa Martins Attacker
9
Manfred Ugalde
Manfred Ugalde Attacker
7
Pablo Solari
Pablo Solari Attacker
27
Igor Dmitriev
Igor Dmitriev Attacker
24
Nikita Massalyga
Nikita Massalyga Attacker
62
Pavel Polekh
Pavel Polekh Attacker

CONCLUSION

Spartak Moskva's clear superiority in power rating, form, and league standing positions them as favorites against Krylya Sovetov. The 12.5-point power edge and higher form score suggest Spartak can control possession and exploit transitions effectively at Samara Arena. Krylya's home support may inspire resilience, but their lower metrics across key areas signal vulnerability. Without detailed set-piece or efficiency insights, the preview leans on Spartak's structural dominance for a likely victory. Expect the visitors to capitalize on their quality gap in this regular season clash.