Korona Kielce vs Piast Gliwice preview

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Exbud Arena Fri, 1 May - 3:30 PM
Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce
Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice
KICKOFF : Fri, 1 May - 3:30 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Korona Kielce host Piast Gliwice at Exbud Arena in an Ekstraklasa regular season encounter during the 2025/2026 campaign. The home side, languishing in 12th position, confront a Piast team placed 9th but boasting superior power metrics at 29.13 against Korona's 19.09, translating to a decisive 10-point advantage for the visitors. Form scores further tilt the scales, with Piast's robust 24.5 eclipsing Korona's modest 11.83. Despite Korona's home-ground edge, Piast emerge as the stronger collective. Advanced data remains sparse, particularly on efficiency and set pieces where low-confidence proxies dominate. League standings reflect Piast's slight positional superiority, setting up a contest where visiting momentum could challenge the hosts' resolve. Expect a tight battle influenced by recent performances and raw power disparities.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Piast Gliwice possesses a 10-point power advantage over Korona Kielce with scores of 29.13 to 19.09.
  • Form: Piast Gliwice's form score of 24.5 significantly outpaces Korona Kielce's 11.83.
  • Squad: Korona Kielce occupy 12th place while Piast Gliwice sit 9th in the Ekstraklasa table.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both Korona Kielce and Piast Gliwice.
  • Transition: Transition play data is not available for this matchup.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats rely on low-confidence proxy data for both teams with no xG available.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables are unavailable due to add-on not being enabled.
  • Market: Korona Kielce 38.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28.5% (Δ+0%) | Piast Gliwice 33.4% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Korona Kielce J. Zielinski
J. Zielinski
VS
Piast Gliwice D. Myśliwiec
D. Myśliwiec
1.13
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.72
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Katowice Rank: D
Górnik Zabrze Rank: L
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: D
Lechia Gdańsk Rank: L
Arka Gdynia Rank: W
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Arka Gdynia Rank: W
Lechia Gdańsk Rank: D
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: L
Nieciecza Rank: L
Radomiak Radom Rank: W
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: W
8
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
8 - 10 - 9
9
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Korona Kielce
38.1%
Draw
28.52%
Away Piast Gliwice
33.38%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
19.09
29.13
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Korona Kielce
Piast Gliwice
Power Score
19.09
29.13
League Position
12
9
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Korona Kielce Opponent-weighted form score
Piast Gliwice Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Korona Kielce Piast Gliwice

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 27 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Korona Kielce Korona Kielce Home
27 matches
Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice Away
Match Record
8
Wins
9
10
Draws
10
9
Losses
8
Goals
26
Goals Scored
28
28
Goals Conceded
26
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-28T00:07:06+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
May 01, 2026, 03:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Exbud Arena
Capacity
5000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

1
Xavier Dziekonski
Xavier Dziekonski Goalkeeper
87
Rafał Mamla
Rafał Mamla Goalkeeper
22
Michał Niedbała
Michał Niedbała Goalkeeper
12
Michał Mikielewicz
Michał Mikielewicz Goalkeeper
44
Constantinos Soteriou
Constantinos Soteriou Defender
23
Slobodan Rubežić
Slobodan Rubežić Defender
6
Marcel Pieczek
Marcel Pieczek Defender
5
Pau Resta Tell
Pau Resta Tell Defender
24
Bartlomiej Smolarczyk
Bartlomiej Smolarczyk Defender
86
Simon Gustafson
Simon Gustafson Midfielder
8
Martin Remacle
Martin Remacle Midfielder
77
Marcin Cebula
Marcin Cebula Midfielder
7
Dawid Błanik
Dawid Błanik Midfielder
10
David González Plata
David González Plata Midfielder
3
Konrad Matuszewski
Konrad Matuszewski Midfielder
71
Wiktor Długosz
Wiktor Długosz Midfielder
88
Tamar Svetlin
Tamar Svetlin Midfielder
15
Nikodem Niski
Nikodem Niski Midfielder
26
Victor Popov
Victor Popov Midfielder
27
Wojciech Kamiński
Wojciech Kamiński Midfielder
37
Hubert Zwoźny
Hubert Zwoźny Midfielder
9
Stjepan Davidović
Stjepan Davidović Midfielder
21
Konrad Ciszek
Konrad Ciszek Midfielder
20
Kacper Minuczyc
Kacper Minuczyc Midfielder
19
Adam Hańćko
Adam Hańćko Midfielder
14
Mariusz Stępiński
Mariusz Stępiński Attacker
11
Vladimir Nikolaev Nikolov
Vladimir Nikolaev Nikolov Attacker
70
Antonio Cortés Heredia
Antonio Cortés Heredia Attacker
17
Mateusz Głowiński
Mateusz Głowiński Attacker

Squad

33
Karol Szymanski
Karol Szymanski Goalkeeper
26
František Plach
František Plach Goalkeeper
30
Dominik Holec
Dominik Holec Goalkeeper
12
Jakub Grelich
Jakub Grelich Goalkeeper
22
Tomasz Mokwa
Tomasz Mokwa Defender
4
Jakub Czerwiński
Jakub Czerwiński Defender
5
Juan De Dios Rivas Margalef
Juan De Dios Rivas Margalef Defender
55
Ema Twumasi
Ema Twumasi Defender
28
Filip Borowski
Filip Borowski Defender
3
Elton Fikaj
Elton Fikaj Defender
29
Igor Drapiński
Igor Drapiński Defender
36
Jakub Lewicki
Jakub Lewicki Defender
6
Michał Chrapek
Michał Chrapek Midfielder
10
Patryk Dziczek
Patryk Dziczek Midfielder
20
Grzegorz Tomasiewicz
Grzegorz Tomasiewicz Midfielder
17
Quentin Boisgard
Quentin Boisgard Midfielder
23
Szczepan Mucha
Szczepan Mucha Midfielder
31
Oskar Leśniak
Oskar Leśniak Midfielder
18
Oliwier Maziarz
Oliwier Maziarz Midfielder
27
Justin Daniel
Justin Daniel Midfielder
9
Adrián Dalmau Vaquer
Adrián Dalmau Vaquer Attacker
7
Jorge Félix Muñoz García
Jorge Félix Muñoz García Attacker
70
Andreas Katsantonis
Andreas Katsantonis Attacker
98
Jason Eyenga-Lokilo
Jason Eyenga-Lokilo Attacker
80
Hugo Claudio Vallejo Avilés
Hugo Claudio Vallejo Avilés Attacker
11
Leandro Mário Baldé Sanca
Leandro Mário Baldé Sanca Attacker
63
German Barkovskiy
German Barkovskiy Attacker
90
Ivan Correia Posser Lima
Ivan Correia Posser Lima Attacker
16
Mateusz Kopczyński
Mateusz Kopczyński Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Piast Gliwice holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Piast Gliwice a 10-point edge. External projection is Korona Kielce 37.7%, draw 28.3%, and Piast Gliwice 34%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.