Viking vs Rosenborg preview

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
SR-Bank Arena Fri, 1 May - 4:00 PM
Eliteserien
Viking Viking
Rosenborg Rosenborg
KICKOFF : Fri, 1 May - 4:00 PM
Round 7 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Viking welcome Rosenborg to SR-Bank Arena in the Eliteserien regular season clash, with the hosts firmly in the hunt for the title from second place while the visitors languish in 13th. Viking's dominance is clear in their power score of 44.96 towering over Rosenborg's meager 16.74, translating to a whopping 28.2-point advantage that underscores their structural superiority. Recent form further tilts the scales, as Viking's 37.11 rating crushes Rosenborg's dismal 8, signaling momentum on the home side. Playing at home amplifies Viking's edge in this mismatch, where the league standings reflect the chasm between contenders and strugglers. Without detailed xG or set-piece metrics available, the focus remains on raw power and positioning, setting the stage for a one-sided affair unless Rosenborg pulls off a miracle. Expect Viking to control possession and press their advantage relentlessly.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Viking possesses a 28.2-point power advantage over Rosenborg, highlighting superior overall structure.
  • Form: Viking's form score stands at 37.11 compared to Rosenborg's lowly 8.
  • Squad: Viking sit second in the league while Rosenborg occupy 13th position.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play data remains unspecified in available stats.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG information.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables not provided for either team.
  • Market: Viking 66.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 19.5% (Δ+0%) | Rosenborg 13.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Viking M. Jensen
M. Jensen
VS
Rosenborg A. Johansson
A. Johansson
2.7
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.1
2.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fredrikstad Rank: W
Brann Rank: W
Bodø / Glimt Rank: W
Vålerenga Rank: W
Molde Rank: W
HamKam Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brann Rank: D
Sandefjord Rank: D
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: W
Tromsø Rank: L
Vålerenga Rank: L
Molde Rank: L
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 10 - 24
24
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Viking
66.67%
Draw
19.48%
Away Rosenborg
13.85%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
44.96
16.74
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Viking
Rosenborg
Power Score
44.96
16.74
League Position
2
13
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Viking Opponent-weighted form score
Rosenborg Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Viking Rosenborg

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 40 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Viking Viking Home
40 matches
Rosenborg Rosenborg Away
Match Record
6
Wins
24
10
Draws
10
24
Losses
6
Goals
40
Goals Scored
83
83
Goals Conceded
40
-43
Goal Difference
+43
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-28T00:07:15+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
Ľ. Belko
30 Ľ. Belko
H. Heggheim
5 H. Heggheim
H. Falchener
25 H. Falchener
G. Stensness
6 G. Stensness
K. Haugen
28 K. Haugen
K. Askildsen
7 K. Askildsen
J. Bell
8 J. Bell
S. Kvia-Egeskog
26 S. Kvia-Egeskog
N. Kemp Fuglestad
23 N. Kemp Fuglestad
P. Christiansen
20 P. Christiansen
Z. Tripić
10 Z. Tripić
L. Wahlstedt
1 L. Wahlstedt
T. Solheim Dahl
3 T. Solheim Dahl
T. Nemčík
21 T. Nemčík
H. Røsten
2 H. Røsten
J. Søgaard Mortensen
15 J. Søgaard Mortensen
E. Ceide
35 E. Ceide
I. Fossum
8 I. Fossum
O. Selnæs
10 O. Selnæs
S. Nordli
7 S. Nordli
A. Chiakha
18 A. Chiakha
M. Bomholt
17 M. Bomholt

General Information

Date & Time
May 01, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 7 · Regular Season
Stadium
SR-Bank Arena
Capacity
15900
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI

30
Lubomir Belko
Lubomir Belko Goalkeeper
6.36
10
Zlatko Tripic
Zlatko Tripic Attacker
8.11
20
Peter Christiansen
Peter Christiansen Centre Forward
7.18
23
Niklas Fuglestad
Niklas Fuglestad Attacker
6.91
5
Henrik Heggheim
Henrik Heggheim Right Back
7.35
6
Gianni Stensness
Gianni Stensness Left Back
7.29
7
Kristoffer Askildsen
Kristoffer Askildsen Central Midfield
6.93
8
Joe Bell
Joe Bell Central Midfield
6.9
25
Henrik Falchener
Henrik Falchener Right Back
7.2
26
Simen Kvia-Egeskog
Simen Kvia-Egeskog Central Midfield
7.1
28
Kristoffer Haugen
Kristoffer Haugen Left Back
6.98

Starting XI

1
Leopold Wahlstedt
Leopold Wahlstedt Goalkeeper
6.97
7
Simen Bolkan Nordli
Simen Bolkan Nordli Midfielder
6.74
35
Emil Konradsen Ceide
Emil Konradsen Ceide Midfielder
6.55
18
Amin Chiakha
Amin Chiakha Attacker
6.53
17
Mads Bomholt
Mads Bomholt Attacker
6.91
8
Iver Fossum
Iver Fossum Central Midfield
6.95
15
Jonas Mortensen
Jonas Mortensen Right Back
7.27
2
Håkon Røsten
Håkon Røsten Right Back
6.92
3
Tobias Solheim Dahl
Tobias Solheim Dahl Left Back
6.63
10
Ole Selnæs
Ole Selnæs Central Midfield
7.15
21
Tomas Nemcik
Tomas Nemcik Left Back
7.03

CONCLUSION

Viking enter this home encounter as overwhelming favorites, backed by superior power ratings, form, and league standing against a Rosenborg side mired in the lower reaches. The 28.2-point gulf in strength suggests the hosts will dictate terms from the outset, leveraging SR-Bank Arena's atmosphere to overwhelm the visitors. While set-piece and efficiency insights are absent, the broader metrics paint a clear picture of Viking's control. Rosenborg face an uphill battle to salvage anything, but Viking's momentum positions them to extend their strong campaign with a convincing victory.