Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Lodz preview

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego Fri, 1 May - 6:30 PM
Ekstraklasa
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa
Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz
KICKOFF : Fri, 1 May - 6:30 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Legia Warszawa hosts Widzew Lodz at the Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego in an Ekstraklasa regular season matchup during the 2025/2026 campaign. Both teams languish near the bottom of the table, with Legia in 15th and Widzew in 16th, turning this into a vital clash for survival points. Legia arrives as the stronger side, wielding a power score of 26.47 against Widzew's 23.52, which equates to a 3-point advantage. Form scores reinforce this edge, Legia's 23.5 surpassing Widzew's 20.33. Projections mirror the metrics, giving Legia a 44.2% win likelihood, a 29.9% draw chance, and Widzew 25.9%. Lacking specifics on recent outings, efficiency, transitions, or set pieces—where data relies on low-confidence proxies—the emphasis falls on Legia's overall superiority and home turf. Widzew must disrupt this narrative to gain ground.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Legia Warszawa possesses a structural edge with a 26.47 power score compared to Widzew Lodz's 23.52.
  • Form: Legia Warszawa leads in form with a score of 23.5 over Widzew Lodz's 20.33.
  • Squad: Legia Warszawa sits 15th and Widzew Lodz 16th in the domestic league table.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play data is not available for either team.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats show low confidence and no xG data, using proxies for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG variables are unavailable as the add-on is not enabled.
  • Market: Legia Warszawa 41.8% (Δ-1.3%) | Draw 30.6% (Δ+0.7%) | Widzew Lodz 27.6% (Δ+0.6%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Legia Warszawa M. Papszun
M. Papszun
VS
Widzew Lodz A. Vukovic
A. Vukovic
1.17
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.18
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lech Poznań Rank: L
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: W
Górnik Zabrze Rank: D
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: W
Raków Częstochowa Rank: D
Radomiak Radom Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Motor Lublin Rank: W
Radomiak Radom Rank: L
Nieciecza Rank: W
Raków Częstochowa Rank: D
Górnik Zabrze Rank: D
Arka Gdynia Rank: D
14
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
14 - 4 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Legia Warszawa
41.83%
Draw
30.56%
Away Widzew Lodz
27.6%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
26.47
23.52
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Legia Warszawa
Widzew Lodz
Power Score
26.47
23.52
League Position
15
16
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Legia Warszawa — Opponent-weighted form score
Widzew Lodz — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Legia Warszawa Widzew Lodz

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 19 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa Home
19 matches
Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz Away
Match Record
14
Wins
1
4
Draws
4
1
Losses
14
Goals
32
Goals Scored
11
11
Goals Conceded
32
+21
Goal Difference
-21
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-28T00:08:06+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
O. Hindrich
89 O. Hindrich
K. Piątkowski
91 K. Piątkowski
A. Jędrzejczyk
55 A. Jędrzejczyk
R. Pankov
12 R. Pankov
P. Wszołek
7 P. Wszołek
K. Urbanski
82 K. Urbanski
J. Elitim Sepúlveda
22 J. Elitim Sepúlveda
D. Szymański
44 D. Szymański
P. Kun
23 P. Kun
M. Rajovic
29 M. Rajovic
R. Adamski
9 R. Adamski
B. Drągowski
1 B. Drągowski
S. Kozlovský
3 S. Kozlovský
S. Kapuadi
53 S. Kapuadi
P. Wisniewski
25 P. Wisniewski
C. Muñoz Obejero
2 C. Muñoz Obejero
J. Shehu
6 J. Shehu
B. Pawłowski
19 B. Pawłowski
F. Alvarez Rodríguez
10 F. Alvarez Rodríguez
M. Fornalczyk
7 M. Fornalczyk
S. Bergier
99 S. Bergier
E. Kornvig
8 E. Kornvig

General Information

Date & Time
May 01, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego
Capacity
31800
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

89
Otto Hindrich
Otto Hindrich Goalkeeper
6.68
7
Pawel Wszolek
Pawel Wszolek Midfielder
6.81
23
Patryk Kun
Patryk Kun Midfielder
6.68
9
Rafal Adamski
Rafal Adamski Attacker
6.87
29
Mileta Rajović
Mileta Rajović Attacker
6.82
22
Juergen Elitim
Juergen Elitim Central Midfield
7.12
82
Kacper Urbanski
Kacper Urbanski Central Midfield
6.62
44
Damian Szymanski
Damian Szymanski Central Midfield
6.85
91
Kamil Piatkowski
Kamil Piatkowski Right Back
6.84
12
Radovan Pankov
Radovan Pankov Left Back
6.91
55
Artur Jedrzejczyk
Artur Jedrzejczyk Centre Back
6.92

Starting XI ▼

1
Bartlomiej Dragowski
Bartlomiej Dragowski Goalkeeper
6.8
7
Mariusz Fornalczyk
Mariusz Fornalczyk Attacker
6.71
99
Sebastian Bergier
Sebastian Bergier Centre Forward
6.95
8
Emil Kornvig
Emil Kornvig Attacker
6.96
53
Steve Kapuadi
Steve Kapuadi Left Back
6.68
25
Przemysław Wiśniewski
Przemysław Wiśniewski Right Back
7.06
2
Carlos Isaac
Carlos Isaac Right Back
6.8
10
Fran Álvarez
Fran Álvarez Central Midfield
7.08
3
Samuel Kozlovský
Samuel Kozlovský Left Back
6.69
6
Juljan Shehu
Juljan Shehu Central Midfield
7.15
19
Bartlomiej Pawlowski
Bartlomiej Pawlowski Central Midfield
6.65

CONCLUSION

Legia Warszawa enters this Ekstraklasa fixture with clear advantages in power (26.47 vs 23.52) and form (23.5 vs 20.33), bolstered by home support at their fortress stadium. The 3-point edge positions them as favorites in a relegation-threatened duel against 16th-placed Widzew Lodz. Projections align perfectly, forecasting Legia at 44.2%, draw 29.9%, and Widzew 25.9%, with neutral deltas. Absent advanced insights into set pieces, efficiency, or transitions due to data limitations, Legia's metrics suggest control. Widzew faces an uphill task, needing sharp execution to counter the hosts' superiority and snag a result.