Blackburn Rovers vs Leicester City preview

England flag 2025/2026 Championship, England
Ewood Park Sat, 2 May - 11:30 AM
Championship
Blackburn Rovers BBR
Leicester City LEI
KICKOFF : Sat, 2 May - 11:30 AM
Round 46 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Blackburn Rovers host Leicester City at Ewood Park in a pivotal Championship regular season match during the 2025/2026 campaign. Blackburn emerge as the stronger team, boasting a power score of 24.09 against Leicester's 17.14, translating to a clear 7-point advantage. Sitting 20th in the table, Blackburn hold a slight edge over 23rd-placed Leicester, with both clubs entrenched in a relegation scrap. Form scores further tilt the scales, Blackburn's robust 23 dwarfing Leicester's dismal 8.5, hinting at hosts' greater consistency. Detailed last outings remain undocumented, shifting emphasis to broader metrics. Set piece analysis is hampered by unavailable xG data and low-confidence proxies for both sides. Projections mirror the power gap closely, with no notable deltas across outcomes. This clash offers Blackburn a prime chance to capitalize on superior standing and momentum against a faltering Foxes side.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Blackburn Rovers hold a 7-point power advantage as the stronger team hosting at Ewood Park.
  • Form: Blackburn Rovers' form score of 23 significantly exceeds Leicester City's 8.5.
  • Squad: Blackburn Rovers sit 20th in the Championship, ahead of Leicester City in 23rd.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: No specific transition play data provided for analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece xG data unavailable with low confidence proxies used for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables absent due to data limitations on set pieces.
  • Market: Blackburn Rovers 43.2% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.4% (Δ+0%) | Leicester City 30.4% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Blackburn Rovers M. O'Neill
M. O'Neill
VS
Leicester City G. Rowett
G. Rowett
1.18
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sheffield United Rank: W
Coventry City Rank: D
Southampton Rank: L
Stoke City Rank: D
West Bromwich Albion Rank: D
Birmingham City Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Millwall Rank: D
Hull City Rank: D
Portsmouth Rank: L
Swansea City Rank: L
Sheffield Wednesday Rank: D
Preston North End Rank: D
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 2 - 5
5
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Blackburn Rovers
43.22%
Draw
26.36%
Away Leicester City
30.43%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
24.09
17.14
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Blackburn Rovers
Leicester City
Power Score
24.09
17.14
League Position
20
23
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Blackburn Rovers — Opponent-weighted form score
Leicester City — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Blackburn Rovers Leicester City

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 12 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Blackburn Rovers BBR Home
12 matches
Leicester City LEI Away
Match Record
5
Wins
5
2
Draws
2
5
Losses
5
Goals
13
Goals Scored
16
16
Goals Conceded
13
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:27:54+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
May 02, 2026, 11:30 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Championship, England · Round 46 · Regular Season
Stadium
Ewood Park
Capacity
31367
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

22
Balázs Tóth
Balázs Tóth Goalkeeper
1
Aynsley Pears
Aynsley Pears Goalkeeper
16
Scott Wharton
Scott Wharton Defender
3
Harry Pickering
Harry Pickering Defender
4
Yuri Oliveira Ribeiro
Yuri Oliveira Ribeiro Defender
17
Hayden Carter
Hayden Carter Defender
15
Sean McLoughlin
Sean McLoughlin Defender
12
Lewis Miller
Lewis Miller Defender
2
Ryan Alebiousu
Ryan Alebiousu Defender
20
Eiran Joe Cashin
Eiran Joe Cashin Defender
26
Connor Patrick O'Riordan
Connor Patrick O'Riordan Defender
38
Tom Atcheson
Tom Atcheson Defender
28
Adam Forshaw
Adam Forshaw Midfielder
6
Sondre Tronstad
Sondre Tronstad Midfielder
10
Todd Cantwell
Todd Cantwell Midfielder
5
Taylor Gardner-Hickman
Taylor Gardner-Hickman Midfielder
8
Sidnei Wilson Vieira David Tavares
Sidnei Wilson Vieira David Tavares Midfielder
30
Jake Garrett
Jake Garrett Midfielder
25
Ryoya Morishita
Ryoya Morishita Midfielder
31
Kristi Montgomery
Kristi Montgomery Midfielder
18
Axel Henriksson
Axel Henriksson Midfielder
14
Dion De Neve
Dion De Neve Midfielder
24
Moussa Baradji
Moussa Baradji Midfielder
27
Nathan Redmond
Nathan Redmond Attacker
19
Ryan Hedges
Ryan Hedges Attacker
21
Oladapo Afolayan
Oladapo Afolayan Attacker
11
Andri Lucas Guojohnsen
Andri Lucas Guojohnsen Attacker
29
Mathias Jörgensen
Mathias Jörgensen Attacker
23
Yuki Ohashi
Yuki Ohashi Attacker
7
Augustus Kargbo
Augustus Kargbo Attacker
32
Igor Tyjon
Igor Tyjon Attacker

Squad ▼

31
Asmir Begović
Asmir Begović Goalkeeper
13
Francisco Barbosa Vieites
Francisco Barbosa Vieites Goalkeeper
1
Jakub Stolarczyk
Jakub Stolarczyk Goalkeeper
24
Jamaal Lascelles
Jamaal Lascelles Defender
23
Jannik Vestergaard
Jannik Vestergaard Defender
21
Ricardo Domingos Barbosa Pereira
Ricardo Domingos Barbosa Pereira Defender
15
Harry Souttar
Harry Souttar Defender
33
Luke Thomas
Luke Thomas Defender
5
Memeh Caleb Okoli
Memeh Caleb Okoli Defender
16
Victor Bernth Kristansen
Victor Bernth Kristansen Defender
4
Ben Nelson
Ben Nelson Defender
56
Olabade Aluko
Olabade Aluko Defender
8
Harry Winks
Harry Winks Midfielder
14
Bobby Reid
Bobby Reid Midfielder
17
Hamza Choudhury
Hamza Choudhury Midfielder
18
Joe Aribo
Joe Aribo Midfielder
22
Oliver Skipp
Oliver Skipp Midfielder
30
Aaron Ramsey
Aaron Ramsey Midfielder
6
Jordan James
Jordan James Midfielder
34
Michael Heinz Golding
Michael Heinz Golding Midfielder
29
Divine Mukasa
Divine Mukasa Midfielder
25
Louis Page
Louis Page Midfielder
9
Jordan Ayew
Jordan Ayew Attacker
10
Stephy Alvaro Mavididi
Stephy Alvaro Mavididi Attacker
20
Patson Daka
Patson Daka Attacker
27
Wanya Marcal-Madivadua
Wanya Marcal-Madivadua Attacker
7
Abdul Fatawu Issahaku
Abdul Fatawu Issahaku Attacker
12
Dujuan Odile Richards
Dujuan Odile Richards Attacker
28
Jeremy Monga
Jeremy Monga Attacker

CONCLUSION

Blackburn Rovers approach this home fixture with tangible edges in power rating, form score, and league position, positioning them favorably against a struggling Leicester City. The 7-point power gap underscores structural superiority at Ewood Park, where Blackburn can press their claims amid relegation pressures. Leicester's weak 8.5 form score exposes potential frailties, particularly without robust set piece or efficiency insights to lean on. While data gaps persist, Blackburn's metrics suggest control in transition and open play, likely yielding a hard-fought victory to bolster their standings. Projections reinforce this outlook, aligning with no deltas for a straightforward hosts' lean.