Portsmouth vs Birmingham City preview

England flag 2025/2026 Championship, England
Fratton Park Sat, 2 May - 11:30 AM
Championship
Portsmouth PTM
Birmingham City BRC
KICKOFF : Sat, 2 May - 11:30 AM
Round 46 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Portsmouth host Birmingham City in Championship (Regular Season) at Fratton Park. Domestically, Portsmouth sit 18th in the table while Birmingham City are 10th. Power ranking favours Portsmouth by 3.2 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Portsmouth enjoys a 3.2-point power advantage with scores of 30.2 over Birmingham City's 27.04.
  • Form: Hosts lead in form at 33.94 versus the away side's 26.22.
  • Squad: Birmingham City ranks 10th in the league, above Portsmouth's 18th placement.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play data unavailable in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats rely on low-confidence proxies due to missing xG for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG data absent, limiting variable performance insights.
  • Market: Portsmouth 38.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.7% (Δ+0%) | Birmingham City 34.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Portsmouth J. Mousinho
J. Mousinho
VS
Birmingham City C. Davies
C. Davies
1.28
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.41
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Stoke City Rank: W
Coventry City Rank: L
Leicester City Rank: W
Ipswich Town Rank: W
Middlesbrough Rank: W
Oxford United Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Bristol City Rank: W
Preston North End Rank: W
Hull City Rank: D
Wrexham Rank: W
Ipswich Town Rank: L
Blackburn Rovers Rank: L
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 3 - 6
6
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Portsmouth
38.64%
Draw
26.71%
Away Birmingham City
34.65%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
30.2
27.04
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Portsmouth
Birmingham City
Power Score
30.2
27.04
League Position
18
10
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Portsmouth — Opponent-weighted form score
Birmingham City — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Portsmouth Birmingham City

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 15 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Portsmouth PTM Home
15 matches
Birmingham City BRC Away
Match Record
6
Wins
6
3
Draws
3
6
Losses
6
Goals
21
Goals Scored
21
21
Goals Conceded
21
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:28:27+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
May 02, 2026, 11:30 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Championship, England · Round 46 · Regular Season
Stadium
Fratton Park
Capacity
20688
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

31
Jordan Archer
Jordan Archer Goalkeeper
26
Josef Bursik
Josef Bursik Goalkeeper
30
Ben Killip
Ben Killip Goalkeeper
1
Nicolas Schmid
Nicolas Schmid Goalkeeper
5
Regan Poole
Regan Poole Defender
3
Connor Ogilvie
Connor Ogilvie Defender
4
Josh Knight
Josh Knight Defender
2
Jordan Williams
Jordan Williams Defender
6
Conor Shaughnessy
Conor Shaughnessy Defender
34
Ajibola Alese
Ajibola Alese Defender
22
Zak Swanson
Zak Swanson Defender
17
Ibane Bowat
Ibane Bowat Defender
24
Terry Devlin
Terry Devlin Defender
14
Hayden Matthews
Hayden Matthews Defender
55
Madiodio Dia
Madiodio Dia Defender
8
John Swift
John Swift Midfielder
7
Marlon Pack
Marlon Pack Midfielder
21
Andre Dozzell
Andre Dozzell Midfielder
38
Ebou Adams
Ebou Adams Midfielder
16
Luke Le Roux
Luke Le Roux Midfielder
18
Márk Kosznovszky
Márk Kosznovszky Midfielder
28
Reuben Swann
Reuben Swann Midfielder
41
Harry Clout
Harry Clout Midfielder
37
Keshi Anderson
Keshi Anderson Attacker
23
Josh Murphy
Josh Murphy Attacker
40
Jacob Brown
Jacob Brown Attacker
9
Colby Bishop
Colby Bishop Attacker
36
Conor Chaplin
Conor Chaplin Attacker
11
Florian Bianchini
Florian Bianchini Attacker
47
Gustavo Caballero
Gustavo Caballero Attacker
27
Millenic Oluwolde Sulaiman Alli
Millenic Oluwolde Sulaiman Alli Attacker
10
Adrian Segečić
Adrian Segečić Attacker
29
Harvey Blair
Harvey Blair Attacker
25
Mackenzie Kirk
Mackenzie Kirk Attacker
15
Franco Umeh
Franco Umeh Attacker
20
Thomas Waddingham
Thomas Waddingham Attacker

Squad ▼

21
Ryan Allsop
Ryan Allsop Goalkeeper
25
James Beadle
James Beadle Goalkeeper
6
Jack Robinson
Jack Robinson Defender
26
Bright Osayi-Samuel
Bright Osayi-Samuel Defender
5
Phil Neumann
Phil Neumann Defender
31
Kai Wagner
Kai Wagner Defender
37
Johnathan Panzo
Johnathan Panzo Defender
20
Alexander Cochrane
Alexander Cochrane Defender
4
Christoph Klarer
Christoph Klarer Defender
2
Ethan Laird
Ethan Laird Defender
3
Lee Buchanan
Lee Buchanan Defender
24
Tomoki Iwata
Tomoki Iwata Midfielder
8
Seung-Ho Paik
Seung-Ho Paik Midfielder
7
Thomas Doyle
Thomas Doyle Midfielder
27
Kanya Fujimoto
Kanya Fujimoto Midfielder
14
Jhon Elmer Solis Romero
Jhon Elmer Solis Romero Midfielder
10
Demarai Gray
Demarai Gray Attacker
16
Patrick Roberts
Patrick Roberts Attacker
33
Marvin Ducksch
Marvin Ducksch Attacker
9
Kyogo Furuhashi
Kyogo Furuhashi Attacker
23
Carlos Vicente Robles
Carlos Vicente Robles Attacker
28
Jay Stansfield
Jay Stansfield Attacker
17
Ibrahim Osman
Ibrahim Osman Attacker
29
August Priske
August Priske Attacker

CONCLUSION

Portsmouth's superior power rating and form position them favorably for a home triumph against Birmingham City, yet the visitors' loftier league spot injects uncertainty into proceedings. Fratton Park's atmosphere could prove decisive in a contest defined by fine margins. With sparse set piece and efficiency details, focus shifts to overall execution and transitional phases. Pompey must harness their edge to climb from 18th, while Blues defend their top-half status. Anticipate a gritty battle where structural strengths collide with standing-driven resolve, potentially yielding crucial points for the hosts.