Degerfors vs Häcken preview

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Stora Valla Sat, 2 May - 1:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Degerfors Degerfors
Häcken HAC
KICKOFF : Sat, 2 May - 1:00 PM
Round 6 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the Allsvenskan regular season at Stora Valla, Degerfors face Häcken in a intriguing 2026 matchup. Degerfors enter as the analytically stronger side with a power score of 25.13 surpassing Häcken's 21.23, translating to a 3.9-point advantage. Despite this, Häcken occupy 4th in the league table while Degerfors languish in 9th, reflecting Häcken's superior form score of 19.07 over Degerfors' 17.2. No recent outing details are available, heightening anticipation around current momentum. Set piece metrics for both teams rely on proxies with low confidence and no xG data, limiting insights into dead-ball threats or vulnerabilities. Degerfors will lean on home advantage to counter Häcken's higher standing and form edge, promising a tactical battle where power metrics clash with positional reality. Expect a contest defined by execution in open play amid sparse advanced stats.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Degerfors possesses a 3.9-point power advantage over Häcken with scores of 25.13 to 21.23.
  • Form: Häcken shows stronger recent form at 19.07 compared to Degerfors' 17.2.
  • Squad: Häcken ranks 4th in Allsvenskan while Degerfors sits 9th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play data not provided for either team.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats use low-confidence proxies without xG for both sides.
  • xVariable: xG data absent, hindering advanced variable analysis.
  • Market: Degerfors 33.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27.1% (Δ+0%) | Häcken 39.5% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Degerfors H. Goitom
H. Goitom
VS
Häcken J. Gustafsson
J. Gustafsson
1.57
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.5
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Örgryte Rank: D
AIK Rank: W
Elfsborg Rank: L
Halmstad Rank: W
Sirius Rank: L
Brommapojkarna Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sirius Rank: D
Västerås SK Rank: D
GAIS Rank: W
IFK Göteborg Rank: W
Brommapojkarna Rank: D
Mjällby Rank: L
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 2 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Degerfors
33.44%
Draw
27.08%
Away Häcken
39.48%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
25.13
21.23
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Degerfors
Häcken
Power Score
25.13
21.23
League Position
9
4
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Degerfors — Opponent-weighted form score
Häcken — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Degerfors Häcken

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 8 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Degerfors Degerfors Home
8 matches
Häcken HAC Away
Match Record
3
Wins
3
2
Draws
2
3
Losses
3
Goals
12
Goals Scored
15
15
Goals Conceded
12
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:29:21+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
May 02, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 6 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stora Valla
Capacity
7500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

38
Matvei Igonen
Matvei Igonen Goalkeeper
25
Rasmus Forsell
Rasmus Forsell Goalkeeper
1
Wille Jakobsson
Wille Jakobsson Goalkeeper
7
Sebastian Ohlsson
Sebastian Ohlsson Defender
6
Daniel Sundgren
Daniel Sundgren Defender
12
Erik Lindell
Erik Lindell Defender
5
Juhani Pikkarainen
Juhani Pikkarainen Defender
2
Mamadouba Diaby
Mamadouba Diaby Defender
15
Nasiru Moro
Nasiru Moro Defender
28
Jesús Hernández Mesas
Jesús Hernández Mesas Defender
18
Samba Diatara
Samba Diatara Defender
16
Sebastian Ohlsson
Sebastian Ohlsson Midfielder
14
Ludvig Fritzson
Ludvig Fritzson Midfielder
8
Nahom Girmai
Nahom Girmai Midfielder
19
Bilal Hussein
Bilal Hussein Midfielder
4
Kazper Karlsson
Kazper Karlsson Midfielder
20
Elias Barsoum
Elias Barsoum Midfielder
13
Gideon Yaw Yiriyon
Gideon Yaw Yiriyon Midfielder
21
Alexander Berisson
Alexander Berisson Midfielder
22
Alexander Lindgren
Alexander Lindgren Midfielder
11
Dijan Vukojevic
Dijan Vukojevic Attacker
17
Arman Taranis
Arman Taranis Attacker
10
Marcus Rafferty
Marcus Rafferty Attacker
27
Ziyad Salifu
Ziyad Salifu Attacker
24
Olle Leonardsson
Olle Leonardsson Attacker

Squad ▼

99
Etrit Berisha
Etrit Berisha Goalkeeper
1
Andreas Linde
Andreas Linde Goalkeeper
35
David Andersson
David Andersson Goalkeeper
3
Johan Hammar
Johan Hammar Defender
15
Leo Väisänen
Leo Väisänen Defender
22
Filip Helander
Filip Helander Defender
5
Brice Wembangomo
Brice Wembangomo Defender
21
Adam Lundqvist
Adam Lundqvist Defender
17
Ben Engdahl
Ben Engdahl Defender
23
Olle Samuelsson
Olle Samuelsson Defender
44
Harry Hilvenius
Harry Hilvenius Defender
28
Filip Olov Öhman
Filip Olov Öhman Defender
10
Mikkel Rygaard Jensen
Mikkel Rygaard Jensen Midfielder
19
John David Theodor Seger
John David Theodor Seger Midfielder
11
Juliusb Lindberg
Juliusb Lindberg Midfielder
8
Silas Andersen
Silas Andersen Midfielder
7
Sanders Ngabo
Sanders Ngabo Midfielder
16
Pontus Dahbo
Pontus Dahbo Midfielder
40
Kurt Malte Ljungkull
Kurt Malte Ljungkull Midfielder
6
Abdoulaye Doumbia
Abdoulaye Doumbia Midfielder
24
Amor Layouni
Amor Layouni Attacker
18
Danilo Al-Saed
Danilo Al-Saed Attacker
9
Gustav Lindgren
Gustav Lindgren Attacker
14
Jeremy Nosakhare Agbonifo
Jeremy Nosakhare Agbonifo Attacker
20
Adrian Lars Fredrik Svanbäck
Adrian Lars Fredrik Svanbäck Attacker

CONCLUSION

Degerfors' power edge positions them favorably at home against Häcken, yet the visitors' loftier league spot and better form introduce uncertainty. Lacking granular efficiency, transition, or set-piece details, the game hinges on basic strengths: Degerfors' analytical superiority versus Häcken's momentum. Stora Valla could amplify the hosts' 3.9-point lead, but Häcken's 4th-place resolve demands respect. Without recent results or xG, predictability dips, favoring a hard-fought affair where execution trumps projections. Home support might tip scales in this balanced Allsvenskan encounter.