Gorica VS Dinamo Zagreb

2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia

ŠRC Velika Gorica Sat, 2 May - 2:00 PM

1. HNL

Gorica Gorica

Dinamo Zagreb GNK

KICKOFF : Sat, 2 May - 2:00 PM

Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the 1. HNL Regular Season at ŠRC Velika Gorica, Gorica faces a daunting task hosting league leaders Dinamo Zagreb during the 2025/2026 campaign. Dinamo Zagreb arrives with a commanding power score of 40.82, dwarfing Gorica's 19.87 and securing a 21-point advantage that positions them as clear favorites. Currently topping the table in 1st place, Dinamo's form score of 34.11 outshines Gorica's modest 16.67, reflecting their consistent excellence. Gorica, languishing in 8th, seeks a morale-boosting result against the dominant force. Without recent outing details or advanced metrics like xG, the focus shifts to Dinamo's structural superiority and Gorica's home resilience. Set piece data remains limited with low confidence and proxy reliance for both sides, underscoring a matchup where raw power could prevail.

TL;DR

Structural: Dinamo Zagreb possesses a 21-point power advantage and leads the league at 1st place ahead of 8th-placed Gorica.
Form: Gorica records a form score of 16.67, significantly behind Dinamo Zagreb's 34.11.
Squad: Dinamo Zagreb deploys a higher-caliber squad bolstered by their top power rating of 40.82.
Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for this fixture.
Transition: Transition play details absent from current data sources.
Set pieces: Set piece stats exhibit low confidence with no xG data and proxy usage for both teams.
xVariable: xG variables unavailable as the add-on remains disabled.
Market: Gorica 14.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 23.2% (Δ+0%) | Dinamo Zagreb 62.2% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

M. Carević

M. Kovačević

1.19

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

2.55

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

3 - 5 - 23

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Gorica

14.63%

Draw

23.15%

Dinamo Zagreb

62.21%

Team Power Ranking

19.87

40.82

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Gorica

Dinamo Zagreb

Power Score

19.87

40.82

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Gorica — Opponent-weighted form score

Dinamo Zagreb — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Gorica Dinamo Zagreb

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 31 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Gorica Gorica Home

31 matches

Dinamo Zagreb GNK Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-34

Goal Difference

+34

Expected Goals

xGA

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:30:52+00:00

General Information

Date & Time

May 02, 2026, 02:00 PM

Competition

2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 33 · Regular Season

Stadium

ŠRC Velika Gorica

Capacity

8000

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Manager ▼

M. Carević Coach

Squad ▼

Darijan Radelić Žarkov Goalkeeper

Davor Matijaš Goalkeeper

Muhamed Šahinović Goalkeeper

Tin Došen Goalkeeper

Stefan Peric Defender

Jakov Filipović Defender

Marijan Čabraja Defender

Žan Trontelj Defender

Mateo Leš Defender

Elvir Duraković Defender

Hadji Issa Moustapha Defender

Lovro Dukić Defender

Domagoj Pavičić Midfielder

Ivan Fiolić Midfielder

Iker Pozo La Rosa Midfielder

Jurica Pršir Midfielder

Ognjen Bakić Midfielder

Ante Kavelj Midfielder

Stjepan Kučiš Midfielder

Ante Erceg Attacker

Bruno Bogojević Attacker

Theo Epailly Attacker

Medin Gashi Attacker

Sule Wisdom Aondowase Attacker

Luka Vrzić Attacker

Manager ▼

M. Kovačević Coach

Squad ▼

Daniel Zagorac Goalkeeper

Ivan Filipović Goalkeeper

Dominik Livaković Goalkeeper

Ivan Nevistić Goalkeeper

Antonio Rajić Goalkeeper

Kévin Théophile-Catherine Defender

Dino Perić Defender

Bruno Goda Defender

Ronaël Pierre-Gabriel Defender

Scott McKenna Defender

Niko Galesic Defender

Moris Valincic Defender

Raúl Torrente Navarro Defender

Paul Bismarck Tabinas Defender

Sergi Domínguez Viloria Defender

Matteo Perez Vinlöf Defender

—

Matija Ruškovački Defender

Noa Mikic Defender

Josip Mišić Midfielder

Ismael Bennacer Midfielder

Miha Zajc Midfielder

Marko Soldo Midfielder

Luka Stojković Midfielder

Arbër Hoxha Attacker

Drena Beljo Dijon Attacker

Gabriel Vidović Attacker

Mateo Lisica Attacker

Monsef Bakrar Attacker

Fran Topić Attacker

Juan Córdoba Attacker

Cardoso Pinto Mandume Varela Attacker

CONCLUSION

Dinamo Zagreb's overwhelming power edge and superior form position them to extend their lead atop the 1. HNL standings against Gorica. Hosting at ŠRC Velika Gorica offers Gorica a slim chance for an upset, yet Dinamo's 40.82 power score and 1st-place standing signal dominance. Lacking detailed efficiency or set piece insights, the visitors' consistency should shine through. Gorica must maximize home advantage and defensive resolve to compete, but Dinamo appears primed for victory in this Regular Season encounter.

STANDINGS

CONTEXT