Westerlo vs OH Leuven preview

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Het Kuipje Sat, 2 May - 2:00 PM
Pro League
Westerlo KVC
OH Leuven OHL
KICKOFF : Sat, 2 May - 2:00 PM
Round 6 Conference League Play-off Group

CONTEXT

Westerlo hosts OH Leuven at Het Kuipje in the Conference League Play-off Group of the Pro League's 2025/2026 season. The home side enters as the clear stronger team, boasting a power score of 25.28 compared to OH Leuven's 15.68, translating to a substantial 9.6-point advantage. Westerlo also holds superior league standing at 9th place versus OH Leuven's 12th, reflecting better overall consistency. Form scores further favor the hosts at 22.39 against the visitors' modest 9.11, suggesting momentum swings their way despite limited recent outing details. This international cup clash pits a structurally robust Westerlo against a struggling OH Leuven, with set-piece data unavailable due to low-confidence proxies and absent xG metrics. Expect Westerlo to leverage home advantage in this pivotal play-off encounter.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Westerlo possesses a power score of 25.28 versus OH Leuven's 15.68, yielding a 9.6-point advantage.
  • Form: Westerlo's form score stands at 22.39, well ahead of OH Leuven's 9.11.
  • Squad: Westerlo occupies 9th in the league table compared to OH Leuven's 12th position.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition data remains unprovided in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece stats show low confidence with proxy usage and no xG available for either side.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables are absent due to unavailable data sources.
  • Market: Westerlo 49.2% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.9% (Δ+0%) | OH Leuven 24.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Westerlo I. Charai
I. Charai
VS
OH Leuven F. Mazzù
F. Mazzù
1.43
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.13
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Antwerp Rank: L
OH Leuven Rank: W
Genk Rank: L
Standard Liège Rank: W
Sporting Charleroi Rank: W
Standard Liège Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sporting Charleroi Rank: L
Westerlo Rank: L
Antwerp Rank: L
Genk Rank: D
Standard Liège Rank: L
Antwerp Rank: W
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 5 - 5
5
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Westerlo
49.15%
Draw
25.94%
Away OH Leuven
24.9%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
25.28
15.68
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Westerlo
OH Leuven
Power Score
25.28
15.68
League Position
9
12
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Westerlo Opponent-weighted form score
OH Leuven Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Westerlo OH Leuven

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 17 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Westerlo KVC Home
17 matches
OH Leuven OHL Away
Match Record
7
Wins
5
5
Draws
5
5
Losses
7
Goals
22
Goals Scored
23
23
Goals Conceded
22
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:31:08+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
May 02, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 6 · Conference League Play-off Group
Stadium
Het Kuipje
Capacity
8182
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

30
Koen Van Langendonck
Koen Van Langendonck Goalkeeper
99
Andreas Kristoffer Jungdal
Andreas Kristoffer Jungdal Goalkeeper
31
Oskar Annell
Oskar Annell Goalkeeper
33
Roman Neustädter
Roman Neustädter Defender
22
Bryan Reynolds
Bryan Reynolds Defender
5
Seiji Kimura
Seiji Kimura Defender
40
Emin Bayram
Emin Bayram Defender
6
Clinton Nsiala-Makengo
Clinton Nsiala-Makengo Defender
23
Lucas Mbamba-Muanda
Lucas Mbamba-Muanda Defender
28
Drahgo Gnatoa Dylan Ourega
Drahgo Gnatoa Dylan Ourega Defender
4
Amando Lapage
Amando Lapage Defender
3
Bakary Haidara
Bakary Haidara Defender
24
Michée Ndembi
Michée Ndembi Defender
34
Dogucan Haspolat
Dogucan Haspolat Midfielder
8
Sergiy Sydorchuk
Sergiy Sydorchuk Midfielder
39
Thomas Van den Keybus
Thomas Van den Keybus Midfielder
17
Raf Smekens
Raf Smekens Midfielder
13
Issai Sakamoto
Issai Sakamoto Midfielder
46
Arthur Piedfort
Arthur Piedfort Midfielder
12
Reda Laalaoui
Reda Laalaoui Midfielder
7
Allahyar Sayyadmanesh
Allahyar Sayyadmanesh Attacker
94
Enis Destan
Enis Destan Attacker
29
Bi Irié Fernand Gouré
Bi Irié Fernand Gouré Attacker
77
Josimar Alcócer
Josimar Alcócer Attacker
90
Ignacio Ferri Julià
Ignacio Ferri Julià Attacker
9
Eliot Bujupi
Eliot Bujupi Attacker
10
Afonso Cruz Patrão
Afonso Cruz Patrão Attacker
38
Shunsuke Saito
Shunsuke Saito Attacker
11
Naoufal Bohamdi-Kamoni
Naoufal Bohamdi-Kamoni Attacker

Squad

16
Maxence Andre Prévôt
Maxence Andre Prévôt Goalkeeper
1
Tobe Leysen
Tobe Leysen Goalkeeper
61
Owen Jochmans
Owen Jochmans Goalkeeper
95
Théo Radelet
Théo Radelet Goalkeeper
3
Noë Dussenne
Noë Dussenne Defender
77
Thibault Vlietinck
Thibault Vlietinck Defender
5
Takuma Ominami
Takuma Ominami Defender
27
Óscar Gil Regaño
Óscar Gil Regaño Defender
28
Ewoud Pletinckx
Ewoud Pletinckx Defender
30
Takahiro Akimoto
Takahiro Akimoto Defender
34
Roggerio Nyakossi
Roggerio Nyakossi Defender
15
Viktor Damjanić
Viktor Damjanić Defender
63
Moyé Christ Souanga
Moyé Christ Souanga Defender
99
Davis Opoku
Davis Opoku Defender
4
Birger Verstraete
Birger Verstraete Midfielder
8
Siebe Schrijvers
Siebe Schrijvers Midfielder
33
Mathieu Maertens
Mathieu Maertens Midfielder
10
Youssef Maziz
Youssef Maziz Midfielder
24
Łukasz Łakomy
Łukasz Łakomy Midfielder
21
William Balikwisha
William Balikwisha Midfielder
48
Bryang Kayo
Bryang Kayo Midfielder
6
Wouter George
Wouter George Midfielder
7
Thibaud Verlinden
Thibaud Verlinden Attacker
39
Sory Kaba
Sory Kaba Attacker
14
Henok Teklab
Henok Teklab Attacker
17
Kyan Vaesen
Kyan Vaesen Attacker
19
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi Attacker
9
Abdoul Karim Traoré
Abdoul Karim Traoré Attacker

CONCLUSION

Westerlo's clear edge in power, form, and positioning positions them as favorites in this home fixture against OH Leuven. The 9.6-point power advantage and superior 22.39 form score underline their dominance, especially at Het Kuipje. While data gaps exist in efficiency, transitions, and set pieces, Westerlo's structural superiority should prevail in the Conference League Play-off Group. OH Leuven faces an uphill battle to overturn the metrics, making a home win the logical outcome in this 2025/2026 Pro League encounter.