Dundee vs St. Mirren preview

Scotland flag 2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park Sat, 2 May - 2:00 PM
Premiership
Dundee DUD
St. Mirren STM
KICKOFF : Sat, 2 May - 2:00 PM
Round 35 2nd Phase

CONTEXT

Dundee host St. Mirren in Premiership (2nd Phase) at Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park. Domestically, Dundee sit 9th in the table while St. Mirren are 10th. Power ranking favours Dundee by 0.1 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Dundee holds a marginal 0.1-point power advantage over St. Mirren with scores of 21.61 to 21.55.
  • Form: St. Mirren edges Dundee in form with a score of 13.28 against 12.89.
  • Squad: Dundee sits 9th and St. Mirren 10th in the Premiership standings.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable; power parity suggests balanced open-play threats.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats use low-confidence proxies for both teams with no xG data.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable as the add-on is not enabled.
  • Market: Dundee 37.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28.1% (Δ+0%) | St. Mirren 34.5% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Dundee S. Pressley
S. Pressley
VS
St. Mirren C. McLeish
C. McLeish
1.04
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.83
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dundee United Rank: L
Kilmarnock Rank: D
Celtic Rank: L
Hearts Rank: L
Dundee United Rank: D
Motherwell Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Livingston Rank: L
Celtic Rank: L
Aberdeen Rank: W
Falkirk Rank: W
Rangers Rank: L
Dundee United Rank: L
9
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
9 - 4 - 12
12
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Dundee
37.41%
Draw
28.14%
Away St. Mirren
34.45%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
21.61
21.55
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Dundee
St. Mirren
Power Score
21.61
21.55
League Position
9
10
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Dundee — Opponent-weighted form score
St. Mirren — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Dundee St. Mirren

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 25 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Dundee DUD Home
25 matches
St. Mirren STM Away
Match Record
9
Wins
12
4
Draws
4
12
Losses
9
Goals
32
Goals Scored
36
36
Goals Conceded
32
-4
Goal Difference
+4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:31:14+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
May 02, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland · Round 35 · 2nd Phase
Stadium
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Capacity
11775
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

13
Kieran O'Hara
Kieran O'Hara Goalkeeper
1
Jon McCracken
Jon McCracken Goalkeeper
3
Clark Robertson
Clark Robertson Defender
16
Brad Halliday
Brad Halliday Defender
4
Ryan Astley
Ryan Astley Defender
14
Lewis Montsma
Lewis Montsma Defender
12
Imari Narain Samuels
Imari Narain Samuels Defender
5
Billy Koumetio
Billy Koumetio Defender
6
Aaron Donnelly
Aaron Donnelly Defender
22
Luke Graham
Luke Graham Defender
8
Paul Digby
Paul Digby Midfielder
7
Drey Jermaine Wright
Drey Jermaine Wright Midfielder
21
Yan Dhanda
Yan Dhanda Midfielder
48
Ethan Hamilton
Ethan Hamilton Midfielder
18
Charlie Reilly
Charlie Reilly Midfielder
10
Finlay Robertson
Finlay Robertson Midfielder
24
Joel Cotterill
Joel Cotterill Midfielder
28
Callum Graham Jones
Callum Graham Jones Midfielder
25
Scott Wright
Scott Wright Attacker
15
Simon Murray
Simon Murray Attacker
20
Cameron Congreve
Cameron Congreve Attacker
19
Joe Westley
Joe Westley Attacker
17
Tony Yogane
Tony Yogane Attacker
27
Joe Bevan
Joe Bevan Attacker
11
Ashley Hay
Ashley Hay Attacker
38
Francisco Aldahir Valenzuela López
Francisco Aldahir Valenzuela López Attacker

Squad ▼

12
Peter Urminský
Peter Urminský Goalkeeper
1
Shamal George
Shamal George Goalkeeper
31
Ryan Mullen
Ryan Mullen Goalkeeper
24
Declan John
Declan John Defender
3
Scott Tanser
Scott Tanser Defender
13
Alexandros Gogić
Alexandros Gogić Defender
22
Marcus Fraser
Marcus Fraser Defender
2
Jayden Richardson
Jayden Richardson Defender
5
Richard King
Richard King Defender
21
Miguel Freckleton
Miguel Freckleton Defender
44
Liam Donnelly
Liam Donnelly Midfielder
6
Mark O'Hara
Mark O'Hara Midfielder
16
Allan Campbell
Allan Campbell Midfielder
25
Keanu Baccus
Keanu Baccus Midfielder
7
Roland Idowu
Roland Idowu Midfielder
88
Killian Phillips
Killian Phillips Midfielder
8
Jacob Devaney
Jacob Devaney Midfielder
9
Mikael Mandron
Mikael Mandron Attacker
10
Conor McMenamin
Conor McMenamin Attacker
11
Jonah Ananias Paul Ayunga
Jonah Ananias Paul Ayunga Attacker
14
Dan Nlundulu
Dan Nlundulu Attacker
29
Kion Reece Etete
Kion Reece Etete Attacker
20
Jake Young
Jake Young Attacker
18
Malik Dijksteel
Malik Dijksteel Attacker
17
Jalmaro Calvin
Jalmaro Calvin Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Dundee holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Dundee a 0.1-point edge. External projection is Dundee 37.4%, draw 28.1%, and St. Mirren 34.5%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.