Falkirk vs Motherwell preview

Scotland flag 2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland
Falkirk Community Stadium Sat, 2 May - 2:00 PM
Premiership
Falkirk Falkirk
Motherwell MOT
KICKOFF : Sat, 2 May - 2:00 PM
Round 35 2nd Phase

CONTEXT

Falkirk welcome Motherwell to Falkirk Community Stadium for this Premiership 2nd Phase clash in the 2025/2026 season. Motherwell enter as the marginally stronger side, boasting a power score of 23.34 compared to Falkirk's 22.1, translating to a 1.2-point advantage. League standings reflect Motherwell's edge at 4th place versus Falkirk's 6th. However, Falkirk hold a form advantage with a score of 15.67 over Motherwell's 14.06, suggesting recent momentum on the home side. No recent outing details are available for either team. Advanced metrics like efficiency and set pieces lack data due to unavailable xG and low-confidence proxies. This evenly poised encounter pits Falkirk's home resilience against Motherwell's superior overall strength in a crucial mid-table battle.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Motherwell possess a slight 1.2-point power advantage over Falkirk with scores of 23.34 to 22.1.
  • Form: Falkirk lead in form scores at 15.67 compared to Motherwell's 14.06.
  • Squad: Squad details unavailable for both Falkirk and Motherwell.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play data unavailable for both teams.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to low confidence and proxy usage.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable for Falkirk and Motherwell.
  • Market: Falkirk 36.2% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27.8% (Δ+0%) | Motherwell 36% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Falkirk J. McGlynn
J. McGlynn
VS
Motherwell J. Askou
J. Askou
1.35
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.79
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Celtic Rank: L
Rangers Rank: L
Motherwell Rank: W
St. Mirren Rank: L
Aberdeen Rank: D
Kilmarnock Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rangers Rank: W
Hearts Rank: L
Falkirk Rank: L
Hibernian Rank: D
Celtic Rank: L
Dundee Rank: L
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 6 - 8
8
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Falkirk
36.19%
Draw
27.82%
Away Motherwell
35.99%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
22.1
23.34
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Falkirk
Motherwell
Power Score
22.1
23.34
League Position
6
4
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Falkirk — Opponent-weighted form score
Motherwell — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Falkirk Motherwell

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 21 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Falkirk Falkirk Home
21 matches
Motherwell MOT Away
Match Record
7
Wins
8
6
Draws
6
8
Losses
7
Goals
24
Goals Scored
29
29
Goals Conceded
24
-5
Goal Difference
+5
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:31:19+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
May 02, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland · Round 35 · 2nd Phase
Stadium
Falkirk Community Stadium
Capacity
7937
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

19
Scott Bain
Scott Bain Goalkeeper
12
Jamie Sneddon
Jamie Sneddon Goalkeeper
1
Nicky Hogarth
Nicky Hogarth Goalkeeper
6
Coll Donaldson
Coll Donaldson Defender
42
Sam Hart
Sam Hart Defender
5
Liam Henderson
Liam Henderson Defender
3
Leon McCann
Leon McCann Defender
15
Lewis Neilson
Lewis Neilson Defender
20
Connor Allan
Connor Allan Defender
28
Filip Lissah
Filip Lissah Defender
2
Keelan Adams
Keelan Adams Defender
18
Gary Oliver
Gary Oliver Midfielder
29
Calvin Miller
Calvin Miller Midfielder
23
Ethan Ross
Ethan Ross Midfielder
8
Brad Spencer
Brad Spencer Midfielder
21
Dylan Tait
Dylan Tait Midfielder
17
Henry Cartwright
Henry Cartwright Midfielder
14
Finn Yeats
Finn Yeats Midfielder
7
Brian Graham
Brian Graham Attacker
9
Ross MacIver
Ross MacIver Attacker
30
Louie Marsh
Louie Marsh Attacker
27
Ben Parkinson
Ben Parkinson Attacker
24
Ethan Williams
Ethan Williams Attacker
22
Kyrell Wilson
Kyrell Wilson Attacker
11
Benjamin Tomaso Broggio
Benjamin Tomaso Broggio Attacker
16
Barney Stewart
Barney Stewart Attacker

Squad ▼

61
Callum Ward
Callum Ward Goalkeeper
31
Matty Connolly
Matty Connolly Goalkeeper
16
Paul McGinn
Paul McGinn Defender
2
Stephen O'Donnell
Stephen O'Donnell Defender
6
Jordan McGhee
Jordan McGhee Defender
4
Liam Gordon
Liam Gordon Defender
57
Stephen Welsh
Stephen Welsh Defender
22
John Koutroumbis
John Koutroumbis Defender
45
Mbule Longelo Emmanuel
Mbule Longelo Emmanuel Defender
11
Andrew Halliday
Andrew Halliday Midfielder
19
Sam Nicholson
Sam Nicholson Midfielder
8
Callum Slattery
Callum Slattery Midfielder
20
Elliot Watt
Elliot Watt Midfielder
12
Lukas Fadinger
Lukas Fadinger Midfielder
7
Tom Sparrow
Tom Sparrow Midfielder
18
Oscar Priestman
Oscar Priestman Midfielder
77
Regan Charles-Cook
Regan Charles-Cook Attacker
66
Callum Hendry
Callum Hendry Attacker
21
Elijah Henry Just
Elijah Henry Just Attacker
55
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise Attacker
90
Ibrahim Sa’id
Ibrahim Sa’id Attacker
9
Zach Robinson
Zach Robinson Attacker
15
Eythor Martin Bjørgolfsson
Eythor Martin Bjørgolfsson Attacker
28
Luca Ross
Luca Ross Attacker

CONCLUSION

Motherwell's power edge and higher league position make them narrow favourites, but Falkirk's superior form score could fuel an upset at home. With limited advanced stats available, the focus falls on basic strengths: Motherwell's overall quality versus Falkirk's recent momentum. Expect a tight contest where defensive solidity and clinical finishing decide the points in this balanced Premiership encounter.