Motor Lublin vs Lech Poznań preview

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Arena Lublin Sat, 2 May - 6:15 PM
Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin
Lech Poznań Lech Poznań
KICKOFF : Sat, 2 May - 6:15 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Motor Lublin host Lech Poznań in Ekstraklasa (Regular Season) at Arena Lublin. Domestically, Motor Lublin sit 9th in the table while Lech Poznań are 1th. Power ranking favours Lech Poznań by 13.8 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Lech Poznań holds a 13.8-point power advantage over Motor Lublin and leads the Ekstraklasa at 1st place to Motor's 9th.
  • Form: Lech Poznań's form score of 32.78 significantly outpaces Motor Lublin's 18.61.
  • Squad: No specific squad updates or injuries reported for either team.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play data unavailable due to lack of detailed metrics.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data shows low confidence with no xG available for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable as data relies on low-confidence proxies.
  • Market: Motor Lublin 25.5% (Δ+0%) | Draw 23.6% (Δ+0%) | Lech Poznań 50.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Motor Lublin M. Stolarski
M. Stolarski
VS
Lech Poznań N. Frederiksen
N. Frederiksen
1.39
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.78
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Widzew Lodz Rank: L
Katowice Rank: L
Raków Częstochowa Rank: D
Radomiak Radom Rank: D
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: W
Nieciecza Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Legia Warszawa Rank: W
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: W
Katowice Rank: D
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: D
Nieciecza Rank: W
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Motor Lublin
25.54%
Draw
23.59%
Away Lech Poznań
50.87%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
24.99
38.81
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Motor Lublin
Lech Poznań
Power Score
24.99
38.81
League Position
9
1
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Motor Lublin — Opponent-weighted form score
Lech Poznań — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Motor Lublin Lech Poznań

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Motor Lublin Motor Lublin Home
3 matches
Lech Poznań Lech Poznań Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
1
Goals
5
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
5
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:34:05+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
May 02, 2026, 06:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Arena Lublin
Capacity
15243
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

1
Ivan Brkić
Ivan Brkić Goalkeeper
33
Gašper Tratnik
Gašper Tratnik Goalkeeper
99
Patryk Kukulski
Patryk Kukulski Goalkeeper
3
Hervé Matthys
Hervé Matthys Defender
28
Paweł Stolarski
Paweł Stolarski Defender
18
Arkadiusz Najemski
Arkadiusz Najemski Defender
17
Filip Wójcik
Filip Wójcik Defender
29
Thomas Santos Christensen
Thomas Santos Christensen Defender
39
Marek Kristián Bartoš
Marek Kristián Bartoš Defender
2
Paskal Konrad Meyer
Paskal Konrad Meyer Defender
24
Filip Luberecki
Filip Luberecki Defender
—
Artem Akatov
Artem Akatov Defender
42
Bright Ede
Bright Ede Defender
68
Bartosz Wolski
Bartosz Wolski Midfielder
7
Ivo Tiago dos Santos Rodrigues
Ivo Tiago dos Santos Rodrigues Midfielder
6
Sergi Samper Montaña
Sergi Samper Montaña Midfielder
21
Jakub Łabojko
Jakub Łabojko Midfielder
8
Mathieu Scalet
Mathieu Scalet Midfielder
10
Kacper Karasek
Kacper Karasek Midfielder
—
Sebastian Koziej
Sebastian Koziej Midfielder
16
Franciszek Lewandowski
Franciszek Lewandowski Midfielder
77
Renat Dadaşov
Renat Dadaşov Attacker
26
Michal Krol
Michal Krol Attacker
23
Florian Haxha
Florian Haxha Attacker
19
Bradly van Hoeven
Bradly van Hoeven Attacker
9
Karol Czubak
Karol Czubak Attacker
11
Fábio Ronaldo Costa Conceição
Fábio Ronaldo Costa Conceição Attacker
30
Mbaye Jacques Ndiaye
Mbaye Jacques Ndiaye Attacker
20
Kacper Plichta
Kacper Plichta Attacker

Squad ▼

41
Bartosz Mrozek
Bartosz Mrozek Goalkeeper
1
Plamen Andreev
Plamen Andreev Goalkeeper
33
Mateusz Pruchniewski
Mateusz Pruchniewski Goalkeeper
16
Antonio Milić
Antonio Milić Defender
20
Robert Gumny
Robert Gumny Defender
2
Joel Vieira Pereira
Joel Vieira Pereira Defender
3
Alex Douglas
Alex Douglas Defender
4
João Gervásio Bragança Moutinho
João Gervásio Bragança Moutinho Defender
72
Mateusz Skrzypczak
Mateusz Skrzypczak Defender
15
Michał Gurgul
Michał Gurgul Defender
27
Wojciech Mońka
Wojciech Mońka Defender
90
Hubert Janyszka
Hubert Janyszka Defender
22
Radosław Murawski
Radosław Murawski Midfielder
24
Filip Jagiełło
Filip Jagiełło Midfielder
14
Leo Bengtsson
Leo Bengtsson Midfielder
99
Pablo Rodríguez Delgado
Pablo Rodríguez Delgado Midfielder
10
Patrik Wålemark
Patrik Wålemark Midfielder
43
Antoni Kozubal
Antoni Kozubal Midfielder
6
Timothy Ouma
Timothy Ouma Midfielder
23
Gísli Gottskalk Thórdarson
Gísli Gottskalk Thórdarson Midfielder
53
Sammy Dudek
Sammy Dudek Midfielder
9
Mikael Ishak
Mikael Ishak Attacker
8
Ali Gholizadeh
Ali Gholizadeh Attacker
77
Luis Enrique Palma Oseguera
Luis Enrique Palma Oseguera Attacker
11
Daniel Håkans
Daniel Håkans Attacker
88
Taofeek Ismaheel
Taofeek Ismaheel Attacker
7
Mel Yannick Joel Agnero
Mel Yannick Joel Agnero Attacker
56
Kornel Lisman
Kornel Lisman Attacker
54
Kamil Jakóbczyk
Kamil Jakóbczyk Attacker
17
Wojciech Szymczak
Wojciech Szymczak Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Lech Poznań holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Lech Poznań a 13.8-point edge. External projection is Motor Lublin 25.6%, draw 23.7%, and Lech Poznań 50.8%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.