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SD Eibar vs Málaga preview

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa Sat, 2 May - 7:00 PM
La Liga 2
SD Eibar EIB
2 – 3
2ND HALF 78
Málaga MLA
Live : 2nd Half Sat, 2 May 7:00 PM
Round 38 Regular Season
Sergio Álvarez - 20'
José Corpas - 32'
Goal
|
Goal
Chupe - 8' (P)
Adrián Niño - 65'
Darko Brasanac - 78'

Events

2ND-HALF
78'
Event
Darko Brasanac
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
73'
Event
Carlos Dotor
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
70'
Event
Darko Brasanac → Chupe
6th Substitution
65'
Event
Adrián Niño
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Javi Martón → Adu Ares
5th Substitution
63'
Event
3rd Substitution
62'
62'
Event
Haitam Abaida → Rafa Rodríguez
2nd Substitution
62'
Event
4th Substitution
46'
Event
Ramón Enríquez → Izan Merino
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
José Corpas
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
32'
Event
Sergio Álvarez
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
20'
19'
Event
Izan Merino
3rd Yellowcard
8'
Event
Chupe
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
Event
Lander Olaetxea
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
7'
6'
Event
Diego Murillo
Penalty awarded
Event
José Corpas
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
2'

Match Commentary

70
Update Update
Darko Brasanac is on, and Chupete is off.
69
Attempt Attempt
Jose Corpas takes a right-footed shot but misses.
67
Attempt Attempt
Jon Bautista attempts a header but misses the shot.
64
Update Update
Javier Marton comes on for Malcom Adu.
65
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Adrian Nino scores with a left-footed shot.
62
Substitution Substitution
Javier Martinez Calvo is substituted for Lander Olaetxea.
63
Update Update
Javier Marton comes on for Malcom Adu.
60
Attempt Attempt
Jon Bautista takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
60
Attempt Attempt
David Larrubia takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
59
Attempt Attempt
Chupete's right-footed shot is saved.
62
Substitution Substitution
Javier Martinez Calvo is substituted for Lander Olaetxea.
55
Attempt Attempt
Joaquin Munoz Benavides takes a right-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Jon Bautista takes a left-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
David Larrubia's left-footed shot is blocked.
47
Attempt Attempt
Chupete's left-footed shot is blocked.
42
Attempt Attempt
David Larrubia takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
46
Update Update
Ramon Enriquez Rodriguez comes on for Izan Merino.
40
Attempt Attempt
Chupete takes a right-footed shot but misses.
36
Attempt Attempt
David Larrubia takes a left-footed shot but misses.
43
Attempt Attempt
Rafa Rodriguez takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
35
Attempt Attempt
David Larrubia takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
32
Attempt Attempt
Malcom Adu takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
32
Attempt Attempt
Jon Bautista takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
32
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot on goal! Jose Corpas takes a right-footed shot.
52
Attempt Attempt
Joaquin Munoz Benavides takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
26
Attempt Attempt
Chupete takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
31
Attempt Attempt
Einar Galilea Azaceta attempts a header but misses the shot.
20
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Sergio Alvarez Diaz takes a shot with his left foot and scores.
52
Attempt Attempt
Chupete takes a right-footed shot but misses.
50
Attempt Attempt
Jon Bautista takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
10
Attempt Attempt
Ander Madariaga's left-footed shot is blocked.
8
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Chupete scores, making it 0-1.
6
Update Update
Penalty confirmed after VAR review.
4
Attempt Attempt
Carlos Dotor takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
2
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jose Corpas receives a yellow card.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Luis Bestard Servera.

Statistics

Possession
EIB
40%
MLA
60%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 3
5 Big Chances Created 3
2 Shots 5
23 Dangerous attacks 40
37 Possession 63
0 Corners 6
5 Free kicks 6
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

16 Throwins 17
0 Penalties 1
1 Successful Dribbles 7
12 Dribble Attempts 14
10 Goal Kicks 4
1 Assists 2
8 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50
0 Hit Woodwork 1
5 Substitutions 4

Attacking

61 Attacks 94
3 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

56 Long Passes 40
54 Successful Long Passes Percentage 48
6 Key Passes 17
30 Successful Long Passes 19
314 Passes 530
252 Successful Passes 468
80 Successful Passes Percentage 88

Defensive

31 Duels Won 32
8 Interceptions 4
4 Saves 2
15 Tackles 12

Build-up

7 Total Crosses 11
2 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

7 Fouls 5

Lineup

Referee : Lluís Bestard Servera

Starting XI ▼

13
Jonmi Magunagoitia
Jonmi Magunagoitia Goalkeeper
6.98
2
Sergio Cubero
Sergio Cubero Defender
6.86
4
Aritz Arambarri
Aritz Arambarri Defender
6.64
15
Jair Amador
Jair Amador Defender
6.73
23
Anaitz Arbilla
Anaitz Arbilla Defender
7.09
6
Sergio Álvarez
Sergio Álvarez Midfielder
6.92
14
Lander Olaetxea
Lander Olaetxea Midfielder
6.69
16
Ander Madariaga
Ander Madariaga Midfielder
6.73
17
José Corpas
José Corpas Midfielder
6.91
18
Adu Ares
Adu Ares Midfielder
6.77
20
Javi Martón
Javi Martón
Attacker63'
6.8
9
Jon Bautista
Jon Bautista Attacker
6.88
Referee : Lluís Bestard Servera

Starting XI ▼

1
Alfonso Herrero
Alfonso Herrero Goalkeeper
6.97
3
Carlos Puga
Carlos Puga Defender
6.89
4
Einar Galilea
Einar Galilea Defender
6.8
16
Diego Murillo
Diego Murillo Defender
6.98
31
Rafita Garrido
Rafita Garrido Defender
6.75
10
David Larrubia
David Larrubia Midfielder
7.16
11
Joaquín Muñoz
Joaquín Muñoz Midfielder
6.85
23
Izan Merino
Izan Merino Midfielder
6.68
6
Ramón Enríquez
Ramón Enríquez
Midfielder46'
6.82
37
Rafa Rodríguez
Rafa Rodríguez Midfielder
6.74
7
Haitam Abaida
Haitam Abaida
Attacker62'
6.65
9
Chupe
Chupe Attacker
7.07
5
Darko Brasanac
Darko Brasanac
Midfielder70'
6.49
12
Carlos Dotor
Carlos Dotor Attacker
6.87

CONTEXT

SD Eibar holds a 2-1 lead over Málaga in the live second half at minute 45, maintaining their status as pre-match favorites and current live leaders. Despite Málaga's commanding 63% possession against Eibar's 37%, the home side has converted their opportunities efficiently, keeping the game in line with structural expectations and projections. No red cards have disrupted play, allowing both teams to push forward early in the second half. Eibar's defensive resilience has neutralized Málaga's ball dominance so far, while their attacking efficiency has secured the narrow advantage. The match remains tightly contested, with Málaga seeking an equalizer through sustained pressure. This alignment with pre-game signals underscores Eibar's preparedness against a possession-heavy opponent.

TL;DR

  • Live state: SD Eibar leads Málaga 2-1 in live second half at minute 45 with no red cards.
  • Structural vs live: Pre-match structural favoritism for SD Eibar matches their current leading position.
  • Projection vs live: Live scoreline aligns closely with pre-match projections favoring SD Eibar.
  • xG trend: xG data unavailable, but score remains in line with pre-match expectations.
  • Possession profile: Málaga dominates with 63% possession versus SD Eibar's 37%, diverging from home favoritism signals.
  • Event impact: No red cards or major events have altered the in-line progression from pre-match setup.
  • Second-half outlook: SD Eibar's lead persists early in second half amid Málaga's possession edge, aligning with projections.
  • Market: SD Eibar 2.7% (Δ-0.5%) | Draw 21.4% (Δ-0.3%) | Málaga 75.9% (Δ+0.8%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
L. Bestard Servera
L. Bestard Servera
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 22.32
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.76
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.32
V. Jiménez Yustos
V. Jiménez Yustos
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 22.32
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.76
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.32
V. Almarche González
V. Almarche González
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 22.32
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.76
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.32
I. Irurtzun Artola
I. Irurtzun Artola
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 22.32
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.76
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.32
SD Eibar B. San José Gil
B. San José Gil
VS
Málaga J. Funes Arjona
J. Funes Arjona
1.92
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.77
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Albacete Rank: 66 W
Huesca Rank: 58 W
Real Valladolid Rank: 60 D
Ceuta Rank: 60 W
Real Sociedad II Rank: 59 W
Las Palmas Rank: 71 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Castellón Rank: 67 L
Almería Rank: 68 L
Las Palmas Rank: 70 W
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: 69 D
FC Andorra Rank: 66 D
Leganés Rank: 63 D
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 7 - 6
6

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home SD Eibar
2.72%
Draw
21.38%
Away Málaga
75.89%

Movement

Changes since opening
SD Eibar
-0.52%
Draw
-0.3%
Málaga
+0.8%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
70.34
67.72
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
SD Eibar
Málaga
Power Score
70.34
67.72
League Position
6
8
Global Rank
189
250

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
SD Eibar — Opponent-weighted form score
Málaga — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) SD Eibar Málaga

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

SD Eibar

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Málaga

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

SD Eibar ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Málaga
Created Set-piece attacking threat
SD Eibar Málaga
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
SD Eibar Málaga
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
SD Eibar
Málaga
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
SD Eibar
vs
Málaga
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
SD Eibar Málaga
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
SD Eibar 0.00
Málaga 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
SD Eibar Málaga
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
SD Eibar 0.00
Málaga 0.00
SD Eibar
Málaga
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • MLA had peak pressure around 61'.
  • MLA started the game with stronger pressure.
EIB Pressure MLA Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: MLA reached the top pressure at 61' (65.83).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 19 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

SD Eibar EIB Home
19 matches
Málaga MLA Away
Match Record
6
Wins
6
7
Draws
7
6
Losses
6
Goals
23
Goals Scored
22
22
Goals Conceded
23
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-02T18:30:39+00:00

PLAYERS CURRENTLY PLAYING

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
J. Magunagoitia Blasco
Spain
13 J. Magunagoitia Blasco
S. Cubero Ezcurra
Spain
2 S. Cubero Ezcurra
A. Aranbarri Murua
Spain
4 A. Aranbarri Murua
J. Amador Silos
Portugal
15 J. Amador Silos
A. Arbilla Zabala
Spain
23 A. Arbilla Zabala
S. Álvarez Díaz
Spain
6 S. Álvarez Díaz
L. Olaetxea Ibaibarriaga
Spain
14 L. Olaetxea Ibaibarriaga
J. Corpas Serna
Spain
17 J. Corpas Serna
A. Madariaga Susaeta
Spain
16 A. Madariaga Susaeta
J. Martón Ansó
Spain
20 J. Martón Ansó
J. Bautista Orgilles
Spain
9 J. Bautista Orgilles
A. Herrero Peinador
Spain
1 A. Herrero Peinador
R. Garrido Hierro
Spain
31 R. Garrido Hierro
E. Galilea Azaceta
Spain
4 E. Galilea Azaceta
D. Murillo Dominguez
Spain
16 D. Murillo Dominguez
C. Puga Medina
Spain
3 C. Puga Medina
J. Muñoz Benavides
Spain
11 J. Muñoz Benavides
H. Abaida
Morocco
7 H. Abaida
R. Enríquez Rodríguez
Spain
6 R. Enríquez Rodríguez
D. Larrubia Romano
Spain
10 D. Larrubia Romano
D. Brašanac
Serbia
5 D. Brašanac
C. Dotor Gonzalez
Spain
12 C. Dotor Gonzalez

General Information

Date & Time
May 02, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 38 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa
Capacity
8164
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Lluís Bestard Servera
Víctor Jiménez Yustos
Vicente Javier Almarche González
Imanol Irurtzun Artola

CONCLUSION

SD Eibar's 2-1 advantage stands firm at minute 45 of the live second half, perfectly in sync with pre-game favoritism and projections despite Málaga's 63% possession control. The home team's efficiency has outshone the visitors' ball dominance, with no disciplinary issues to shift momentum. As the half unfolds, Eibar's defensive solidity positions them well to protect their lead, while Málaga must capitalize on territory to mount a comeback. This matchup exemplifies pre-match signals holding true under live pressure.