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Porto vs Alverca preview

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio Do Dragão Sat, 2 May - 7:30 PM
Liga Portugal
Porto FCP
1 – 0
2ND HALF 48
Alverca ALV
Live : 2nd Half Sat, 2 May 7:30 PM
Round 32 Regular Season
Jan Bednarek - 40'
Goal
|

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Martim Fernandes → Zaidu Sanusi
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Alan Varela → Jakub Kiwior
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Jan Bednarek
Header / 1st Goal
40'
Event
Jakub Kiwior
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
38'
38'
Event
Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Var
25'

Match Commentary

46
Attempt Attempt
Sandro Cesar Cordovil de Lima takes a left-footed shot but misses.
46
Update Update
Alan Varela comes on for Jakub Kiwior.
45
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Figueiredo dos Santos takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
20
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Eduardo Gabriel Aquino Cossa with his right foot is blocked.
38
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Francisco Chiquinho receives a yellow card.
40
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Jan Bednarek scores with a header.
38
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jakub Kiwior receives a yellow card.
7
Attempt Attempt
Francisco Chiquinho takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
15
Attempt Attempt
Alberto Costa takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
26
Attempt Attempt
Sandro Cesar Cordovil de Lima attempts a header but misses the shot.
11
Attempt Attempt
Zaidu Sanusi takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
3
Attempt Attempt
Alberto Costa takes a right-footed shot but misses.
9
Attempt Attempt
Pablo Rosario takes a header shot but misses.
36
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Eduardo Gabriel Aquino Cossa with his right foot is blocked.
34
Attempt Attempt
Nabili Zoubdi Touaizi attempts a header but misses the shot.
24
Attempt Attempt
Victor Froholdt takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
22
Attempt Attempt
Gabriel Veiga takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.

Statistics

Possession
FCP
57%
ALV
43%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
0 Big Chances Created 1
9 Shots 5
26 Dangerous attacks 10
57 Possession 43
4 Corners 0
10 Free kicks 12
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

9 Throwins 14
10 Successful Headers 5
33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33
3 Goal Kicks 4
6 Dribble Attempts 3
2 Hit Woodwork 0
1 Assists 0
2 Successful Dribbles 1
2 Substitutions 0

Attacking

67 Attacks 29
0 Counter Attacks 1
0 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

11 Successful Long Passes 9
87 Successful Passes Percentage 77
217 Passes 176
189 Successful Passes 135
17 Long Passes 24
65 Successful Long Passes Percentage 38
6 Key Passes 3

Defensive

9 Tackles 11
31 Duels Won 28
2 Saves 0
3 Interceptions 2

Build-up

13 Total Crosses 3
3 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

12 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : David Rafael Oliveira Silva

Starting XI ▼

99
Diogo Costa
Diogo Costa Goalkeeper
6.93
4
Jakub Kiwior
Jakub Kiwior Defender
7.19
22
Alan Varela
Alan Varela
Midfielder46'
6.97
5
Jan Bednarek
Jan Bednarek Defender
7.18
12
Zaidu Sanusi
Zaidu Sanusi Defender
6.89
52
Martim Fernandes
Martim Fernandes
Defender46'
6.75
20
Alberto Costa
Alberto Costa Defender
6.99
8
Victor Froholdt
Victor Froholdt Midfielder
7.02
10
Gabri Veiga
Gabri Veiga Midfielder
7.02
13
Pablo Rosario
Pablo Rosario Midfielder
6.9
11
Pepê
Pepê Attacker
6.96
27
Deniz Gül
Deniz Gül Attacker
6.66
77
Oskar Pietuszewski
Oskar Pietuszewski Attacker
6.98
Referee : David Rafael Oliveira Silva

Starting XI ▼

31
Matheus Mendes Werneck de Oliveira
Matheus Mendes Werneck de Oliveira Goalkeeper
7.07
4
Kaiky Marques Naves
Kaiky Marques Naves Defender
6.95
5
Sergi Gómez Solà
Sergi Gómez Solà Defender
6.53
33
Bastien Meupiyou
Bastien Meupiyou Defender
6.57
2
Nabil Touaizi
Nabil Touaizi Midfielder
6.74
12
Isaac James
Isaac James Midfielder
6.73
18
Lincoln Henrique Oliveira dos Santos
Lincoln Henrique Oliveira dos Santos Midfielder
7.05
26
Rhaldney
Rhaldney Midfielder
6.71
10
Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira
Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira Attacker
6.99
20
Figueiredo
Figueiredo Attacker
6.98
91
Sandro Lima
Sandro Lima Attacker
6.73

CONTEXT

Porto maintains a slender 1-0 lead over Alverca in the live second half at minute 45, embodying their status as the pre-match stronger side. The hosts, who entered as overwhelming favorites, have controlled proceedings without major disruptions, evidenced by no red cards and a possession edge of 58% to 42%. This scoreline reflects the in-line deviation from projections, where Porto was always tipped to lead. Efficiency remains steady, aligning with pre-game signals of dominance. Alverca trails but shows resilience, yet Porto's structural superiority shines through in this Taça de Portugal clash. The game flows predictably, with the leaders poised to navigate the second half effectively.

TL;DR

  • Live state: Porto leads Alverca 1-0 in live_second_half at minute 45, matching pre-match expectations for home dominance.
  • Structural vs live: Pre-game stronger team Porto mirrors the live leader status with a 1-0 advantage.
  • Projection vs live: Projection leader Porto aligns perfectly with the current live leader and scoreline.
  • xG trend: xG data unavailable, but 1-0 score holds steady in line with pre-match projections.
  • Possession profile: Porto commands 58% possession to Alverca's 42%, reinforcing pre-game favoritism.
  • Event impact: No red cards alter dynamics; Porto's lone goal drives the in-line contest shape.
  • Second-half outlook: Porto expected to build on 1-0 lead in live_second_half, per aligned projections.
  • Market: Porto 86.8% (Δ-0.1%) | Draw 10.4% (Δ+0.1%) | Alverca 2.8% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
D. Oliveira Silva
D. Oliveira Silva
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 24.93
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.53
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.42
C. Campos
C. Campos
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 24.93
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.53
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.42
N. Cunha
N. Cunha
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 24.93
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.53
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.42
M. Monteiro Fonseca
M. Monteiro Fonseca
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 24.93
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.53
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.42
Porto F. Farioli
F. Farioli
VS
Alverca C. Dias de Castro
C. Dias de Castro
2.59
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.33
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Estrela Amadora Rank: 58 W
Tondela Rank: 60 W
Estoril Rank: 68 W
Famalicão Rank: 74 D
Sporting Braga Rank: 82 W
Moreirense Rank: 67 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Arouca Rank: 65 W
Nacional Rank: 63 L
Casa Pia Rank: 63 W
Rio Ave Rank: 64 W
Sporting CP Rank: 88 L
Gil Vicente Rank: 70 D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Porto
86.82%
Draw
10.42%
Away Alverca
2.76%

Movement

Changes since opening
Porto
-0.11%
Draw
+0.09%
Alverca
+0.02%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
86.87
57.36
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Porto
Alverca
Power Score
86.87
57.36
League Position
1
9
Global Rank
25
284

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Porto — Opponent-weighted form score
Alverca — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Porto Alverca

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Porto

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Alverca

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Porto ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Alverca
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Porto Alverca
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Porto Alverca
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Porto
Alverca
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Porto
vs
Alverca
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Porto Alverca
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Porto 0.00
Alverca 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Porto Alverca
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Porto 0.00
Alverca 0.00
Porto
Alverca
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • FCP had peak pressure around 5'.
  • FCP started the game with stronger pressure.
FCP Pressure ALV Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: FCP reached the top pressure at 5' (66.29).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Porto FCP Home
1 matches
Alverca ALV Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
3
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-02T19:00:32+00:00

PLAYERS CURRENTLY PLAYING

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
D. Meireles Costa
Portugal
99 D. Meireles Costa
A. Costa
Portugal
20 A. Costa
J. Bednarek
Poland
5 J. Bednarek
A. Varela
Argentina
22 A. Varela
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes
Portugal
52 M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes
G. Veiga Novas
Spain
10 G. Veiga Novas
P. Rosario
Netherlands
13 P. Rosario
V. Froholdt
Denmark
8 V. Froholdt
E. Aquino Cossa
Brazil
11 E. Aquino Cossa
D. Gül
Sweden
27 D. Gül
O. Pietuszewski
Poland
77 O. Pietuszewski
Matheus Mendes
Brazil
31 Matheus Mendes
N. Meupiyou Menadjou
France
33 N. Meupiyou Menadjou
S. Gómez Solà
Spain
5 S. Gómez Solà
K. Marques Naves
Brazil
4 K. Marques Naves
I. James
Nigeria
12 I. James
L. Oliveira dos Santos
Brazil
18 L. Oliveira dos Santos
R. Simião Gomes
Brazil
26 R. Simião Gomes
N. Zoubdi Touaizi
Morocco
2 N. Zoubdi Touaizi
Chiquinho
Portugal
10 Chiquinho
S. Cesar
Brazil
91 S. Cesar
L. Figueiredo dos Santos
Brazil
20 L. Figueiredo dos Santos

General Information

Date & Time
May 02, 2026, 07:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio Do Dragão
Capacity
50033
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
David Rafael Oliveira Silva
Carlos Campos
Nélson Cunha
Miguel André Monteiro Fonseca

CONCLUSION

Porto's 1-0 advantage at live_second_half minute 45 underscores their pre-match superiority, with possession and discipline intact. In-line with structural and projection signals, the hosts dictate terms against a trailing Alverca. Absent xG details or disruptions like reds, efficiency holds firm. This setup favors Porto extending control, likely securing progression in line with expectations, as the second half progresses without surprises.