Charlton Athletic vs Hull City preview

England flag 2025/2026 Championship, England
The Valley Sat, 25 Apr - 11:30 AM
Championship
Charlton Athletic CHA
Hull City HUL
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 11:30 AM
Round 45 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Charlton Athletic host Hull City in Championship (Regular Season) at The Valley. Domestically, Charlton Athletic sit 21th in the table while Hull City are 7th. Power ranking favours Hull City by 5.1 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Charlton Athletic occupy 21st in the Championship while Hull City sit 7th.
  • Form: Hull City lead with a 9.44 form score against Charlton's 2.28.
  • Squad: Hull City's higher power score of 21.05 outpaces Charlton's 15.92.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play data not detailed in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats use low-confidence proxies due to absent xG data.
  • xVariable: Hull City enjoy a 5.1-point power advantage over Charlton Athletic.
  • Market: Charlton Athletic 32% (Δ-0.1%) | Draw 29.4% (Δ+0.2%) | Hull City 38.6% (Δ-0.1%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Charlton Athletic N. Jones
N. Jones
VS
Hull City S. Jakirović
S. Jakirović
0.97
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.58
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Ipswich Town Rank: L
Sheffield Wednesday Rank: D
Preston North End Rank: L
Watford Rank: D
Bristol City Rank: L
Norwich City Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Leicester City Rank: D
Birmingham City Rank: D
Sheffield United Rank: L
Coventry City Rank: D
Oxford United Rank: D
Sheffield Wednesday Rank: W
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 4 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Charlton Athletic
32%
Draw
29.43%
Away Hull City
38.56%

Movement

Changes since opening
Charlton Athletic
-0.11%
Draw
+0.23%
Hull City
-0.14%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
15.92
21.05
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Charlton Athletic
Hull City
Power Score
15.92
21.05
League Position
21
7
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Charlton Athletic — Opponent-weighted form score
Hull City — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Charlton Athletic Hull City

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Charlton Athletic CHA Home
9 matches
Hull City HUL Away
Match Record
3
Wins
2
4
Draws
4
2
Losses
3
Goals
9
Goals Scored
13
13
Goals Conceded
9
-4
Goal Difference
+4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-25T09:30:49+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
T. Kaminski
1 T. Kaminski
M. Gillesphey
3 M. Gillesphey
L. Jones
5 L. Jones
L. Chambers
19 L. Chambers
J. Fevrier
77 J. Fevrier
J. Rankin-Costello
26 J. Rankin-Costello
G. Docherty
10 G. Docherty
C. Coventry
6 C. Coventry
C. Shichenje
28 C. Shichenje
L. Dykes
99 L. Dykes
C. Kelman
23 C. Kelman
I. Pandur
1 I. Pandur
R. Giles
3 R. Giles
J. Egan
15 J. Egan
O. Ibidapo Ajayi
6 O. Ibidapo Ajayi
L. Coyle
2 L. Coyle
M. Crooks
25 M. Crooks
J. Lundstram
5 J. Lundstram
L. Millar
7 L. Millar
J. Gelhardt
21 J. Gelhardt
M. Belloumi
10 M. Belloumi
O. McBurnie
9 O. McBurnie

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 11:30 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Championship, England · Round 45 · Regular Season
Stadium
The Valley
Capacity
27111
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Tom Nield
George Byrne
Samuel Lewis
Gavin Ward

Expected Lineup

Referee : Tom Nield

Starting XI ▼

1
Thomas Kaminski
Thomas Kaminski Goalkeeper
6.86
6
Conor Coventry
Conor Coventry Midfielder
6.72
28
Collins Sichenje
Collins Sichenje Midfielder
6.79
77
Jayden Fevrier
Jayden Fevrier Midfielder
6.67
99
Lyndon Dykes
Lyndon Dykes Midfielder
6.64
23
Charlie Kelman
Charlie Kelman Centre Forward
6.64
19
Luke Chambers
Luke Chambers Left Back
6.65
5
Lloyd Jones
Lloyd Jones Centre Back
7.13
26
Joe Rankin-Costello
Joe Rankin-Costello Central Midfield
6.74
3
Macaulay Gillesphey
Macaulay Gillesphey Right Back
6.67
10
Greg Docherty
Greg Docherty Central Midfield
6.74
Referee : Tom Nield

Starting XI ▼

1
Ivor Pandur
Ivor Pandur Goalkeeper
6.89
9
Oliver McBurnie
Oliver McBurnie Centre Forward
7.09
5
John Lundstram
John Lundstram Defensive Midfield
6.61
6
Semi Ajayi
Semi Ajayi Right Back
6.75
7
Liam Millar
Liam Millar Left Wing
6.83
15
John Egan
John Egan Left Back
6.87
2
Lewie Coyle
Lewie Coyle Right Back
6.77
3
Ryan Giles
Ryan Giles Left Back
6.71
10
Mohamed Belloumi
Mohamed Belloumi Right Wing
6.88
25
Matt Crooks
Matt Crooks Defensive Midfield
6.89
21
Joe Gelhardt
Joe Gelhardt Attacking Midfield
7.01

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Hull City holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Hull City a 5.1-point edge. External projection is Charlton Athletic 32.1%, draw 29.2%, and Hull City 38.7%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.