Deportivo Alavés vs Mallorca preview

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Estadio de Mendizorroza Today - 12:00 PM
La Liga
Deportivo Alavés ALA
Mallorca MLL
KICKOFF : Today - 12:00 PM
Round 32 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Deportivo Alavés welcomes Mallorca to Estadio de Mendizorroza for a pivotal La Liga regular season encounter in the 2025/2026 campaign. Both teams languish near the relegation zone, with Alavés in 18th place and Mallorca just above in 16th, making every point precious. Mallorca enters as the stronger side on paper, boasting a power score of 26.91 compared to Alavés' 20.21, translating to a clear 6.7-point advantage. Form metrics reinforce this, as Mallorca's 30.06 score dwarfs Alavés' modest 15.94, suggesting recent struggles for the hosts. However, home advantage appears to level the field in projections, giving Alavés the highest win probability. Detailed set piece data remains unavailable due to low-confidence proxies and absent xG metrics, leaving reliance on broader trends. This matchup promises tension, with Mallorca's superior underlying strength clashing against Alavés' familiar turf.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Mallorca possesses a 6.7-point power advantage over Alavés, with scores of 26.91 to 20.21.
  • Form: Mallorca's form score of 30.06 far exceeds Alavés' 15.94.
  • Squad: Alavés sits 18th in the league table, one spot below Mallorca in 16th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: No specific transition data provided for either team.
  • Set pieces: Set piece xG data unavailable for both teams due to low confidence and proxy usage.
  • xVariable: xG statistics not available as the add-on is disabled.
  • Market: Deportivo Alavés 46.2% (Δ+0.1%) | Draw 28.9% (Δ+0.1%) | Mallorca 25% (Δ-0.1%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Deportivo Alavés E. Sánchez Flores
E. Sánchez Flores
VS
Mallorca M. Demichelis
M. Demichelis
0.91
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.17
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Madrid Rank: L
Real Sociedad Rank: D
Osasuna Rank: D
Celta de Vigo Rank: W
Villarreal Rank: D
Valencia Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Valencia Rank: D
Rayo Vallecano Rank: W
Real Madrid Rank: W
Elche Rank: L
Espanyol Rank: W
Osasuna Rank: D
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 5 - 7
7
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Deportivo Alavés
46.15%
Draw
28.89%
Away Mallorca
24.95%

Movement

Changes since opening
Deportivo Alavés
+0.08%
Draw
+0.05%
Mallorca
-0.14%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
20.21
26.91
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Deportivo Alavés
Mallorca
Power Score
20.21
26.91
League Position
18
16
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Deportivo Alavés — Opponent-weighted form score
Mallorca — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Deportivo Alavés Mallorca

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 17 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Deportivo Alavés ALA Home
17 matches
Mallorca MLL Away
Match Record
5
Wins
7
5
Draws
5
7
Losses
5
Goals
11
Goals Scored
14
14
Goals Conceded
11
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-25T00:03:26+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
A. Sivera Salvá
Spain
1 A. Sivera Salvá
J. Castro Otto
Spain
17 J. Castro Otto
N. Tenaglia
Argentina
14 N. Tenaglia
V. Parada González
Spain
24 V. Parada González
A. Pérez Hidalgo
Spain
7 A. Pérez Hidalgo
A. Rebbach
Algeria
21 A. Rebbach
J. Guridi Aldalur
Spain
18 J. Guridi Aldalur
A. Blanco Conde
Spain
8 A. Blanco Conde
P. Ibáñez Lumbreras
Spain
19 P. Ibáñez Lumbreras
A. Martínez López
Spain
11 A. Martínez López
L. Boyé
Argentina
15 L. Boyé
L. Román Riquelme
Spain
1 L. Román Riquelme
J. Mojica Palacio
Colombia
22 J. Mojica Palacio
O. Mascarell González
Spain
5 O. Mascarell González
M. Valjent
Slovakia
24 M. Valjent
P. Maffeo Becerra
Argentina
23 P. Maffeo Becerra
S. Darder Moll
Spain
10 S. Darder Moll
M. Morlanes
Spain
8 M. Morlanes
S. Costa
Portugal
12 S. Costa
P. Torre Carral
Spain
20 P. Torre Carral
T. Asano
Japan
11 T. Asano
V. Muriqi
Kosovo
7 V. Muriqi

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Capacity
19840
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jorge Bueno Mateo
Javier Alberola Rojas
Alfredo Rodríguez Moreno
Francisco García Riesgo

Lineup

Referee : Javier Alberola Rojas

Starting XI ▼

1
Antonio Sivera
Antonio Sivera Goalkeeper
6.72
7
Ángel Pérez
Ángel Pérez Defender
6.7
14
Nahuel Tenaglia
Nahuel Tenaglia Defender
6.84
17
Jonny Otto
Jonny Otto Defender
6.72
21
Abde Rebbach
Abde Rebbach Defender
6.74
24
Victor Parada
Victor Parada Defender
6.51
8
Antonio Blanco
Antonio Blanco Midfielder
6.98
18
Jon Guridi
Jon Guridi Midfielder
6.53
19
Pablo Ibáñez
Pablo Ibáñez Midfielder
6.78
11
Toni Martínez
Toni Martínez Attacker
7.11
15
Lucas Boyé
Lucas Boyé Attacker
6.93
Referee : Javier Alberola Rojas

Starting XI ▼

1
Leo Román
Leo Román Goalkeeper
6.85
5
Omar Mascarell
Omar Mascarell Defender
6.76
10
Sergi Darder
Sergi Darder Defender
7.01
22
Johan Mojica
Johan Mojica Defender
6.69
23
Pablo Maffeo
Pablo Maffeo Defender
6.88
24
Martin Valjent
Martin Valjent Defender
6.67
8
Manu Morlanes
Manu Morlanes Midfielder
6.74
12
Samú Costa
Samú Costa Midfielder
6.88
20
Pablo Torre
Pablo Torre Midfielder
6.76
7
Vedat Muriqi
Vedat Muriqi Attacker
7.21
11
Takuma Asano
Takuma Asano Attacker
6.54

CONCLUSION

While Mallorca's superior power score and form position them as the analytically stronger outfit, Alavés benefits from home support at Mendizorroza, reflected in the top projection share of 43.7%. The 6.7-point power gap and form disparity of nearly double highlight visitors' edge in open play, yet tight league standings suggest caution. Absent detailed set piece and xG insights, expect a gritty battle where Alavés' familiarity could frustrate Mallorca's momentum. A draw looms large at 30.6%, but home resilience might tip the scales narrowly for the hosts in this relegation scrap.