Olympique Lyonnais vs Auxerre preview

France flag 2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Groupama Stadium Sat, 25 Apr - 1:00 PM
Ligue 1
Olympique Lyonnais LYO
Auxerre AUX
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 1:00 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Olympique Lyonnais welcome Auxerre to Groupama Stadium for a Ligue 1 regular season encounter in the 2025/2026 campaign. Lyon, entrenched in 4th position, hold a commanding power score of 31.99 against Auxerre's 18.44, translating to a 13.6-point advantage that underscores their superiority as the stronger side. Form scores further tilt the scales, with Lyon's 26.56 eclipsing Auxerre's 15.94, signaling consistent outperformance in recent outings. At home, Lyon leverage their squad depth and venue familiarity to dominate possession and build attacks methodically. Auxerre, mired in 16th, face an uphill battle, relying on disciplined defending to counter Lyon's fluid transitions. Set piece insights remain limited due to unavailable xG data and low-confidence proxies, but Lyon's overall efficiency in open play positions them favorably. This fixture exemplifies the chasm between Ligue 1's elite and strugglers, with Lyon poised to extend their advantage.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Lyon's robust structural framework, backed by a 31.99 power score, overwhelms Auxerre's 18.44 rating.
  • Form: Olympique Lyonnais boasts a form score of 26.56, surpassing Auxerre's 15.94.
  • Squad: Lyon sits 4th in the league table, while Auxerre occupies 16th position.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Lyon's 13.6-point power edge enhances their transition potency against Auxerre.
  • Set pieces: Set piece metrics for both teams rely on low-confidence proxies as xG data is unavailable.
  • xVariable: xG statistics are not available, restricting advanced variable analysis.
  • Market: Olympique Lyonnais 59.1% (Δ+1%) | Draw 24.4% (Δ+0%) | Auxerre 16.5% (Δ-1%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Olympique Lyonnais P. Rodrigues Fonseca
P. Rodrigues Fonseca
VS
Auxerre C. Pélissier
C. Pélissier
1.77
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.82
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Paris Saint Germain Rank: W
Lorient Rank: W
Angers SCO Rank: D
Monaco Rank: L
Le Havre Rank: D
Paris Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Monaco Rank: D
Nantes Rank: D
Le Havre Rank: D
Brest Rank: W
Olympique Marseille Rank: L
Strasbourg Rank: D
10
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
10 - 6 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Olympique Lyonnais
59.09%
Draw
24.4%
Away Auxerre
16.5%

Movement

Changes since opening
Olympique Lyonnais
+1%
Draw
+0.03%
Auxerre
-1.04%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
31.99
18.44
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Olympique Lyonnais
Auxerre
Power Score
31.99
18.44
League Position
4
16
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Olympique Lyonnais — Opponent-weighted form score
Auxerre — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Olympique Lyonnais Auxerre

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 19 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Olympique Lyonnais LYO Home
19 matches
Auxerre AUX Away
Match Record
10
Wins
3
6
Draws
6
3
Losses
10
Goals
28
Goals Scored
17
17
Goals Conceded
28
+11
Goal Difference
-11
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-25T00:03:44+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-3-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
D. Greif
Slovakia
1 D. Greif
A. Maitland-Niles
England
98 A. Maitland-Niles
C. Mata Pedro Lourenço
Angola
22 C. Mata Pedro Lourenço
M. Niakhaté
Senegal
19 M. Niakhaté
N. Alejandro Tagliafico
Argentina
3 N. Alejandro Tagliafico
T. Morton
England
23 T. Morton
O. Mangala
Belgium
5 O. Mangala
T. Tessmann
United States
6 T. Tessmann
N. Teye Nartey
Denmark
99 N. Teye Nartey
E. Moreira de Sousa
Brazil
9 E. Moreira de Sousa
A. Bastardo Moreira
Portugal
17 A. Bastardo Moreira
T. De Percin
Martinique
40 T. De Percin
G. Mensah
Ghana
14 G. Mensah
B. Okoh
Switzerland
24 B. Okoh
S. Diomande
Ivory Coast
20 S. Diomande
M. Senaya
France
29 M. Senaya
K. Danois
France
5 K. Danois
E. Owusu
Ghana
42 E. Owusu
F. Oppegard
Norway
22 F. Oppegard
D. Loader
Cameroon
19 D. Loader
R. Faivre
France
28 R. Faivre
L. Sinayoko
Mali
10 L. Sinayoko

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Groupama Stadium
Capacity
59186
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Thomas Luczynski
Huseyin Ocak
Ahmed Taleb
Ruddy Buquet

Lineup

Referee : Ruddy Buquet

Starting XI ▼

1
Dominik Greif
Dominik Greif Goalkeeper
7.06
3
Nicolás Tagliafico
Nicolás Tagliafico Defender
6.8
19
Moussa Niakhaté
Moussa Niakhaté Defender
7.05
22
Clinton Mata
Clinton Mata Defender
6.83
98
Ainsley Maitland-Niles
Ainsley Maitland-Niles Defender
6.81
5
Orel Mangala
Orel Mangala Midfielder
6.77
6
Tanner Tessmann
Tanner Tessmann Midfielder
6.83
23
Tyler Morton
Tyler Morton Midfielder
7.12
99
Noah Nartey
Noah Nartey Midfielder
6.71
9
Endrick
Endrick Attacker
7.33
17
Afonso Moreira
Afonso Moreira Attacker
7
Referee : Ruddy Buquet

Starting XI ▼

40
Théo De Percin
Théo De Percin Goalkeeper
6.62
14
Gideon Mensah
Gideon Mensah Defender
6.72
20
Sinaly Diomandé
Sinaly Diomandé Defender
6.82
24
Bryan Okoh
Bryan Okoh Defender
7.12
29
Marvin Senaya
Marvin Senaya Defender
6.86
5
Kévin Danois
Kévin Danois Midfielder
7.09
19
Danny Namaso
Danny Namaso Midfielder
6.8
42
Elisha Owusu
Elisha Owusu Midfielder
6.73
10
Lassine Sinayoko
Lassine Sinayoko Attacker
7.08
22
Fredrik Oppegård
Fredrik Oppegård Attacker
6.62
28
Romain Faivre
Romain Faivre Attacker
6.96

CONCLUSION

Olympique Lyonnais enter this home clash against Auxerre with overwhelming credentials, from their 4th-place standing and superior power metrics to a clear form edge. The 13.6-point advantage suggests Lyon will control proceedings at Groupama Stadium, exploiting transitions and squad quality to break down Auxerre's resistance. While set piece data lacks depth, Lyon's overall dominance in Ligue 1's 2025/2026 season points to a comfortable victory. Auxerre's 16th position and lower scores demand a flawless defensive display, but historical gaps favor the hosts. Expect Lyon to capitalize on home support and maintain their trajectory.