VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach preview

Germany flag 2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany
Volkswagen Arena Sat, 25 Apr - 1:30 PM
Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg WOB
Borussia Mönchengladbach BMG
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 1:30 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

VfL Wolfsburg host Borussia Mönchengladbach in Bundesliga (Regular Season) at Volkswagen Arena. Domestically, VfL Wolfsburg sit 17th in the table while Borussia Mönchengladbach are 13th. Power ranking favours Borussia Mönchengladbach by 2 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Borussia Mönchengladbach hold a 2-point power advantage with 16.61 rating over VfL Wolfsburg's 14.57.
  • Form: Gladbach lead in form scores at 10 compared to Wolfsburg's 9.06.
  • Squad: Wolfsburg sit 17th in the Bundesliga table while Gladbach occupy 13th.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available for either team.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable due to absent advanced tracking.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece data shows low confidence with no xG available and proxies used for both sides.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable, limiting advanced performance insights.
  • Market: VfL Wolfsburg 41.5% (Δ-0.2%) | Draw 25.8% (Δ+0%) | Borussia Mönchengladbach 32.7% (Δ+0.1%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
VfL Wolfsburg D. Hecking
D. Hecking
VS
Borussia Mönchengladbach E. Polanski
E. Polanski
0.83
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.22
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Union Berlin Rank: W
Eintracht Frankfurt Rank: L
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Rank: L
Werder Bremen Rank: L
TSG Hoffenheim Rank: D
Hamburger SV Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
FSV Mainz 05 Rank: D
RB Leipzig Rank: L
Heidenheim Rank: D
FC Köln Rank: D
St. Pauli Rank: W
FC Bayern München Rank: L
18
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
18 - 10 - 11
11
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home VfL Wolfsburg
41.52%
Draw
25.82%
Away Borussia Mönchengladbach
32.67%

Movement

Changes since opening
VfL Wolfsburg
-0.15%
Draw
+0.02%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
+0.14%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
14.57
16.61
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
VfL Wolfsburg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Power Score
14.57
16.61
League Position
17
13
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
VfL Wolfsburg — Opponent-weighted form score
Borussia Mönchengladbach — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) VfL Wolfsburg Borussia Mönchengladbach

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 39 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

VfL Wolfsburg WOB Home
39 matches
Borussia Mönchengladbach BMG Away
Match Record
18
Wins
11
10
Draws
10
11
Losses
18
Goals
60
Goals Scored
52
52
Goals Conceded
60
+8
Goal Difference
-8
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-25T00:04:41+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
K. Grabara
Poland
1 K. Grabara
D. Vavro
Slovakia
3 D. Vavro
J. Belocian
France
6 J. Belocian
K. Koulierakis
Greece
4 K. Koulierakis
J. Mæhle
Denmark
21 J. Mæhle
C. Dannemann Eriksen
Denmark
24 C. Dannemann Eriksen
V. de Souza Costa
Brazil
5 V. de Souza Costa
A. Zehnter
Germany
25 A. Zehnter
P. Wimmer
Austria
39 P. Wimmer
D. Pejcinovic
Germany
17 D. Pejcinovic
M. Amoura
Algeria
9 M. Amoura
M. Nicolas
Germany
33 M. Nicolas
K. Diks
Netherlands
4 K. Diks
N. Elvedi
Switzerland
30 N. Elvedi
P. Sander
Germany
16 P. Sander
J. Castrop
Germany
17 J. Castrop
Y. Engelhardt
Germany
6 Y. Engelhardt
R. Reitz
Germany
27 R. Reitz
J. Scally
United States
29 J. Scally
H. Bolin
Sweden
38 H. Bolin
F. Honorat
France
9 F. Honorat
H. Tabakovic
Switzerland
15 H. Tabakovic

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 01:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Volkswagen Arena
Capacity
30000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Lasse Koslowski
Jan Clemens Neitzel
Patrick Ittrich
Tobias Stieler

Lineup

Referee : Tobias Stieler

Starting XI ▼

1
Kamil Grabara
Kamil Grabara Goalkeeper
6.88
3
Denis Vavro
Denis Vavro Defender
6.61
4
Konstantinos Koulierakis
Konstantinos Koulierakis Defender
6.73
6
Jeanuël Belocian
Jeanuël Belocian Defender
6.66
5
Vinicius de Souza Costa
Vinicius de Souza Costa Midfielder
6.75
21
Joakim Maehle
Joakim Maehle Midfielder
6.69
24
Christian Eriksen
Christian Eriksen Midfielder
6.98
25
Aaron Zehnter
Aaron Zehnter Midfielder
6.71
9
Mohamed Amoura
Mohamed Amoura Attacker
6.88
17
Dzenan Pejcinovic
Dzenan Pejcinovic Attacker
6.76
39
Patrick Wimmer
Patrick Wimmer Attacker
6.75
Referee : Tobias Stieler

Starting XI ▼

33
Moritz Nicolas
Moritz Nicolas Goalkeeper
7.11
4
Kevin Diks
Kevin Diks Defender
6.94
16
Philipp Sander
Philipp Sander Defender
6.93
17
Jens Castrop
Jens Castrop Defender
6.67
29
Joe Scally
Joe Scally Defender
6.65
30
Nico Elvedi
Nico Elvedi Defender
6.95
6
Yannik Engelhardt
Yannik Engelhardt Midfielder
6.79
9
Franck Honorat
Franck Honorat Midfielder
6.86
27
Rocco Reitz
Rocco Reitz Midfielder
6.89
38
Hugo Bolin
Hugo Bolin Midfielder
6.68
15
Haris Tabakovic
Haris Tabakovic Attacker
6.92

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Borussia Mönchengladbach holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Borussia Mönchengladbach a 2-point edge. External projection is VfL Wolfsburg 42.6%, draw 26.6%, and Borussia Mönchengladbach 30.9%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.