Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Tottenham Hotspur preview

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
Molineux Stadium Today - 2:00 PM
Premier League
Wolverhampton Wanderers WOL
Tottenham Hotspur TOT
KICKOFF : Today - 2:00 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Wolverhampton Wanderers host Tottenham Hotspur in Premier League (Regular Season) at Molineux Stadium. Domestically, Wolverhampton Wanderers sit 20th in the table while Tottenham Hotspur are 18th. Power ranking favours Wolverhampton Wanderers by 5.4 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Wolverhampton Wanderers hold a 5.4-point power advantage over Tottenham Hotspur at Molineux Stadium.
  • Form: Wolves' form score of 21.72 far exceeds Tottenham's 5.83.
  • Squad: Both teams are near the bottom of the Premier League, with Wolves 20th and Spurs 18th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable.
  • Transition: Transition play data not provided in analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece xG data unavailable due to low confidence and proxy usage.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables not accessible for either team.
  • Market: Wolverhampton Wanderers 21.1% (Δ+0.6%) | Draw 23% (Δ+0%) | Tottenham Hotspur 55.9% (Δ-0.6%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Wolverhampton Wanderers R. Edwards
R. Edwards
VS
Tottenham Hotspur R. De Zerbi
R. De Zerbi
0.6
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.68
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Leeds United Rank: L
West Ham United Rank: L
Brentford Rank: D
Liverpool Rank: W
Aston Villa Rank: W
Crystal Palace Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brighton & Hove Albion Rank: D
Sunderland Rank: L
Nottingham Forest Rank: L
Liverpool Rank: D
Crystal Palace Rank: L
Fulham Rank: L
9
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
9 - 6 - 9
9
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Wolverhampton Wanderers
21.1%
Draw
23.04%
Away Tottenham Hotspur
55.87%

Movement

Changes since opening
Wolverhampton Wanderers
+0.58%
Draw
+0.03%
Tottenham Hotspur
-0.61%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
23.49
18.07
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Tottenham Hotspur
Power Score
23.49
18.07
League Position
20
18
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Wolverhampton Wanderers — Opponent-weighted form score
Tottenham Hotspur — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Wolverhampton Wanderers Tottenham Hotspur

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 24 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Wolverhampton Wanderers WOL Home
24 matches
Tottenham Hotspur TOT Away
Match Record
9
Wins
9
6
Draws
6
9
Losses
9
Goals
35
Goals Scored
38
38
Goals Conceded
35
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-25T00:05:06+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
J. Malheiro de Sá
Portugal
1 J. Malheiro de Sá
S. Bueno Sciutto
Uruguay
4 S. Bueno Sciutto
T. Gomes
Portugal
24 T. Gomes
M. Doherty
Republic of Ireland
2 M. Doherty
P. Cardoso de Lima
Brazil
17 P. Cardoso de Lima
A. Trindade da Costa Neto
Brazil
7 A. Trindade da Costa Neto
Gomes
Brazil
8 Gomes
H. Bueno
Spain
3 H. Bueno
R. Gomes
Portugal
21 R. Gomes
M. Mané
England
36 M. Mané
A. Armstrong
England
9 A. Armstrong
A. Kinský
Czech Republic
31 A. Kinský
D. Spence
England
24 D. Spence
M. van de Ven
Netherlands
37 M. van de Ven
K. Danso
Austria
4 K. Danso
P. Porro Sauceda
Spain
23 P. Porro Sauceda
Y. Bissouma
Mali
8 Y. Bissouma
R. Bentancur Colmán
Uruguay
30 R. Bentancur Colmán
C. Gallagher
England
22 C. Gallagher
X. Simons
Netherlands
7 X. Simons
D. Solanke
England
19 D. Solanke
M. Tel
France
11 M. Tel

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium
Molineux Stadium
Capacity
32050
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Gary Beswick
Anthony Taylor
Adam Nunn
Thomas Bramall

Lineup

Referee : Anthony Taylor

Starting XI ▼

1
José Sá
José Sá Goalkeeper
6.88
2
Matt Doherty
Matt Doherty Defender
6.55
3
Hugo Bueno
Hugo Bueno Defender
6.72
4
Santiago Bueno
Santiago Bueno Defender
6.74
17
Pedro Lima
Pedro Lima Defender
6.21
24
Toti
Toti Defender
6.55
7
André
André Midfielder
6.75
8
João Gomes
João Gomes Midfielder
6.79
21
Rodrigo Gomes
Rodrigo Gomes Midfielder
6.72
36
Mateus Mané
Mateus Mané Midfielder
6.71
9
Adam Armstrong
Adam Armstrong Attacker
6.67
Referee : Anthony Taylor

Starting XI ▼

31
Antonín Kinský
Antonín Kinský Goalkeeper
6.51
4
Kevin Danso
Kevin Danso Defender
6.69
23
Pedro Porro
Pedro Porro Defender
6.93
24
Djed Spence
Djed Spence Defender
6.51
37
Micky van de Ven
Micky van de Ven Defender
6.75
8
Yves Bissouma
Yves Bissouma Midfielder
6.6
22
Conor Gallagher
Conor Gallagher Midfielder
6.69
30
Rodrigo Bentancur
Rodrigo Bentancur Midfielder
6.84
7
Xavi Simons
Xavi Simons Attacker
6.94
11
Mathys Tel
Mathys Tel Attacker
6.73
19
Dominic Solanke
Dominic Solanke Attacker
6.79

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Wolverhampton Wanderers holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Wolverhampton Wanderers a 5.4-point edge. External projection is Wolverhampton Wanderers 22.2%, draw 22.9%, and Tottenham Hotspur 54.9%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.