Krylya Sovetov vs Lokomotiv Moskva preview

Russia flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
Samara Arena Today - 2:00 PM
Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov
Lokomotiv Moskva Lokomotiv Moskva
KICKOFF : Today - 2:00 PM
Round 27 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the Russian Premier League's 2025/2026 regular season, Krylya Sovetov welcome Lokomotiv Moskva to Samara Arena for a clash highlighting a clear disparity in team strength. Lokomotiv, sitting comfortably in 3rd place, possess a superior power score of 25.71 against Krylya's 14.49, translating to an 11.2-point advantage that underscores their dominance. Form scores further tilt the scales, with Lokomotiv at 15.72 compared to the hosts' modest 8.11, reflecting recent performances that have propelled the visitors up the table while Krylya linger in 14th. Lacking detailed metrics on efficiency, transitions, and set pieces due to unavailable xG data, the preview relies on these core indicators. Krylya Sovetov face an uphill battle at home, needing defensive resilience and clinical finishing to counter Lokomotiv's attacking prowess and overall superiority. The visitors' momentum suggests control, but Samara Arena's atmosphere could spark an upset.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Lokomotiv Moskva enjoys an 11.2-point power advantage over Krylya Sovetov, with league positions of 3rd versus 14th.
  • Form: Lokomotiv Moskva's form score stands at 15.72, surpassing Krylya Sovetov's 8.11.
  • Squad: No specific squad details available; Lokomotiv Moskva ranked higher at 3rd compared to Krylya Sovetov in 14th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are not provided in the available data.
  • Transition: Transition play statistics unavailable.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable due to lack of xG and low confidence proxy metrics.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables not available for either team.
  • Market: Baseline split: Krylya Sovetov 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Lokomotiv Moskva 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Krylya Sovetov S. Bulatov
S. Bulatov
VS
Lokomotiv Moskva M. Galaktionov
M. Galaktionov
0.71
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.64
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sochi Rank: L
CSKA Moskva Rank: D
Akhmat Grozny Rank: D
Zenit Rank: L
Rubin Kazan Rank: D
FK Nizjni Novgorod Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Zenit Rank: D
Orenburg Rank: W
Dynamo Makhachkala Rank: D
Spartak Moskva Rank: L
Akron Rank: W
Rubin Kazan Rank: L
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 13 - 18
18
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Krylya Sovetov
0%
Draw
0%
Away Lokomotiv Moskva
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
14.49
25.71
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Krylya Sovetov
Lokomotiv Moskva
Power Score
14.49
25.71
League Position
14
3
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Krylya Sovetov — Opponent-weighted form score
Lokomotiv Moskva — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Krylya Sovetov Lokomotiv Moskva

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 37 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov Home
37 matches
Lokomotiv Moskva Lokomotiv Moskva Away
Match Record
6
Wins
18
13
Draws
13
18
Losses
6
Goals
33
Goals Scored
51
51
Goals Conceded
33
-18
Goal Difference
+18
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-25T00:05:23+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
S. Pesyakov
30 S. Pesyakov
F. Peixoto Costanza
22 F. Peixoto Costanza
A. Oroz
5 A. Oroz
I. Lepskiy
18 I. Lepskiy
K. Pechenin
2 K. Pechenin
M. Vityugov
8 M. Vityugov
V. Khubulov
10 V. Khubulov
N. Rasskazov
15 N. Rasskazov
I. Akhmetov
77 I. Akhmetov
I. Oleynikov
19 I. Oleynikov
A. Rahmanović
11 A. Rahmanović
A. Mitryushkin
1 A. Mitryushkin
Lucas Fasson
3 Lucas Fasson
C. Montes Castro
23 C. Montes Castro
E. Morozov
85 E. Morozov
A. Silyanov
45 A. Silyanov
A. Karpukas
93 A. Karpukas
D. Prutsev
25 D. Prutsev
D. Chevardin
74 D. Chevardin
A. Batrakov
83 A. Batrakov
Z. Bakaev
7 Z. Bakaev
D. Vorobyev
10 D. Vorobyev

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 27 · Regular Season
Stadium
Samara Arena
Capacity
44918
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

30
S. Pesyakov
S. Pesyakov Goalkeeper
6.9
11
A. Rahmanović
A. Rahmanović Centre Forward
6.72
77
I. Akhmetov
I. Akhmetov Attacking Midfield
6.88
2
Kirill Pechenin
Kirill Pechenin Left Back
6.69
5
D. Oroz
D. Oroz Right Back
6.62
8
M. Vityugov
M. Vityugov Defensive Midfield
6.64
10
Vladimir Khubulov
Vladimir Khubulov Defensive Midfield
6.33
15
N. Rasskazov
N. Rasskazov Right Wing
6.49
18
I. Lepskiy
I. Lepskiy Left Back
6.64
19
I. Oleynikov
I. Oleynikov Left Wing
6.82
22
Fernando Costanza
Fernando Costanza Right Back
6.84

Starting XI ▼

1
Anton Mitryushkin
Anton Mitryushkin Goalkeeper
6.87
10
Dmitry Vorobyev
Dmitry Vorobyev Centre Forward
7.15
3
Lucas Fasson
Lucas Fasson Left Back
6.89
7
Zelimkhan Bakaev
Zelimkhan Bakaev Right Wing
6.77
23
César Montes
César Montes Left Back
7.1
25
Danil Prutsev
Danil Prutsev Defensive Midfield
6.28
45
Alexander Silyanov
Alexander Silyanov Right Back
6.87
74
Daniil Chevardin
Daniil Chevardin Left Wing
6.44
83
Aleksey Batrakov
Aleksey Batrakov Attacking Midfield
7.72
85
Evgeniy Morozov
Evgeniy Morozov Right Back
6.73
93
Artem Karpukas
Artem Karpukas Defensive Midfield
6.92

CONCLUSION

Lokomotiv Moskva arrive as clear favorites, armed with superior power, form, and league standing that position them to dictate play away at Samara Arena. Krylya Sovetov, despite home advantage, must overcome a substantial 11.2-point deficit and poorer recent metrics to compete effectively. Without granular insights into set pieces or efficiency, the focus falls on Lokomotiv's ability to leverage their strengths in open play. Expect the visitors to control possession and create higher-quality chances, though Krylya's desperation for points could lead to a gritty contest. The power gap points toward a Lokomotiv victory, rewarding their consistency in the 2025/2026 season.