Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County preview

England flag 2025/2026 Championship, England
MATRADE Loftus Road Sat, 25 Apr - 2:00 PM
Championship
Queens Park Rangers QPR
Derby County DRB
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 2:00 PM
Round 45 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Queens Park Rangers host Derby County in Championship (Regular Season) at MATRADE Loftus Road. Domestically, Queens Park Rangers sit 13th in the table while Derby County are 8th. Power ranking favours Derby County by 3 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Derby County possesses a structural power advantage of 3 points over Queens Park Rangers with scores of 24.71 to 21.72.
  • Form: Derby County's form score stands at 20.06, surpassing Queens Park Rangers' 18.56.
  • Squad: Derby County occupies 8th in the league, five positions above Queens Park Rangers at 13th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is currently unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: No specific transition metrics provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data shows low confidence for both teams due to unavailable xG and proxy usage.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable, limiting advanced analysis.
  • Market: Queens Park Rangers 31.8% (Δ-0.1%) | Draw 27.1% (Δ+0.2%) | Derby County 41.1% (Δ+-0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Queens Park Rangers J. Stéphan
J. Stéphan
VS
Derby County J. Eustace
J. Eustace
1.21
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.67
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Swansea City Rank: L
Millwall Rank: L
Bristol City Rank: D
Preston North End Rank: D
Watford Rank: W
Portsmouth Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Norwich City Rank: L
Oxford United Rank: W
Southampton Rank: L
Stoke City Rank: W
Coventry City Rank: L
Birmingham City Rank: W
11
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 8 - 11
11
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Queens Park Rangers
31.84%
Draw
27.09%
Away Derby County
41.07%

Movement

Changes since opening
Queens Park Rangers
-0.14%
Draw
+0.17%
Derby County
-0.03%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
21.72
24.71
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Queens Park Rangers
Derby County
Power Score
21.72
24.71
League Position
13
8
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Queens Park Rangers — Opponent-weighted form score
Derby County — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Queens Park Rangers Derby County

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 30 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Queens Park Rangers QPR Home
30 matches
Derby County DRB Away
Match Record
11
Wins
11
8
Draws
8
11
Losses
11
Goals
32
Goals Scored
30
30
Goals Conceded
32
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-25T00:05:48+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
J. Walsh
England
13 J. Walsh
K. Adamson
Australia
2 K. Adamson
R. Edwards
England
37 R. Edwards
S. Cook
England
5 S. Cook
R. Norrington-Davies
Wales
18 R. Norrington-Davies
H. Vale
England
20 H. Vale
I. Hayden
England
15 I. Hayden
K. Morgan
England
21 K. Morgan
K. Poku
England
17 K. Poku
R. Kolli
Algeria
26 R. Kolli
R. Burrell
England
16 R. Burrell
J. Widell Zetterström
Sweden
1 J. Widell Zetterström
D. Murkin
England
2 D. Murkin
M. Clarke
England
5 M. Clarke
S. Langås
Norway
6 S. Langås
J. Ward
England
23 J. Ward
D. Ozoh
England
18 D. Ozoh
L. Travis
England
27 L. Travis
J. Banel
Netherlands
34 J. Banel
S. Szmodics
England
19 S. Szmodics
B. Brereton
Chile
25 B. Brereton
C. Morris
England
9 C. Morris

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Championship, England · Round 45 · Regular Season
Stadium
MATRADE Loftus Road
Capacity
18500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
John Busby
Mark Russell
Johnathon Bickerdike
Lewis Smith

Lineup

Referee : John Busby

Starting XI ▼

13
Joe Walsh
Joe Walsh Goalkeeper
6.69
2
Kealey Adamson
Kealey Adamson Defender
6.44
5
Steve Cook
Steve Cook Defender
6.91
18
Rhys Norrington-Davies
Rhys Norrington-Davies Defender
5.21
37
Ronnie Edwards
Ronnie Edwards Defender
6.6
15
Isaac Hayden
Isaac Hayden Midfielder
6.72
17
Kwame Poku
Kwame Poku Midfielder
6.45
20
Harvey Vale
Harvey Vale Midfielder
6.89
21
Kieran Morgan
Kieran Morgan Midfielder
6.56
16
R. Burrell
R. Burrell Attacker
6.81
26
Rayan Kolli
Rayan Kolli Attacker
6.73
Referee : John Busby

Starting XI ▼

1
Jacob Widell Zetterström
Jacob Widell Zetterström Goalkeeper
6.87
2
Derry Murkin
Derry Murkin Defender
6.97
5
Matt Clarke
Matt Clarke Defender
7.04
6
Sondre Langås
Sondre Langås Defender
6.83
23
Joe Ward
Joe Ward Defender
7
18
David Ozoh
David Ozoh Midfielder
6.61
19
Sammie Szmodics
Sammie Szmodics Midfielder
6.84
25
Ben Brereton Díaz
Ben Brereton Díaz Midfielder
6.73
27
Lewis Travis
Lewis Travis Midfielder
6.98
34
Jaydon Banel
Jaydon Banel Midfielder
6.6
9
Carlton Morris
Carlton Morris Attacker
7.07

CONCLUSION

Derby County's edge in power ratings, form, and league position positions them favorably against a home-hungry Queens Park Rangers side. While QPR could harness Loftus Road's atmosphere to disrupt, the visitors' consistency across key indicators points to control. Absent detailed efficiency or set-piece insights, the focus narrows to raw strengths where Derby excels. Expect a competitive encounter, but Derby's momentum likely tips the scales in their pursuit of climbing higher. This fixture could define mid-table trajectories in the Championship.